{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x8a38e9511fe17e13fa7c3fc65923983c22d4d494b69091fad0107637a7cd1e32","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3ff524e7876bed206bfa33db7fbee0bbb6ddb945804999a48fd4358740f90509:1","id":"trade:0x3ff524e7876bed206bfa33db7fbee0bbb6ddb945804999a48fd4358740f90509:1","implied":0.011941556799999975,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9880584432,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771885938,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?","usd":11897.468609766433,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x77d21d3afd917ce7213347143ea56336410b270d311a898cd19f362cb3bfc916:1","id":"trade:0x77d21d3afd917ce7213347143ea56336410b270d311a898cd19f362cb3bfc916:1","implied":0.19999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1771881750,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":12000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb34c7de2f771f0120ef63263afd1deb408bbebd16c0ea76c519a7fc0e4bf0be9:1","id":"trade:0xb34c7de2f771f0120ef63263afd1deb408bbebd16c0ea76c519a7fc0e4bf0be9:1","implied":0.21999999999999986,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7800000000000001,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771881516,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":12418.044600000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xe57fce6d333b67f7fb948464a393689ef410fe70dbded0f2f8bce59ffb205355","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9e51fdc5d1fa2eee0fb08d95d1c68a11ac3a32c894e7735a6d856a4eb47a617f:1","id":"trade:0x9e51fdc5d1fa2eee0fb08d95d1c68a11ac3a32c894e7735a6d856a4eb47a617f:1","implied":0.027818467000000013,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.972181533,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771675548,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?","usd":14586.174239442149,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xe57fce6d333b67f7fb948464a393689ef410fe70dbded0f2f8bce59ffb205355","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xeac226f08ccc7c60cab5771d76660f7b6e9d5f75e4417729902b27ea768454aa:1","id":"trade:0xeac226f08ccc7c60cab5771d76660f7b6e9d5f75e4417729902b27ea768454aa:1","implied":0.86,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.86,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771514464,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?","usd":17200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf5820ee2bf505a715d54f41e1b4b5ddf78e2fbf62f36297ab6913493a77908ec:0","id":"trade:0xf5820ee2bf505a715d54f41e1b4b5ddf78e2fbf62f36297ab6913493a77908ec:0","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769819186,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":18600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xb8c1bd306a8a4cedfb280e114e655c5092b3f37edccae05cd877d7f21a5774ce","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9aa075216304468b8d96ddb160b4eb8a7de8c665ab923b2626d7c7a8901890d5:1","id":"trade:0x9aa075216304468b8d96ddb160b4eb8a7de8c665ab923b2626d7c7a8901890d5:1","implied":0.01020857520000007,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9897914247999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1768999144,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?","usd":10934.2258697656,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbfa963321f82dad1281774f016c46f4e334b391bf694ea51266fce27066198a9:1","id":"trade:0xbfa963321f82dad1281774f016c46f4e334b391bf694ea51266fce27066198a9:1","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768249523,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":11275.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xbfa45527ec959aacc36f7c312bd4f328171a7681ef1aeb3a7e34db5fb47d3f1d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xea7c48258d1bdcc1c26d4f91e31718b4b88ab5b2db702ad8688c0acc510ad0ca:0","id":"trade:0xea7c48258d1bdcc1c26d4f91e31718b4b88ab5b2db702ad8688c0acc510ad0ca:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767454487,"title":"Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?","usd":26778.00666,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb83dd853a479887e4bdb19cff47e7d28db488ace26ab80ffad3bea6c040e6bb1:1","id":"trade:0xb83dd853a479887e4bdb19cff47e7d28db488ace26ab80ffad3bea6c040e6bb1:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767453431,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":21534.844,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"},{"condition_id":"0xbfa45527ec959aacc36f7c312bd4f328171a7681ef1aeb3a7e34db5fb47d3f1d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x767930ab53e208fe87bf632507e9f68d6ea6d9547309ea932e2f58d24c42bb6c:0","id":"trade:0x767930ab53e208fe87bf632507e9f68d6ea6d9547309ea932e2f58d24c42bb6c:0","implied":0.002397910914643475,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9976020890853565,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767447063,"title":"Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?","usd":75212.97248,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"}],"record":{"called":2,"edge":0.49,"exp_rate":0.51,"expected":1.02,"hit":1.0,"n":2,"se":0.27730849247724093},"wallet":"0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469"}