{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0429b7d1edbf8ac79dd5e418aa5702c58908696a44dd338813e5d02be057cc12:0","id":"trade:0x0429b7d1edbf8ac79dd5e418aa5702c58908696a44dd338813e5d02be057cc12:0","implied":0.8,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789386547,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":20000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x662c0832bfa0f1198c9b534556d57ebe88382b746d84820e75f1e0576d2753d6:1","id":"trade:0x662c0832bfa0f1198c9b534556d57ebe88382b746d84820e75f1e0576d2753d6:1","implied":0.022026820799999958,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9779731792,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1788601068,"title":"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","usd":24449.309920536416,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4d05f517e2aef783331f6ec28815624c4b57af36d7a212e9e389e2134342c695:1","id":"trade:0x4d05f517e2aef783331f6ec28815624c4b57af36d7a212e9e389e2134342c695:1","implied":0.9719704294999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9719704294999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1787744493,"title":"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","usd":19439.40859,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xd8b94a79241263ba30e9cd7f58e88bf2a9013ce2ccdce73606916b2f53033466","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x413c0c10d4216a1f84f89e2eeef93d9b1cda68fa80a13943cddc5a37eb55d515:1","id":"trade:0x413c0c10d4216a1f84f89e2eeef93d9b1cda68fa80a13943cddc5a37eb55d515:1","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1787065977,"title":"Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?","usd":33758.5743,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x4ede078cae84a5877ac32d7fb48811e5c23549a1904b7df06ff7935c6d79d831","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x10a56fe6078d3401485e43b75df2e64de0b26bf5d6e2a7caecb584d903887bf6:1","id":"trade:0x10a56fe6078d3401485e43b75df2e64de0b26bf5d6e2a7caecb584d903887bf6:1","implied":0.9959999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9959999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785002779,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":11254.8,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xc0b7319f73f248310b059c231fb069e64dbd68ca81dd9933728ca192b54c3cc4","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x01f4488a6de97538f9c3d5ed58ef8e76df420b921bfbef596af63079d7dd7924:0","id":"trade:0x01f4488a6de97538f9c3d5ed58ef8e76df420b921bfbef596af63079d7dd7924:0","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784580036,"title":"Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?","usd":24875.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb834ed2f21fb40bcd5a196313be90a80a5881fedfc997e4d213443d72a70e872:1","id":"trade:0xb834ed2f21fb40bcd5a196313be90a80a5881fedfc997e4d213443d72a70e872:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780473161,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":49800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9e9b99fbe330ceb40515548da19b4a448d3a3439430aa652e3db1f98e0dc4a30:1","id":"trade:0x9e9b99fbe330ceb40515548da19b4a448d3a3439430aa652e3db1f98e0dc4a30:1","implied":0.992,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.992,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780433730,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":49600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4bc50c95af1e39521044a685a0416a74ac0cc482aac13c3de8ef9e701165fe90:1","id":"trade:0x4bc50c95af1e39521044a685a0416a74ac0cc482aac13c3de8ef9e701165fe90:1","implied":0.009000000000000008,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.991,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780405618,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":49550.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd7572294ea26259b94b5a47ddabfaf650b94b430d1323c57c33212740c81ee9c:1","id":"trade:0xd7572294ea26259b94b5a47ddabfaf650b94b430d1323c57c33212740c81ee9c:1","implied":0.992,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.992,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780394525,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":49600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf6c455c2e43002eed8d96eeafca43f3848a82b45cc8f9c0546e2d46c77961a2f:0","id":"trade:0xf6c455c2e43002eed8d96eeafca43f3848a82b45cc8f9c0546e2d46c77961a2f:0","implied":0.3136285778,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6863714222,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1780319510,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":13727.42158028578,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x52b3ab6bab2392ea6458483204cf5cb47dbbc9d921fdb777ab55549439613474:1","id":"trade:0x52b3ab6bab2392ea6458483204cf5cb47dbbc9d921fdb777ab55549439613474:1","implied":0.038999999999999924,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9610000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779477607,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":18581.27135,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf52aeb910f3ec5091f28b798b451bc0ba65fa7a044a302f6ce6386bae818dab2:1","id":"trade:0xf52aeb910f3ec5091f28b798b451bc0ba65fa7a044a302f6ce6386bae818dab2:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777922372,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","usd":21297.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x62107db25007fa470941e092de8557e632962bda041f3d86860c5fd487b11d24:1","id":"trade:0x62107db25007fa470941e092de8557e632962bda041f3d86860c5fd487b11d24:1","implied":0.9499291223,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9499291223,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777905718,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","usd":11494.14237983,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x157566815dffb40c9ad2dafc5c751610595f44b2e6cc39ae0bd799ce4e02f7ee:1","id":"trade:0x157566815dffb40c9ad2dafc5c751610595f44b2e6cc39ae0bd799ce4e02f7ee:1","implied":0.972,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.972,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777905520,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":15552.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6982d81b74988a3eca831d794d1d9b40d8ca3e5ae6b3e7930a75f3f9ba14a09f:1","id":"trade:0x6982d81b74988a3eca831d794d1d9b40d8ca3e5ae6b3e7930a75f3f9ba14a09f:1","implied":0.71,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.71,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775894903,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":21300.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8be5dee9e0d43efa13d9a0c09a71ba559b62fde5844b31b92fd13d3edea25290:1","id":"trade:0x8be5dee9e0d43efa13d9a0c09a71ba559b62fde5844b31b92fd13d3edea25290:1","implied":0.0019999999999998908,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9980000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775035105,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":29939.96008,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3addeaf2459654deba9c541dd58b806227e8faa19e3ced287ad96ba8bc6f5d17:1","id":"trade:0x3addeaf2459654deba9c541dd58b806227e8faa19e3ced287ad96ba8bc6f5d17:1","implied":0.74,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.74,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1774012177,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":16022.98999912,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1d65bc1c33b9154f07bcef2b558ceceeaf89a5af41db4ca8abdbc32e988dae83:1","id":"trade:0x1d65bc1c33b9154f07bcef2b558ceceeaf89a5af41db4ca8abdbc32e988dae83:1","implied":0.22999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1773172703,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":30800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7e3c159cf6c04be1f1f3e08e89202c049769592ec53ff76e1f37cee65b14a061:1","id":"trade:0x7e3c159cf6c04be1f1f3e08e89202c049769592ec53ff76e1f37cee65b14a061:1","implied":0.64,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.64,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772808441,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":12800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x59043a31e2a9e9718417b755f3479caa54c011c38cb555aea8e61967858a4c27:1","id":"trade:0x59043a31e2a9e9718417b755f3479caa54c011c38cb555aea8e61967858a4c27:1","implied":0.62,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.62,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772794245,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":12400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x54b54adcd81b8efc922d85c5bc92bc83a09a6b55718b6177a5649f417d7ddeef:1","id":"trade:0x54b54adcd81b8efc922d85c5bc92bc83a09a6b55718b6177a5649f417d7ddeef:1","implied":0.9229617625,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9229617625,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772444851,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":36918.470499999996,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x942ac8138dffd70570fc48da67060a6dc8d9a5ed4e5a15999f482c7b8b0b9026:1","id":"trade:0x942ac8138dffd70570fc48da67060a6dc8d9a5ed4e5a15999f482c7b8b0b9026:1","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771928814,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":23288.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd856a6d77bc4ada0fe9a36ffd8138fc15c359a846698e0c17deb88e5315d7e55:1","id":"trade:0xd856a6d77bc4ada0fe9a36ffd8138fc15c359a846698e0c17deb88e5315d7e55:1","implied":0.8,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1771849156,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":16000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xfc9ee9c25abd5b966088767214c22dcf3ad1c72548e9a1dbef9d4328c170e5b5","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7bdf4cfb9be4b320633388346c0fbd1c1d319a1533478d1f152428177acaecb6:1","id":"trade:0x7bdf4cfb9be4b320633388346c0fbd1c1d319a1533478d1f152428177acaecb6:1","implied":0.975,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.975,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771773996,"title":"Trump out as President by March 31?","usd":19500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9da4a8357150e013b9a616c81485ae7c3fd05d6f28bc8831cecb387b54671c80:1","id":"trade:0x9da4a8357150e013b9a616c81485ae7c3fd05d6f28bc8831cecb387b54671c80:1","implied":0.8993614883,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8993614883,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1771747614,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":15681.71659074295,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x282cf08ee3e2b517fd474951dca61afb8ac407b3c684bdb94d4ffe27726cbfde:1","id":"trade:0x282cf08ee3e2b517fd474951dca61afb8ac407b3c684bdb94d4ffe27726cbfde:1","implied":0.06000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770196012,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":34172.007999999994,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xab7f1e6288b9851d55b457fe82110441c53b141dfad4f8530ac909aad330d02b:1","id":"trade:0xab7f1e6288b9851d55b457fe82110441c53b141dfad4f8530ac909aad330d02b:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770126254,"title":"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","usd":35928.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9b4e44817f0c4228da0c605e8d36fb0fe7ad0cbd07b79df870b4b94c52aac97f:1","id":"trade:0x9b4e44817f0c4228da0c605e8d36fb0fe7ad0cbd07b79df870b4b94c52aac97f:1","implied":0.84,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.84,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1769553765,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":16796.178,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x60c7d191ee2808417523e00ac85a4682324af4f1d887243f9f69b388524d6942","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x40496b9478a3530fb52c608567e52b8e59ea26c9fdad3e3c22643cbee84ec85b:1","id":"trade:0x40496b9478a3530fb52c608567e52b8e59ea26c9fdad3e3c22643cbee84ec85b:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769553691,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?","usd":11231.7402,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xa0eafdfa7da17483796f77f4b287d28834ab97db4a9a6e999b52c1ba239bc2f3","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaa77e6d48488a7d0861851dba3409b284cddac6365eadf0e80cf928391d45eff:0","id":"trade:0xaa77e6d48488a7d0861851dba3409b284cddac6365eadf0e80cf928391d45eff:0","implied":0.6232709892,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3767290108,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768987374,"title":"Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?","usd":11301.791210907732,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x69f5daf1ebc287e966503a6c5317977f839593b5c3ddd049df285212d91e3098:1","id":"trade:0x69f5daf1ebc287e966503a6c5317977f839593b5c3ddd049df285212d91e3098:1","implied":0.07999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768736024,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":55234.3344,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x62e01db60cbb60b65818b9726858a10937f93a7052c64421d3949d721a4553f7:1","id":"trade:0x62e01db60cbb60b65818b9726858a10937f93a7052c64421d3949d721a4553f7:1","implied":0.052549726499999894,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9474502735000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768556594,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":32792.57092171517,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd5ffc4961e6a080bd71cdd640d8cf31e5d5c3799c2af44736aec6e5910196e90:1","id":"trade:0xd5ffc4961e6a080bd71cdd640d8cf31e5d5c3799c2af44736aec6e5910196e90:1","implied":0.88,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.88,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767648799,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":15671.6472,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x489932b1f5c842cf9b6636d07f036d58ad2c4bdcb53e1339c6322668d47eae5c:0","id":"trade:0x489932b1f5c842cf9b6636d07f036d58ad2c4bdcb53e1339c6322668d47eae5c:0","implied":0.006999999999999895,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9930000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767435009,"title":"Maduro out by January 31, 2026?","usd":21369.18126,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8a49b701c5f9053661f081034cfd954830d803f6aa131a6855e822472d6eebc8:0","id":"trade:0x8a49b701c5f9053661f081034cfd954830d803f6aa131a6855e822472d6eebc8:0","implied":0.44901356449999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5509864355,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1767425383,"title":"Maduro out by January 31, 2026?","usd":11019.723200135646,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9e4980f3553f72769327e92522e25a9ff325b6c3abec50efe0fb0a330b43e806:1","id":"trade:0x9e4980f3553f72769327e92522e25a9ff325b6c3abec50efe0fb0a330b43e806:1","implied":0.0384088051,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9615911949,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1767297785,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":26498.00121905431,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7b17f88816ba0b52235b83ced19ee748499406da7ca4cf134fe1c8bd75f6f782:1","id":"trade:0x7b17f88816ba0b52235b83ced19ee748499406da7ca4cf134fe1c8bd75f6f782:1","implied":0.03355648460000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9664435154,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1767291457,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":29370.972258948008,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x11397083413ad4f0fcb8bbf7bfd3704d130931463de91b9891b052e969b6c3bf:1","id":"trade:0x11397083413ad4f0fcb8bbf7bfd3704d130931463de91b9891b052e969b6c3bf:1","implied":0.9669989828,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9669989828,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1766080099,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":48349.94914,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe1e5faf67166d754e716128c7e51c6a78b0202a3211e84475efbf154760d4bf8:1","id":"trade:0xe1e5faf67166d754e716128c7e51c6a78b0202a3211e84475efbf154760d4bf8:1","implied":0.95,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1765024775,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":47500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"}],"record":{"called":5,"edge":-0.2414655340769231,"exp_rate":0.6260809186923078,"expected":8.139051943,"hit":0.38461538461538464,"n":13,"se":0.09315744924511098},"wallet":"0xdf705353876ceb2549f0c03ffcb4cba33d785e92"}