MajoriT

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?+$3,923No · avg 85¢ → 95¢ · $35.5k Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?+$1,354No · avg 92.2¢ → 97.7¢ · $24.4k Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?+$1,229No · avg 83¢ → 97.8¢ · $8,281 New pandemic in 2026?+$231No · avg 89¢ → 96.6¢ · $2,810 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?+$290Yes · avg 40¢ → 44¢ · $2,661 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?+$1,513Yes · avg 14¢ → 98¢ · $1,763 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?−$13No · avg 90.7¢ → 90¢ · $1,602 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?+$49No · avg 94¢ → 99¢ · $989

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$243.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$26.1k

Last 30 days −$817 · $2.81M volume · 5,105 trades · since Feb 05, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$17.0k

Open P&L · 95 positions

−$42.4k

Closed-position win rate

73%

394 closed

Wallet age · markets

261d

454 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$10.7k	2%	161d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$10.7k	94%	191d ago	excluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	LOW SELL Yes @ 98.5¢	$12.6k	1%	191d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$14.4k	99%	198d ago	excluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	LOW BUY No @ 68¢	$15.3k	68%	199d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢	$94.0k 6.5× usual	2%	199d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 93.3¢	$86.2k 6.0× usual	93%	199d ago	excluded

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$10.7k

LOW MajoriT · 161d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 94¢$10.7k

LOW MajoriT · 191d ago

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?excluded

SELL Yes @ 98.5¢$12.6k

LOW MajoriT · 191d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$14.4k

LOW MajoriT · 198d ago

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded

BUY No @ 68¢$15.3k

LOW MajoriT · 199d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

SELL Yes @ 98¢$94.0k

LOW MajoriT · 199d ago

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 93.3¢$86.2k

LOW MajoriT · 199d ago

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