seal7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -24.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$100No · avg 73¢ → 72¢ · $14.5k · 1 proven with, 0 against Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?−$100No · avg 64¢ → 64¢ · $12.7k Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?−$1,000Yes · avg 67¢ → 62¢ · $12.5k · 0 proven with, 1 against Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?−$480No · avg 85¢ → 81¢ · $9,720 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?+$78Yes · avg 69¢ → 69¢ · $7,651 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?−$0No · avg 67¢ → 67¢ · $5,164 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?+$196Yes · avg 84¢ → 88¢ · $4,321 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?+$1,229Yes · avg 60¢ → 90.8¢ · $3,584

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 0 proven · 0 losing

Price-adjusted edge

-24.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.2

Flagged volume

$35.0k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$84.6k

Last 30 days +$25.7k · $3.99M volume · 9,238 trades · since Nov 18, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$237.1k

Open P&L · 124 positions

−$69.3k

Closed-position win rate

96%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

341d

825 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	1	0	0.2	-24.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	LOW BUY No @ 85¢	$10.2k	85%	2d ago	pending
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	LOW BUY No @ 73¢	$14.6k	73%	3d ago	pending
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 76¢	$10.2k	24%	35d ago	missed

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?pending

BUY No @ 85¢$10.2k

LOW seal7 · 2d ago

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?pending

BUY No @ 73¢$14.6k

LOW seal7 · 3d ago

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?missed

SELL Yes @ 76¢$10.2k

LOW seal7 · 35d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x2b9dbf4b6e0e11309a9d6d2a09b72f65f652adc0"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x2b9dbf4b6e0e11309a9d6d2a09b72f65f652adc0.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2b9dbf…