{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa3c2e28768e066753cf5c344ce291f3b8bf289367b49d8c448f5467b6778824a:1","id":"trade:0xa3c2e28768e066753cf5c344ce291f3b8bf289367b49d8c448f5467b6778824a:1","implied":0.4631869630014419,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.4631869630014419,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1783753544,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":32527.7584,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7359631b6803f5a3ed85124795f011ca8d41cd9e7c26d0229e045a20fdb23f6e:0","id":"trade:0x7359631b6803f5a3ed85124795f011ca8d41cd9e7c26d0229e045a20fdb23f6e:0","implied":0.3725988534005008,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3725988534005008,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1783752886,"title":"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":45198.02194,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf79e628939834107e74d2aba0629c170d7bfe02065237b99004f3da299ab3811:0","id":"trade:0xf79e628939834107e74d2aba0629c170d7bfe02065237b99004f3da299ab3811:0","implied":0.319161501955005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.319161501955005,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1783624672,"title":"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":79568.96358000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xed1bef295cdf8865095946af1fb38c152583902537af0da6090b2c79aca7baf1:0","id":"trade:0xed1bef295cdf8865095946af1fb38c152583902537af0da6090b2c79aca7baf1:0","implied":0.321,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.321,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1783600853,"title":"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":76101.46341,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc8c0b20c11b2d5d754546f1a9026882d39979f2c5ec55a5b046087f6acc6de34:0","id":"trade:0xc8c0b20c11b2d5d754546f1a9026882d39979f2c5ec55a5b046087f6acc6de34:0","implied":0.32,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.32,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1783596901,"title":"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":199996.57600000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0b2cff1cf9d82ae0c08e8e33835321937e981339ee561afdbbc98e110b41a10e:1","id":"trade:0x0b2cff1cf9d82ae0c08e8e33835321937e981339ee561afdbbc98e110b41a10e:1","implied":0.45,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.45,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1782939505,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":15067.647000000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9882d97a8a0d1f410280cc2778670185beb451a30c193fa807fcfd90b2bd4e8d:1","id":"trade:0x9882d97a8a0d1f410280cc2778670185beb451a30c193fa807fcfd90b2bd4e8d:1","implied":0.41,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.41,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1782733366,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":11487.8884,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x825bc4151fd9c139c4f0400c1a6f5d60cf67b2d04f12d69fd9fb5de67b13e4bc","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x689124c0bb49cf0739a83e1bf46acad9beb182da35c183349c51d03eea1aade5:0","id":"trade:0x689124c0bb49cf0739a83e1bf46acad9beb182da35c183349c51d03eea1aade5:0","implied":0.53,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.53,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1781774683,"title":"Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?","usd":182279.0522,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x28f38dee18d25a64c31326e85976d9b1c21ba272ed458b12b448103d6ace69e5:0","id":"trade:0x28f38dee18d25a64c31326e85976d9b1c21ba272ed458b12b448103d6ace69e5:0","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781722076,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":150849.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xa5501b4dc0c99c382b1c2871ad9141c7f58509a0f962f70a38bb6566ec570049","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2c82214eac24b88b0979f05754691fb8c1d9a682fe1a32aee159c6cde5069cfd:0","id":"trade:0x2c82214eac24b88b0979f05754691fb8c1d9a682fe1a32aee159c6cde5069cfd:0","implied":0.9012161238281067,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9012161238281067,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781539098,"title":"Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?","usd":148768.41999801,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfe08d08ba8e35ac586fc203edd4162b57b8fe99ae5c033f4830133388c212d41:0","id":"trade:0xfe08d08ba8e35ac586fc203edd4162b57b8fe99ae5c033f4830133388c212d41:0","implied":0.0050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781538984,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":149250.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd09f114328b4cdf21e76445f025d502069d5de440d78387ebefb68b8f3ba20e2:0","id":"trade:0xd09f114328b4cdf21e76445f025d502069d5de440d78387ebefb68b8f3ba20e2:0","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781533105,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":22939.999986,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb2b34ff5c4cdc20eb378aa86ba930f6f04c69ff53f4bb33cfcc5489e6753bd1e:0","id":"trade:0xb2b34ff5c4cdc20eb378aa86ba930f6f04c69ff53f4bb33cfcc5489e6753bd1e:0","implied":0.0050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781459284,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":26865.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x38193bcadb813918d9553d841512ffdb82539514736a7f5f28617cea53d91737:0","id":"trade:0x38193bcadb813918d9553d841512ffdb82539514736a7f5f28617cea53d91737:0","implied":0.9936808585450314,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9936808585450314,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781263435,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":396700.78520891856,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x842aad11826a648e6ea31836c3f2a622554fde76cd01aa11462809287e87cf95:1","id":"trade:0x842aad11826a648e6ea31836c3f2a622554fde76cd01aa11462809287e87cf95:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780527984,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":498440.51898000005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x27bd07deec79919492cb737b0ac250cc7f5f42289b74450615694d6084981cf2:0","id":"trade:0x27bd07deec79919492cb737b0ac250cc7f5f42289b74450615694d6084981cf2:0","implied":0.9930000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9930000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777443868,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be P\u00e9ter Magyar?","usd":13173.167790000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x74f164630605ba7c4af72c019690adb647fdecdce3aa29d44fb84e5416b45b8f:1","id":"trade:0x74f164630605ba7c4af72c019690adb647fdecdce3aa29d44fb84e5416b45b8f:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777443576,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":21037.7112,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x06008c045f4ccd32646769ef6b8e604144d9ae596cc61b1f2e741ad4e6f1bda2:0","id":"trade:0x06008c045f4ccd32646769ef6b8e604144d9ae596cc61b1f2e741ad4e6f1bda2:0","implied":0.9902105695143149,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9902105695143149,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776245712,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be P\u00e9ter Magyar?","usd":170470.57198003805,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x94b168db0af7f38ab72afc927c4d7267f90d7a70a37c4c7d4a6cd41b783d941d:0","id":"trade:0x94b168db0af7f38ab72afc927c4d7267f90d7a70a37c4c7d4a6cd41b783d941d:0","implied":0.71,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.71,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775826401,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be P\u00e9ter Magyar?","usd":12111.556299999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x38d70967b6ff642e9726cee32342af1561ac3dce73559690800c03afd67a19d1:1","id":"trade:0x38d70967b6ff642e9726cee32342af1561ac3dce73559690800c03afd67a19d1:1","implied":0.67,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.67,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775650955,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":12730.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x16b59dd0e949e945109761a450ac8a673a6f4f4fc85a87c4f22ad8a4ab53db56:1","id":"trade:0x16b59dd0e949e945109761a450ac8a673a6f4f4fc85a87c4f22ad8a4ab53db56:1","implied":0.6675860198137797,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6675860198137797,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775338441,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":47312.40869990001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x581ddd69e414a1813b1a95233793090afc4e9168f1807ae766a54b4129e56ff2:1","id":"trade:0x581ddd69e414a1813b1a95233793090afc4e9168f1807ae766a54b4129e56ff2:1","implied":0.6650242539237753,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6650242539237753,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775121805,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":35010.2617,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x07620e9554a732d75fc94126eecfc68f28ddd701c9332016752b6342f4c69d3e:0","id":"trade:0x07620e9554a732d75fc94126eecfc68f28ddd701c9332016752b6342f4c69d3e:0","implied":0.6883280047,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6883280047,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775068215,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be P\u00e9ter Magyar?","usd":24978.34949887567,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfdf4e544494c3a9776a591ce9eafb8751fc5703d6337408e4e099f8b72a24b43:1","id":"trade:0xfdf4e544494c3a9776a591ce9eafb8751fc5703d6337408e4e099f8b72a24b43:1","implied":0.47135978349999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.47135978349999996,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772303915,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":17409.235238973844,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3327c9ac7a141ff8af73d544c1c6e1be6e36337b230cabdb78d19f917485cf73:1","id":"trade:0x3327c9ac7a141ff8af73d544c1c6e1be6e36337b230cabdb78d19f917485cf73:1","implied":0.271414137,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.271414137,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1772303847,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":11036.6759013132,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcb0448275ad64bde9856310a8b9e514073d648e833fbd3be6fb4cfbcdbc8a113:1","id":"trade:0xcb0448275ad64bde9856310a8b9e514073d648e833fbd3be6fb4cfbcdbc8a113:1","implied":0.5518417792,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5518417792,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1772283607,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":11633.122700096768,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfb5b285781a93b2a107083843e3fe8cd529177613b4702a9264d36c549c1fdd3:1","id":"trade:0xfb5b285781a93b2a107083843e3fe8cd529177613b4702a9264d36c549c1fdd3:1","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772234721,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":42302.3322,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x356ea3cea5dbabf4ebacabb710535f476f2acd7c9b81333f32b8f3d0f076221e:1","id":"trade:0x356ea3cea5dbabf4ebacabb710535f476f2acd7c9b81333f32b8f3d0f076221e:1","implied":0.83907885,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.83907885,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772215639,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":19334.474401125,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfcc1b692448a6aff7d372db2e5dae44b6797b942a0505b694ccd2da04b36d995:1","id":"trade:0xfcc1b692448a6aff7d372db2e5dae44b6797b942a0505b694ccd2da04b36d995:1","implied":0.84,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.84,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772193495,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":16407.6612,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x52daade3b849f4ef66fa786170336670fe0710a93061ca09ab9ac2cf187e6b15:1","id":"trade:0x52daade3b849f4ef66fa786170336670fe0710a93061ca09ab9ac2cf187e6b15:1","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.91,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772142930,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":18200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x69c8811e4d38df8627eef397f8c874c4f1e83e49fb11d205296ae15ee608b66b:1","id":"trade:0x69c8811e4d38df8627eef397f8c874c4f1e83e49fb11d205296ae15ee608b66b:1","implied":0.06000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768921642,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":30080.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0ef0e12a99884fe0b2080379e6aa665b32d2b03757155aaffe0e618860b742f0:1","id":"trade:0x0ef0e12a99884fe0b2080379e6aa665b32d2b03757155aaffe0e618860b742f0:1","implied":0.78,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.78,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768326669,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":29994.627,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3ade0d11c7f7b5ee13fc58e4b61bc7a9e8bb7ea2c23d3826fb8c649c2d6ad141:1","id":"trade:0x3ade0d11c7f7b5ee13fc58e4b61bc7a9e8bb7ea2c23d3826fb8c649c2d6ad141:1","implied":0.9684617456,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9684617456,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768218886,"title":"Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?","usd":21486.379449438704,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa1d53161e7e19d768529914275096bb66801dfc6efa3a499c4bc21578fd7aef0:0","id":"trade:0xa1d53161e7e19d768529914275096bb66801dfc6efa3a499c4bc21578fd7aef0:0","implied":0.947,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.947,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768218148,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":21781.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4ecdc4ee18b37385b7c2443c919b4a1f5c7c6ad7fa0502d49560f0ce9fafa89b:1","id":"trade:0x4ecdc4ee18b37385b7c2443c919b4a1f5c7c6ad7fa0502d49560f0ce9fafa89b:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767007123,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":23206.8,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x98567e360e6964a126c0a39ee0c83d603ac0df43a44bf91f7a4e7abb45cb1256:1","id":"trade:0x98567e360e6964a126c0a39ee0c83d603ac0df43a44bf91f7a4e7abb45cb1256:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767006731,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":33990.062979999995,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x99a947d4797503e8ca0b71a822554ad4f671464ea39c8a2921ee0265666e98d2:1","id":"trade:0x99a947d4797503e8ca0b71a822554ad4f671464ea39c8a2921ee0265666e98d2:1","implied":0.018608266999999956,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.981391733,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1764003223,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":19627.83466,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6251eece5ff1ca490809e354c58acddec68c18267fa2fa891026bb8310f157d7:1","id":"trade:0x6251eece5ff1ca490809e354c58acddec68c18267fa2fa891026bb8310f157d7:1","implied":0.02213410280062844,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9778658971993716,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1763737195,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":65810.37488151771,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9f81b234805fbb6de03e1d5c59f35349cb203342723586dd1d29eb3ae78f07de:0","id":"trade:0x9f81b234805fbb6de03e1d5c59f35349cb203342723586dd1d29eb3ae78f07de:0","implied":0.07348224635148115,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9265177536485188,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760998443,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":102335.61847867823,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x851623dcb2768f8bf77c5c267b78e630d4b0a65aaeb33c2236650a42e48d5a39:1","id":"trade:0x851623dcb2768f8bf77c5c267b78e630d4b0a65aaeb33c2236650a42e48d5a39:1","implied":0.83,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.83,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1760902665,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":10876.436199999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2eb8510030141d737a2d13db155b1f50f414509beb39fa97c6f59a566cd8743b:0","id":"trade:0x2eb8510030141d737a2d13db155b1f50f414509beb39fa97c6f59a566cd8743b:0","implied":0.8863839674299703,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8863839674299703,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1760662811,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":143837.5505780734,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7993bf29d2edfca41cdefacf83b5d5a2879d7c6db0986368a16036c10df60a6d:1","id":"trade:0x7993bf29d2edfca41cdefacf83b5d5a2879d7c6db0986368a16036c10df60a6d:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1760644561,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":15805.9731,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1222ad209fb193ed0a15af4d963311015936456821c2a8392ffaec1dadd4e53a:0","id":"trade:0x1222ad209fb193ed0a15af4d963311015936456821c2a8392ffaec1dadd4e53a:0","implied":0.11988646300958261,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8801135369904174,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760644375,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":27433.46459,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x56838b9a31818a21813f5db7d8aa8dc47870bfed2f4afd321e412045d864ae36:0","id":"trade:0x56838b9a31818a21813f5db7d8aa8dc47870bfed2f4afd321e412045d864ae36:0","implied":0.1164317127320954,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8835682872679046,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760638995,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":33310.524430000005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfe350a0327c9c80d94a428311a702f1561199233fdb4a727d16e4c4f2b41231b:0","id":"trade:0xfe350a0327c9c80d94a428311a702f1561199233fdb4a727d16e4c4f2b41231b:0","implied":0.124,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.876,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760615883,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":10939.1376,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x36fa7e8b255e9b7c56232384666f8884d5ee50194c704f7a6e84ddbecb001c38:0","id":"trade:0x36fa7e8b255e9b7c56232384666f8884d5ee50194c704f7a6e84ddbecb001c38:0","implied":0.12099999999999989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8790000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760604431,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":17557.480020000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x37bea6b68fc2a683c32ebd0a1e379a33590b3d81b946bab19ffa53b94101c56e:0","id":"trade:0x37bea6b68fc2a683c32ebd0a1e379a33590b3d81b946bab19ffa53b94101c56e:0","implied":0.123,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.877,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760599240,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":10962.5,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdca534e571780f8fc600a143b1642d67293ea3f748d173cfe515ff515b7c0bbe:1","id":"trade:0xdca534e571780f8fc600a143b1642d67293ea3f748d173cfe515ff515b7c0bbe:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760557777,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":18600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8d82c3a37d17c6185a0bc76d1fc32bd4aa1cb6fa96e0d0c0b2623730990075fe:0","id":"trade:0x8d82c3a37d17c6185a0bc76d1fc32bd4aa1cb6fa96e0d0c0b2623730990075fe:0","implied":0.12251219512195122,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8774878048780488,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760544813,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":21586.2,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe87b1cf6e8ab6a460b1369a678036b14d5b913e90c4cb7dbf2149427fab306ad:0","id":"trade:0xe87b1cf6e8ab6a460b1369a678036b14d5b913e90c4cb7dbf2149427fab306ad:0","implied":0.10979510280000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8902048972,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760398917,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":69435.9819816,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"}],"record":{"called":4,"edge":-0.23735664177549623,"exp_rate":0.5230709274897819,"expected":7.322992984856947,"hit":0.2857142857142857,"n":14,"se":0.11994893204384487},"wallet":"0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0"}