← Wallets
−$173Nemiga · avg 57¢ → 56¢ · $28.8k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$6,251Yes · avg 41¢ → 72¢ · $14.5k−$1439z · avg 40¢ → 22¢ · $174+$10No · avg 88¢ → 97.9¢ · $98+$6No · avg 77¢ → 82¢ · $82−$0No · avg 76¢ → 76¢ · $11
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -48.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-48.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$124.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$225.0k
Last 30 days −$279.5k · $36.00M volume · 52,969 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.97M
Open P&L · 295 positions
−$1.91M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
1762 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -48.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 48¢ | $28.0k | missed |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 48¢ | $17.1k | missed |
 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli | LOW BUY Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | LOW BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 69¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner | LOW BUY Jannik Sinner @ 99.9¢ | $26.8k | excluded |
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