Xeny

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?−$85Yes · avg 67¢ → 64¢ · $1,935 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$30No · avg 90¢ → 91.5¢ · $1,830 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?+$30Yes · avg 62¢ → 64¢ · $1,270 Eric Adams charged by December 31?+$97No · avg 74¢ → 85¢ · $720 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?+$7No · avg 94¢ → 95¢ · $644 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?−$5Yes · avg 64¢ → 64¢ · $635 · 0 proven with, 1 against Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?−$25Yes · avg 87¢ → 84¢ · $630 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?−$157Yes · avg 35¢ → 26¢ · $425

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$125.3k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$105.3k

Last 30 days +$1,985 · $10.62M volume · 35,727 trades · since Aug 23, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$242.4k

Open P&L · 154 positions

−$12.2k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

427d

2002 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢	$29.1k	3%	130d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢	$16.1k	98%	130d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$19.9k	100%	201d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$25.0k	100%	235d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$12.0k	100%	236d ago	excluded
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$23.2k	0%	237d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

SELL Yes @ 97¢$29.1k

LOW Xeny · 130d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.8¢$16.1k

LOW Xeny · 130d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$19.9k

LOW Xeny · 201d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$25.0k

LOW Xeny · 235d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$12.0k

LOW Xeny · 236d ago

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$23.2k

LOW Xeny · 237d ago

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