{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x54279150f04aaa289c39ca2efebba2ee2ef8dda80dbb8b7535bdc5d0527cd537:0","id":"trade:0x54279150f04aaa289c39ca2efebba2ee2ef8dda80dbb8b7535bdc5d0527cd537:0","implied":0.14,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.86,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769797536,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":25800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x16c70211538a701f9227e506c1743568b752012702476eaec1db0f3b1c5cad4b:1","id":"trade:0x16c70211538a701f9227e506c1743568b752012702476eaec1db0f3b1c5cad4b:1","implied":0.010648941996490136,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9893510580035099,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769785518,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":75820.12533838974,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x67e9f4d4a916c8e50e019bfd85bc28f3a3ffd2831d5a0ac4339f604094f2dee3:1","id":"trade:0x67e9f4d4a916c8e50e019bfd85bc28f3a3ffd2831d5a0ac4339f604094f2dee3:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767651373,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":50972.679,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xceb3bd0a4b076e30a950bfcd5dfd5efbea5f1d024bfa8aa3b4c205c6ef470d39:1","id":"trade:0xceb3bd0a4b076e30a950bfcd5dfd5efbea5f1d024bfa8aa3b4c205c6ef470d39:1","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767283277,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":15100.338899999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"},{"condition_id":"0xa886b40d69b4733df3086a6b3f106ab783e1ac7fa91fea42ad807a00ed0f6846","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4dba15847685fc5350993b857f771e85865d18b1d29d5c31c5c69702c35004d0:1","id":"trade:0x4dba15847685fc5350993b857f771e85865d18b1d29d5c31c5c69702c35004d0:1","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1764184225,"title":"Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","usd":20880.0634,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"},{"condition_id":"0xa886b40d69b4733df3086a6b3f106ab783e1ac7fa91fea42ad807a00ed0f6846","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x68550ed9c111f7b761a62513d27d039c4c737e1bb30ca8f17ddf990493802fe7:1","id":"trade:0x68550ed9c111f7b761a62513d27d039c4c737e1bb30ca8f17ddf990493802fe7:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1763993863,"title":"Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","usd":10881.494999999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.020000000000000018,"exp_rate":0.52,"expected":1.04,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.2293468988235943},"wallet":"0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5"}