← Wallets
+$47.7kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $128.7k−$47.7kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $33.3k+$1No · avg 97.3¢ → 97.9¢ · $260−$1No · avg 96.2¢ → 95.9¢ · $255+$1No · avg 95.2¢ → 95.8¢ · $255−$6No · avg 92.3¢ → 90¢ · $239+$12No · avg 85¢ → 90¢ · $239−$7No · avg 84¢ → 82¢ · $218
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -26.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-26.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$153.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$205.1k
Last 30 days +$46.2k · $6.86M volume · 39,477 trades · since Mar 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.08M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$4,109
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
211d
15560 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.8 | -26.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 58¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY USC @ 85¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ | $39.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Canadiens @ 42¢ | $14.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 83¢ | $34.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 63¢ | $19.1k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Rockets @ 60¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Celtics @ 73¢ | $13.7k | called |
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