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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +58.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+58.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$77.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$101.9k
Last 30 days −$28.1k · $2.87M volume · 195 trades · since Jul 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$464.6k
Open P&L · 35 positions
−$533.1k
Closed-position win rate
94%
36 closed
Wallet age · markets
99d
111 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +58.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | LOW BUY Chicago White Sox @ 42¢ | $12.5k | called |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | LOW BUY Texas Rangers @ 48¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | LOW BUY St. Louis Cardinals @ 57¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 49¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb9392e…