{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x420ab9c003c3fb1a3887d57b9613316e44f24c4558c494a250fef05bda16ce4c:1","id":"trade:0x420ab9c003c3fb1a3887d57b9613316e44f24c4558c494a250fef05bda16ce4c:1","implied":0.8961338702,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8961338702,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772936637,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":13802.159997901363,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeefbcc7d611840ffdd74391176834bc00c0e54b2"},{"condition_id":"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x626201dcf1027db47702274a2c88964f3a5b69fbcd77ede1556a38cff1af1e7c:0","id":"trade:0x626201dcf1027db47702274a2c88964f3a5b69fbcd77ede1556a38cff1af1e7c:0","implied":0.41,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.41,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1765231329,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":20493.44,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeefbcc7d611840ffdd74391176834bc00c0e54b2"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.15306693510000002,"exp_rate":0.6530669351,"expected":1.3061338702,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.2893864012356012},"wallet":"0xeefbcc7d611840ffdd74391176834bc00c0e54b2"}