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+$55Heat · avg 57¢ → 60¢ · $944 · 2 proven with, 2 against+$39Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · avg 83¢ → 95.5¢ · $298+$36No · avg 71¢ → 83¢ · $241−$6Over · avg 82¢ → 80¢ · $237−$2Over · avg 77¢ → 76¢ · $236−$1Over · avg 84¢ → 84¢ · $236−$1Over · avg 84¢ → 84¢ · $236−$2Yes · avg 59¢ → 58¢ · $236
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$13.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$44.1k
Last 30 days −$214.5k · $6.41M volume · 45,166 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$548.1k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$185.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
15978 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $13.2k | pending |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa278b4…