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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -54.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-54.7 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$201.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$956.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.67M volume · 2,581 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$772.5k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$181.4k
Closed-position win rate
54%
185 closed
Wallet age · markets
402d
194 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.6 | -54.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $60.2k | excluded |
 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 71¢ | $12.6k | missed |
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 58¢ | $41.0k | missed |
 Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Rams @ 45¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 35¢ | $40.2k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe73ee7…