{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x514264e71584db8ac4656e6c74a7980a733bd8fc4be9a60988cf2b1d8c786ac0:0","id":"trade:0x514264e71584db8ac4656e6c74a7980a733bd8fc4be9a60988cf2b1d8c786ac0:0","implied":0.816768411,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.816768411,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1788207768,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","usd":10129.999997620533,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xcfbc2e5fbabb9e8a03bf234367244d4c97eaaf3ac33e2ba001541ee3e0e62416","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbd26be201e71f40400a041dd7edac6b54c2914035538637a8aa463077a254274:1","id":"trade:0xbd26be201e71f40400a041dd7edac6b54c2914035538637a8aa463077a254274:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1788207558,"title":"Israel closes its airspace by September 30?","usd":12384.9999984,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0d02854c1e158383b8dd374dea0d545a731538c4e36b142c1f623c98bef7fa34:1","id":"trade:0x0d02854c1e158383b8dd374dea0d545a731538c4e36b142c1f623c98bef7fa34:1","implied":0.03653068140000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9634693186,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1787586211,"title":"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","usd":11932.895090429323,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xc1556ecbe613e403dfb9e38bf1b25a8aee2aa1687f2b343bc896dd2c9763ed74","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x85cb253606cacd9d87c4fc0930b9e65ef6303ef74105734f9f48ca8b5c760f2b:0","id":"trade:0x85cb253606cacd9d87c4fc0930b9e65ef6303ef74105734f9f48ca8b5c760f2b:0","implied":0.9199024242,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9199024242,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786834930,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?","usd":14706.999995574386,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x87cc56f8a2dafec4ce2a3dbf277ee65754f8df8adfc94ef80282150230614c8b:1","id":"trade:0x87cc56f8a2dafec4ce2a3dbf277ee65754f8df8adfc94ef80282150230614c8b:1","implied":0.9279153722000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9279153722000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786565467,"title":"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","usd":18999.999993750458,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaec4478903d232c9009dab14d4f311a86585b95e73a11c78634faad89647b768:1","id":"trade:0xaec4478903d232c9009dab14d4f311a86585b95e73a11c78634faad89647b768:1","implied":0.9249931022,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9249931022,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786559929,"title":"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","usd":13409.999998497004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x88306e4f369f2faa01af8d443d2c3e723dc19d4e92fa57f46f5417499a90e550:0","id":"trade:0x88306e4f369f2faa01af8d443d2c3e723dc19d4e92fa57f46f5417499a90e550:0","implied":0.9699310096,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9699310096,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1786494052,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","usd":19119.99997603825,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x52c4218e5a7cf268e7eed5ce7e12477617ba8a1bc489a4b8da0ed38f44672004:0","id":"trade:0x52c4218e5a7cf268e7eed5ce7e12477617ba8a1bc489a4b8da0ed38f44672004:0","implied":0.9499578252,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9499578252,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786308234,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?","usd":12973.999998844378,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x44d3ac7a6632d6b0551eea11b4348c9b4d462b348f59bb33c9720758dc513b23:0","id":"trade:0x44d3ac7a6632d6b0551eea11b4348c9b4d462b348f59bb33c9720758dc513b23:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1786308217,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?","usd":12974.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8f8984d0bc9d1e9341dfa67381c406e4c65292e7fa474e8502d307bf0ee5012e:0","id":"trade:0x8f8984d0bc9d1e9341dfa67381c406e4c65292e7fa474e8502d307bf0ee5012e:0","implied":0.8776274484,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8776274484,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1785678452,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?","usd":12138.999993022004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbae36412355abb63a8afa1c2cc2c33cb372e4beb0d7d375d0f5d4eea451ed5de:0","id":"trade:0xbae36412355abb63a8afa1c2cc2c33cb372e4beb0d7d375d0f5d4eea451ed5de:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785678431,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?","usd":11976.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1f21ff0dd4a3624d9e4fbb255f889253c66c328a003901f4829ae3f034abfbac:0","id":"trade:0x1f21ff0dd4a3624d9e4fbb255f889253c66c328a003901f4829ae3f034abfbac:0","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.87,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1785672123,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?","usd":30999.99999909,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2715f2fa9b4eb45e96152547224b8689d0f8db33eddc7fa73990ce2aa53be80c:0","id":"trade:0x2715f2fa9b4eb45e96152547224b8689d0f8db33eddc7fa73990ce2aa53be80c:0","implied":0.001992527692307733,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9980074723076923,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785672075,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?","usd":51896.38856,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf5bbcc8d58249917a8b7c9ca9925b51c32d50c685ceca805c374b8eff1b3d20e:0","id":"trade:0xf5bbcc8d58249917a8b7c9ca9925b51c32d50c685ceca805c374b8eff1b3d20e:0","implied":0.9989904985,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9989904985,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785587778,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?","usd":40860.68938983703,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xacc56bf5a374b3c37bd002f7ae6b58e6f360c507777567015f28754ccdf3f788:1","id":"trade:0xacc56bf5a374b3c37bd002f7ae6b58e6f360c507777567015f28754ccdf3f788:1","implied":0.985,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.985,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785544899,"title":"Israel closes its airspace by July 31?","usd":23904.99993401,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x7d352ec1d718dd1f2d2fdb93d65fd3908cf34755d1aa45a8697a84d2b5ae1e8e","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe6379fc5f314234229f2f9f8be35a55586cff3592492357010278fad5c216c5d:1","id":"trade:0xe6379fc5f314234229f2f9f8be35a55586cff3592492357010278fad5c216c5d:1","implied":0.003999917699999966,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9960000823,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785517362,"title":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?","usd":10767.7568897453,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0x7d352ec1d718dd1f2d2fdb93d65fd3908cf34755d1aa45a8697a84d2b5ae1e8e","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfe069cd1f91e0451ec74e444971df24661607c320f78f369f4a17cfe502bbbc2:1","id":"trade:0xfe069cd1f91e0451ec74e444971df24661607c320f78f369f4a17cfe502bbbc2:1","implied":0.918,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.918,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784213920,"title":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?","usd":12999.999993048,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"},{"condition_id":"0xc0aed6d5d893988b4bef5a8242435bbc7c3b45b1e438bcffc9e9bf71d173ae46","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x493558ac88a66fd94d79d8cc933950f8d3cbf9bdd59cb73c571cb638558de070:1","id":"trade:0x493558ac88a66fd94d79d8cc933950f8d3cbf9bdd59cb73c571cb638558de070:1","implied":0.050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1783932554,"title":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?","usd":10774.253999999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"}],"record":{"called":3,"edge":-0.13132573208,"exp_rate":0.73132573208,"expected":3.6566286604,"hit":0.6,"n":5,"se":0.125216242314611},"wallet":"0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e"}