← Wallets
+$1,203No · avg 76¢ → 83¢ · $14.4k+$127No · avg 76¢ → 78¢ · $6,240+$1,152Yes · avg 60¢ → 90.2¢ · $3,470−$375Yes · avg 66¢ → 60¢ · $3,285+$77No · avg 90¢ → 92.5¢ · $2,842−$276Yes · avg 73¢ → 65¢ · $2,198−$416Yes · avg 58¢ → 47¢ · $1,824+$754No · avg 24¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,008
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +36.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+36.8 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$416.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$155.1k
Last 30 days +$1,313 · $16.33M volume · 25,172 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$793.8k
Open P&L · 45 positions
−$1,201
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
654d
2674 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | +25.1 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +60.0 pts |
History
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