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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -75.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-75.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$22.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$35.6k
Last 30 days −$9,244 · $3.70M volume · 797 trades · since Jan 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$277.2k
Open P&L · 60 positions
−$105.5k
Closed-position win rate
49%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
293d
664 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -75.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? AND Will Rangers FC win on 2026-10-24? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY @ 44¢ | $10.7k | pending |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $12.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xaca05b…