{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x304c2c202dfd7f93c19b520b85e05dc538496792121338737714e5dbc1ebf26f:1","id":"trade:0x304c2c202dfd7f93c19b520b85e05dc538496792121338737714e5dbc1ebf26f:1","implied":0.04400000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.956,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775463645,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":11545.353879999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfb76faeb73963c359ae6e2cbd9234629c61a6597"},{"condition_id":"0x3ca7c5f72d4a52a88d1f5f5fec3bb83f2baae505884d4a98e18c524f808e6dbe","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3b70e74afa89c50f93aa775967c5c2b7b640d9d0c6e20ec999a16bb2fb4c7640:1","id":"trade:0x3b70e74afa89c50f93aa775967c5c2b7b640d9d0c6e20ec999a16bb2fb4c7640:1","implied":0.27,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Michigan Wolverines","price":0.73,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775440875,"title":"Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines","usd":19692.772,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfb76faeb73963c359ae6e2cbd9234629c61a6597"},{"condition_id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2ed6195413c37343a3c2e48229c243e1cebf3b712664688899909fbaae24a834:1","id":"trade:0x2ed6195413c37343a3c2e48229c243e1cebf3b712664688899909fbaae24a834:1","implied":0.18000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1775037125,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?","usd":13139.893199999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xfb76faeb73963c359ae6e2cbd9234629c61a6597"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":0.16866666666666663,"exp_rate":0.1646666666666667,"expected":0.4940000000000001,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.20730117649877866},"wallet":"0xfb76faeb73963c359ae6e2cbd9234629c61a6597"}