tankfest2027

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did +55.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage−$4,331Spirit · avg 78¢ → 66¢ · $22.7k Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs+$75Fire Flux Esports · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $7,558 Valorant: GIANTX vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs+$701BBL Esports · avg 62¢ → 80¢ · $3,117 Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage+$33G2 · avg 42¢ → 44¢ · $946 Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?+$91Yes · avg 29¢ → 32¢ · $845 Valorant: CGN Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Playoffs+$49CGN Esports · avg 46¢ → 49¢ · $786 Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs+$2Shopify Rebellion Gold · avg 63¢ → 66¢ · $41

Price-adjusted edge

+55.7 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

1.3

Flagged volume

$70.5k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$74.2k

Last 30 days +$21.5k · $5.68M volume · 6,109 trades · since Mar 24, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$70.7k

Open P&L · 9 positions

−$11.2k

Closed-position win rate

49%

225 closed

Wallet age · markets

214d

231 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	3	1.3	+55.7 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Golden Knights vs. Blues	LOW BUY Blues @ 46¢	$21.7k	46%	1d ago	called
Valorant: CGN Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group A	LOW BUY CGN Esports @ 51¢	$38.3k	51%	2d ago	called
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	LOW BUY Pittsburgh Pirates @ 36¢	$10.5k	36%	135d ago	called

Golden Knights vs. Bluescalled

BUY Blues @ 46¢$21.7k

LOW tankfest2027 · 1d ago

Valorant: CGN Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group Acalled

BUY CGN Esports @ 51¢$38.3k

LOW tankfest2027 · 2d ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratescalled

BUY Pittsburgh Pirates @ 36¢$10.5k

LOW tankfest2027 · 135d ago

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