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LesterDiamond

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -26.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-26.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$153.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$205.1k
Last 30 days +$46.2k · $6.86M volume · 39,477 trades · since Mar 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.08M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$4,109
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
211d
15560 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports311.8-26.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 58¢ $10.3k58% 1d agoexcluded
Washington vs. USCLOW BUY USC @ 85¢ $11.0k85% 20d agoexcluded
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ $39.6k
2.8× usual
68% 140d agoexcluded
Hurricanes vs. CanadiensLOW BUY Canadiens @ 42¢ $14.5k42% 151d agomissed
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 83¢ $34.3k
2.4× usual
83% 156d agoexcluded
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 63¢ $19.1k63% 162d agomissed
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW BUY Rockets @ 60¢ $11.1k60% 180d agoexcluded
Celtics vs. 76ersLOW BUY Celtics @ 73¢ $13.7k73% 180d agocalled

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