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Rhabarberbarbarbar

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?+$1,737Yes · avg 37¢ → 40¢ · $19.0kWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?−$4,175Yes · avg 59¢ → 24¢ · $2,953Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?+$6Yes · avg 37¢ → 37¢ · $863Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?−$5,243Yes · avg 92¢ → 9.5¢ · $604Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027?+$53No · avg 73¢ → 94¢ · $234Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027?+$29No · avg 68¢ → 91¢ · $115
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$284.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$49.5k
Last 30 days −$11.2k · $5.36M volume · 3,625 trades · since Feb 19, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$378.6k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$7,595
Closed-position win rate
97%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
247d
632 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $13.4k1% 117d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?LOW BUY No @ 93.5¢ $10.2k94% 120d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $66.5k100% 129d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $44.3k100% 142d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $49.9k100% 174d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $49.9k0% 185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% 185d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?excluded
SELL No @ 99¢$13.4k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 117d ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?called
BUY No @ 93.5¢$10.2k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 120d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$66.5k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 129d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$44.3k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 142d ago
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$49.9k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 174d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 185d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$50.0k
LOW Rhabarberbarbarbar · 185d ago

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