{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3cd4ab27838915783ca9eb3f1aa49190c7d4b8a76b43fc6b5ce7abef26c047f4:1","id":"trade:0x3cd4ab27838915783ca9eb3f1aa49190c7d4b8a76b43fc6b5ce7abef26c047f4:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":null,"side":"BUY","status":"pending","t":1792528172,"title":"Will GameStop acquire eBay?","usd":20610.9297,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xed9877deadc05bf99dd73e1d0a85232fbcf5732c0b2a3647a95b0d2cfeefdd9a:0","id":"trade:0xed9877deadc05bf99dd73e1d0a85232fbcf5732c0b2a3647a95b0d2cfeefdd9a:0","implied":0.982967118,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.982967118,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1789934506,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":15245.82000018,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xd8b94a79241263ba30e9cd7f58e88bf2a9013ce2ccdce73606916b2f53033466","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x174a532e356bf2230fb8241af330d1813e3fe1f037e2de653f0c2e666a11dd7b:1","id":"trade:0x174a532e356bf2230fb8241af330d1813e3fe1f037e2de653f0c2e666a11dd7b:1","implied":0.9899999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9899999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1787068681,"title":"Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?","usd":54526.4874,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9cfa00e140e89ef489d8bf190e49b1e3f90a959081cc2f976473bd3b44ca663f:1","id":"trade:0x9cfa00e140e89ef489d8bf190e49b1e3f90a959081cc2f976473bd3b44ca663f:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784148037,"title":"Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":12524.058,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x481bf9afba1ff6b38c3e849fe24a37c0c68a89826f88c18ec28cff36bd7aa2a8:0","id":"trade:0x481bf9afba1ff6b38c3e849fe24a37c0c68a89826f88c18ec28cff36bd7aa2a8:0","implied":0.2937002378,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7062997622,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1781472630,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":10132.272679623455,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x66cca21fbc723e885514805bfffab94eb9494990498eeb8df2e1190f0194097a:0","id":"trade:0x66cca21fbc723e885514805bfffab94eb9494990498eeb8df2e1190f0194097a:0","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781364715,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":398000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf1dad61ae8c9c8376d7ec3634375c95ab0ccab9c6af856a153a264c62acb6333:0","id":"trade:0xf1dad61ae8c9c8376d7ec3634375c95ab0ccab9c6af856a153a264c62acb6333:0","implied":0.35843449950000006,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.35843449950000006,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781199169,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10624.059499044915,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe39f08ed7eb1f8e5cd9d19cd364aa17fe1a843c35163208fa967be6dd26fb0bb:1","id":"trade:0xe39f08ed7eb1f8e5cd9d19cd364aa17fe1a843c35163208fa967be6dd26fb0bb:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780449893,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":398800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3db91a52324bcaab7ec7ccf11d20e7ee3de1631a76782828da6587838578b142:1","id":"trade:0x3db91a52324bcaab7ec7ccf11d20e7ee3de1631a76782828da6587838578b142:1","implied":0.75,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.75,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779782136,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":27000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5a59e512df9a08192232dfaaaebccadb2bdde83a639ef8b1537e3b0a764d7f5e:1","id":"trade:0x5a59e512df9a08192232dfaaaebccadb2bdde83a639ef8b1537e3b0a764d7f5e:1","implied":0.95,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779781597,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":57000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1a00dc6e44cea7901f15c6ab6a98224a2178cdb1eeea1f2c2e4697314fa66844:0","id":"trade:0x1a00dc6e44cea7901f15c6ab6a98224a2178cdb1eeea1f2c2e4697314fa66844:0","implied":0.6296602678,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6296602678,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779579383,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":14807.569399388325,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x44ea6ba3679f6512bc3fe8fc598a40f6a943613044fe03eacb38efa2ddc0a25b:1","id":"trade:0x44ea6ba3679f6512bc3fe8fc598a40f6a943613044fe03eacb38efa2ddc0a25b:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779438373,"title":"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":19861.29882,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x5341e90b72330a8eb96cb685dcffe51ad41783cc12e91b6858b9bd996b3d5b63","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x382ce03511907fd6be424143fed705063e1a101716bc34b5e08d20d3c0979547:1","id":"trade:0x382ce03511907fd6be424143fed705063e1a101716bc34b5e08d20d3c0979547:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779438370,"title":"Will Trump say \"Strait\" or \"Hormuz\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":36673.12017,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x72461c6d4f0cfbc5908425fa9985eb9a5057b40b56b502982a09e1aacf418b09:1","id":"trade:0x72461c6d4f0cfbc5908425fa9985eb9a5057b40b56b502982a09e1aacf418b09:1","implied":0.0009999999999998899,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9990000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779438365,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":193841.00496000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7d8a8efc8a9df6cfb01885c4b44b281114a7c8f2679122281d8f49bf1c75b38c:0","id":"trade:0x7d8a8efc8a9df6cfb01885c4b44b281114a7c8f2679122281d8f49bf1c75b38c:0","implied":0.13,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.13,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779347291,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":26000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x5341e90b72330a8eb96cb685dcffe51ad41783cc12e91b6858b9bd996b3d5b63","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0993c4c8fbc11b75336a77922981b56d8119027f67de971474756606d2eed945:1","id":"trade:0x0993c4c8fbc11b75336a77922981b56d8119027f67de971474756606d2eed945:1","implied":0.9960000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9960000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779330460,"title":"Will Trump say \"Strait\" or \"Hormuz\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":34571.00064,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd94d38c1efea85e95f2145e384f2b8299bbe89b1f08597cfdb9e63ff3c465840:1","id":"trade:0xd94d38c1efea85e95f2145e384f2b8299bbe89b1f08597cfdb9e63ff3c465840:1","implied":0.9959999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9959999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779330456,"title":"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":19801.65528,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x841fd6887448d10582cfa5c7a9b9f683c08479f5bd124e4a43d8a854dd7ed411:1","id":"trade:0x841fd6887448d10582cfa5c7a9b9f683c08479f5bd124e4a43d8a854dd7ed411:1","implied":0.9959999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9959999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779330451,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":92026.81439999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x62a19e9fd5e8d439fe1dca288582b4ccdf6f3f5977c862637ffba2b186a56fc6:1","id":"trade:0x62a19e9fd5e8d439fe1dca288582b4ccdf6f3f5977c862637ffba2b186a56fc6:1","implied":0.9909999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9909999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779242666,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":73631.57747999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x496758fe7fc7eca40a314992f01322288debe30a3ea627ce449545ebfcd9c6ba:1","id":"trade:0x496758fe7fc7eca40a314992f01322288debe30a3ea627ce449545ebfcd9c6ba:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777509290,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":580254.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x151790273a8f65795447566ffb536bfd0f20326881fe74ce00f83bfc626080b2:0","id":"trade:0x151790273a8f65795447566ffb536bfd0f20326881fe74ce00f83bfc626080b2:0","implied":0.38,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.38,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777383226,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","usd":26600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x027ca39e445e28b503527ffe3d7aa4eb21a32046b02de736f61a6787464ab549:0","id":"trade:0x027ca39e445e28b503527ffe3d7aa4eb21a32046b02de736f61a6787464ab549:0","implied":0.61,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.39,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1776500796,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":19500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xda4d6c26a5b1aa0445fde29426af32e3173e87c756a921eaebedc10641b34453:0","id":"trade:0xda4d6c26a5b1aa0445fde29426af32e3173e87c756a921eaebedc10641b34453:0","implied":0.36,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.36,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1776476800,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":11944.1844,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa002abc358200a014a9cb0c9f57fed84bc4c6762d87fe83a6eae3a05d7bf6b02:0","id":"trade:0xa002abc358200a014a9cb0c9f57fed84bc4c6762d87fe83a6eae3a05d7bf6b02:0","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775732821,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":299400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6f647557f90c4792fb47e236144d5ac33bde819f8433588206c241973ca8887d:0","id":"trade:0x6f647557f90c4792fb47e236144d5ac33bde819f8433588206c241973ca8887d:0","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775693637,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":372434.3307,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xea7980bfad20a33a83ac4653cac936d8f7e0ab1e20a1652fe5d38b9774ec8332:0","id":"trade:0xea7980bfad20a33a83ac4653cac936d8f7e0ab1e20a1652fe5d38b9774ec8332:0","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775693627,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":870182.18676,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5e679bd79fe9accb9df867999dd80a19a5d3a9bc792a1eb54e61d676979f561d:0","id":"trade:0x5e679bd79fe9accb9df867999dd80a19a5d3a9bc792a1eb54e61d676979f561d:0","implied":0.007000000000000117,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9929999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775609849,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":13070.024879999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x08a47a1f8ae9ab4d83f7e5d508ccce600b0e84dee582dc10cc79040511013a2e:0","id":"trade:0x08a47a1f8ae9ab4d83f7e5d508ccce600b0e84dee582dc10cc79040511013a2e:0","implied":0.9970000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9970000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775551793,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":34866.85469,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x426f95b4d00296f3cf4806a29a4717e226c1f2bd85329b92e74e4fbed9c5140b:0","id":"trade:0x426f95b4d00296f3cf4806a29a4717e226c1f2bd85329b92e74e4fbed9c5140b:0","implied":0.07999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775355161,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":10375.106800000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1a775fe7dc07df64d500b2934df26b1ec8b774610f6e5d39c4955b168550a38d:0","id":"trade:0x1a775fe7dc07df64d500b2934df26b1ec8b774610f6e5d39c4955b168550a38d:0","implied":0.8480472867,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8480472867,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775341895,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":25441.418600999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x412c8f5bc7b01b6ec49f130b56dbda5be827c0a6408b735ad18a20bb859652b1:1","id":"trade:0x412c8f5bc7b01b6ec49f130b56dbda5be827c0a6408b735ad18a20bb859652b1:1","implied":0.1399999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8600000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775177109,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":42999.922600000005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3c60d202a429986d61d0ad74d259589f7ff4dbc517d7d92a21993fcd58394472:1","id":"trade:0x3c60d202a429986d61d0ad74d259589f7ff4dbc517d7d92a21993fcd58394472:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775018309,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":128080.28151,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc09c86a4731aa9d34351cd0b312b57d6e8be5467a5bf68576f8c0907dc5a0b2f:1","id":"trade:0xc09c86a4731aa9d34351cd0b312b57d6e8be5467a5bf68576f8c0907dc5a0b2f:1","implied":0.9899999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9899999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1774439339,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":23344.8039,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdf3c06d6dee5f34eb7586a47fc26bde6cc5754fb6b132a80a1a54bfce4a58cd8:1","id":"trade:0xdf3c06d6dee5f34eb7586a47fc26bde6cc5754fb6b132a80a1a54bfce4a58cd8:1","implied":0.25062947719999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7493705228,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1774375427,"title":"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","usd":16082.46560096764,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xab8cdb9c9df4774703598b10b5608a5f444c2addc78ddca9e490b458c57ecb84:1","id":"trade:0xab8cdb9c9df4774703598b10b5608a5f444c2addc78ddca9e490b458c57ecb84:1","implied":0.9890000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9890000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1774250029,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":12140.93433,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x816dd62050c0523f65871f5add22435e97c935bf0d1de1565c1ff87dceddba3d:1","id":"trade:0x816dd62050c0523f65871f5add22435e97c935bf0d1de1565c1ff87dceddba3d:1","implied":0.938,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.938,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773513671,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":33071.98524,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb7d8f6118388d80ab04656d5d8372576334c5def8e9dfb382a7ab1f0c6e387d0:1","id":"trade:0xb7d8f6118388d80ab04656d5d8372576334c5def8e9dfb382a7ab1f0c6e387d0:1","implied":0.9380852383955,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9380852383955,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773503733,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":38010.55720011878,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x44f8d7891201e350e7ee118f60639a152fd888758bb91f1ffc23b1b0ad80db53:0","id":"trade:0x44f8d7891201e350e7ee118f60639a152fd888758bb91f1ffc23b1b0ad80db53:0","implied":0.9989999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9989999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772560835,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":139629.69053999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4b0afcc60e5bb23c43d7ae3e1d71bcee86fe175b2fb252542b6aa37838da9212:0","id":"trade:0x4b0afcc60e5bb23c43d7ae3e1d71bcee86fe175b2fb252542b6aa37838da9212:0","implied":0.7858234334,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7858234334,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772286671,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":12855.049799960581,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd7698f9033b0b8e8c300f9a21c751a32e3f4c601666fc101d2326567db0532ff:1","id":"trade:0xd7698f9033b0b8e8c300f9a21c751a32e3f4c601666fc101d2326567db0532ff:1","implied":0.62,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.62,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771433884,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":23866.4226,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xee483d462c5ef89bfb5e7662abb62714354a0f6f3a6c6c0df74933607ae9b81b","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8096f9cb7b8f0c1cdeaf3e66a2804a2b71bccbdfe4b74097889434115c04f762:1","id":"trade:0x8096f9cb7b8f0c1cdeaf3e66a2804a2b71bccbdfe4b74097889434115c04f762:1","implied":0.8303331446,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8303331446,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1770573507,"title":"Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?","usd":13845.340199644023,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4e91390e64424b555e70321da04de9a15fac01f0ef6d162727787f699c9b2a64:1","id":"trade:0x4e91390e64424b555e70321da04de9a15fac01f0ef6d162727787f699c9b2a64:1","implied":0.4683775244,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.4683775244,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1769661380,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":16192.307498683864,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3ddc6999f8e81f7ed20fbfbf78eb8103846f0f05bed0a6f7c4ec766fcc2e94a9:1","id":"trade:0x3ddc6999f8e81f7ed20fbfbf78eb8103846f0f05bed0a6f7c4ec766fcc2e94a9:1","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769605141,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":33014.872800000005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa781cffce48e30e2437dbf15c1dfcaf58c10e3d4b361828aaf8395e736461497:0","id":"trade:0xa781cffce48e30e2437dbf15c1dfcaf58c10e3d4b361828aaf8395e736461497:0","implied":0.78,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.78,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769325362,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":18256.422599999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd5d73ca5c65d0c0adea5e9e659de3ff4c956905710c92e6bc0fbe8f15ca7ad46:1","id":"trade:0xd5d73ca5c65d0c0adea5e9e659de3ff4c956905710c92e6bc0fbe8f15ca7ad46:1","implied":0.9399999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9399999999999998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769231516,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":13292.699799999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x33023bd25f0e6d8334d6d2fe57409662286f0ef01b33e04fe612a709f55b37e6:1","id":"trade:0x33023bd25f0e6d8334d6d2fe57409662286f0ef01b33e04fe612a709f55b37e6:1","implied":0.72,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.72,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769199000,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":13078.778400000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3ade1db8a6c7c2635eaf2628591aa86fdf466ec53e4c42d70967d2909b08ffe2:1","id":"trade:0x3ade1db8a6c7c2635eaf2628591aa86fdf466ec53e4c42d70967d2909b08ffe2:1","implied":0.8400000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8400000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768478496,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":33600.8064,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x30620ba68c726514bd7efbef63384670e3248ab2702ad72b082d044b2da120e2:1","id":"trade:0x30620ba68c726514bd7efbef63384670e3248ab2702ad72b082d044b2da120e2:1","implied":0.8,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768461378,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":15762.416000000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd7354245237cd3da410a9a267a20eb38db4f0127917c894ab69e9994c71866d5:1","id":"trade:0xd7354245237cd3da410a9a267a20eb38db4f0127917c894ab69e9994c71866d5:1","implied":0.79,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.79,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768374170,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":12118.086500000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x55caf4bcd5dc830ca35047a3e41edb13de7473db64d9c2e1d114396b1877c54b:1","id":"trade:0x55caf4bcd5dc830ca35047a3e41edb13de7473db64d9c2e1d114396b1877c54b:1","implied":0.79,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.79,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768339034,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":86997.3359,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"}],"record":{"called":6,"edge":-0.01469557348999997,"exp_rate":0.6146955734899999,"expected":6.1469557349,"hit":0.6,"n":10,"se":0.12220614367781564},"wallet":"0xe25b9180f5687aa85bd94ee309bb72a464320f1b"}