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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -16.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-16.8 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$105.8k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$79.2k
Last 30 days −$30.2k · $1.55M volume · 106 trades · since Aug 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$79.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
41%
94 closed
Wallet age · markets
57d
94 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 1.7 | -16.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Ravens vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 38¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Buccaneers @ 49¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Commanders @ 35¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
 Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | LOW BUY Los Angeles Angels @ 51¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Lions @ 31¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Broncos @ 46¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | LOW BUY Giants @ 39¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 51¢ | $12.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6f6589…