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+$18Spurs · avg 79¢ → 84¢ · $337
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +59.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+59.0 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$152.3k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$43.0k
Last 30 days −$70 · $5.18M volume · 3,641 trades · since Dec 30, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 448 closed
+$43.1k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$72
Closed-position win rate
67%
448 closed
Wallet age · markets
298d
398 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 1.2 | +59.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 22¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 24¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW BUY 76ers @ 33¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 58¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Lakers @ 40¢ | $18.4k | missed |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Spurs @ 66¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Lakers @ 27¢ | $10.7k | called |
| Kings vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 49¢ | $12.8k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 47¢ | $11.3k | called |
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