{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7fbadfdd4ddc94f2b029e871749b58f4c430e7e03b48dd3b3df6638b08c5f2e0:1","id":"trade:0x7fbadfdd4ddc94f2b029e871749b58f4c430e7e03b48dd3b3df6638b08c5f2e0:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1778459187,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":27900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf9e65434ae90bbda988aa13b021329d4d156c7d91fd511ae8ff38da5f40d0050:1","id":"trade:0xf9e65434ae90bbda988aa13b021329d4d156c7d91fd511ae8ff38da5f40d0050:1","implied":0.75,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.75,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778267424,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","usd":11809.905,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb4a8d23b5336b613799ab23d5b5b2a77bbb77e2ad3ea02b1628a2a9857ec7c71:1","id":"trade:0xb4a8d23b5336b613799ab23d5b5b2a77bbb77e2ad3ea02b1628a2a9857ec7c71:1","implied":0.86,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.86,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773410653,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":12040.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x08b4155a86b63303e9a5d3855849b01a1c19b888e4e1d34fd7bc90cb5c12b7e7:1","id":"trade:0x08b4155a86b63303e9a5d3855849b01a1c19b888e4e1d34fd7bc90cb5c12b7e7:1","implied":0.009000000000000119,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9909999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1773083859,"title":"Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?","usd":10643.75622,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd74caf349796b198ca7344c4ca8cff5e5c82024be7da3b04747690489846098e:1","id":"trade:0xd74caf349796b198ca7344c4ca8cff5e5c82024be7da3b04747690489846098e:1","implied":0.990682515,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.990682515,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772373793,"title":"Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?","usd":25242.44187982275,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x09cbe3e796661a1d820580145488ad2ccb9ad1e720efcd64b448bb77b97007c1","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5cdc371c32d5d95ccbf1b29560dacecb0fab0d059a1cbabae3855e35ba096590:1","id":"trade:0x5cdc371c32d5d95ccbf1b29560dacecb0fab0d059a1cbabae3855e35ba096590:1","implied":0.9230000000000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9230000000000002,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772200335,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?","usd":20261.55755,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa3e0338b3f55a1019d04105fffd8f8188df33d460271ffa512df1f34673e0573:1","id":"trade:0xa3e0338b3f55a1019d04105fffd8f8188df33d460271ffa512df1f34673e0573:1","implied":0.77,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772200163,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":10887.9771,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5d577b97a1e101a5d2eb3582c6e258a41bad8aa3ab168c6f2b0b2f17d1ec9f01:1","id":"trade:0x5d577b97a1e101a5d2eb3582c6e258a41bad8aa3ab168c6f2b0b2f17d1ec9f01:1","implied":0.76,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.76,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1771612498,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":15345.395600000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5dce4a03cf2d4f558c4551d1b9cd89204d31de8ae3afe602551cc7ee8d0751cc:0","id":"trade:0x5dce4a03cf2d4f558c4551d1b9cd89204d31de8ae3afe602551cc7ee8d0751cc:0","implied":0.25,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.75,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770614049,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":21034.815,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x41e47408f8ab39b46a9d9e3c9b15ebd62f1d795eb072ff46df3d376c09eb583e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6183ecc387fdaaa1fb27b866df413d6bb167b728ca1d3ae7e7d7960628f09439:0","id":"trade:0x6183ecc387fdaaa1fb27b866df413d6bb167b728ca1d3ae7e7d7960628f09439:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770495697,"title":"US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?","usd":49950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa16f740ed13f3efd28dcf912e60b355b8af32548ca807dea4cdd155dc246843b:1","id":"trade:0xa16f740ed13f3efd28dcf912e60b355b8af32548ca807dea4cdd155dc246843b:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770143336,"title":"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","usd":49950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x05beef793157deb1cc34e2d3159539f461b73c7eeaa3b5348617c10eed5509d0","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa55e4d3236535ce36d20749b28b1599c44cd29023b3c193fc0cf2f4a21bc594d:0","id":"trade:0xa55e4d3236535ce36d20749b28b1599c44cd29023b3c193fc0cf2f4a21bc594d:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770139328,"title":"U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?","usd":49950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9592a374777345b2a07bdb65f1bbc4c421f349514fb66d2dd35c976e1c8d2c0d:1","id":"trade:0x9592a374777345b2a07bdb65f1bbc4c421f349514fb66d2dd35c976e1c8d2c0d:1","implied":0.8899999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8899999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769707898,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":16627.994599999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x6bbdeb8773a1470ba1053959a446bb0912b38f6091c8794583612bfa76a81a15","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2b238fd1c8d1126faf7be3e668f0ccb2592ce71cfce72074e15cf0fffbf0e1a4:1","id":"trade:0x2b238fd1c8d1126faf7be3e668f0ccb2592ce71cfce72074e15cf0fffbf0e1a4:1","implied":0.74,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.74,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769689942,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?","usd":10603.4674,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb43a4cf81149725b931d5b1c4684976cc083f20dcbe4194f0c9ac9942f97a3ce:0","id":"trade:0xb43a4cf81149725b931d5b1c4684976cc083f20dcbe4194f0c9ac9942f97a3ce:0","implied":0.5800000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.42,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769666782,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":10593.618,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8437cc642202cbd6b19370b983e694ed1e2ca61a6a55a0488b07bb3097db63e4:0","id":"trade:0x8437cc642202cbd6b19370b983e694ed1e2ca61a6a55a0488b07bb3097db63e4:0","implied":0.7999999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7999999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769454455,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":19057.728,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x61ec06d75cc121d3c10c1946ec426351a1ec53c762a499222ec6986e33db135b:1","id":"trade:0x61ec06d75cc121d3c10c1946ec426351a1ec53c762a499222ec6986e33db135b:1","implied":0.050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768717552,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":28500.009499999996,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2f1a1a555079b90bb525262962b264ab933d0c92bf81d412abaff9793dd86599:1","id":"trade:0x2f1a1a555079b90bb525262962b264ab933d0c92bf81d412abaff9793dd86599:1","implied":0.1200000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8799999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768485652,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":48400.0176,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4629416067f80440c257ef01ae9f88f3e74754b06abcabad7d3a9d42978e6d97:1","id":"trade:0x4629416067f80440c257ef01ae9f88f3e74754b06abcabad7d3a9d42978e6d97:1","implied":0.43,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.43,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768295443,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":10612.4,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x405bb6079d87b887039b915849067c78dea990e32226a98b0ace464405bc86fd:1","id":"trade:0x405bb6079d87b887039b915849067c78dea990e32226a98b0ace464405bc86fd:1","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768291935,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":49200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xef36e1a6939e95c772f087042b0d661f8a0c07fab749c4f49187fd62e2278b06:1","id":"trade:0xef36e1a6939e95c772f087042b0d661f8a0c07fab749c4f49187fd62e2278b06:1","implied":0.9569819987,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9569819987,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768067862,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":25275.272639745126,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x23fa13ac5baa7e6417b99a06a5f2024f39d7995cc789995977e81b1a918934ab:1","id":"trade:0x23fa13ac5baa7e6417b99a06a5f2024f39d7995cc789995977e81b1a918934ab:1","implied":0.72,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.72,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768035792,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":22788.676799999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x23fd2b26c4e095465ba0d2ebce8d5eda57009ddc59aad8b68ab19ca968b41eed","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70d022254849f64f75cfa4351f87196ac4fa5f5e247e6b528895847bf516915d:1","id":"trade:0x70d022254849f64f75cfa4351f87196ac4fa5f5e247e6b528895847bf516915d:1","implied":0.7,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767984422,"title":"Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":10353.909999999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xae07d5e04befac3c61ca6ee44a859cc26ebec87b19f0b5af431667c08c56eacf:1","id":"trade:0xae07d5e04befac3c61ca6ee44a859cc26ebec87b19f0b5af431667c08c56eacf:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767414037,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":81486.7,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc66194689b6962d3e076333fd580d09dc8aed8bf1687bf5a2b313cddd96596eb:1","id":"trade:0xc66194689b6962d3e076333fd580d09dc8aed8bf1687bf5a2b313cddd96596eb:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1766555605,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":19940.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1669a1fe9adda4d61a80f4da47e54a5c5b04284111a895d8ae2390257eb25b29:1","id":"trade:0x1669a1fe9adda4d61a80f4da47e54a5c5b04284111a895d8ae2390257eb25b29:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1766407633,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":13724.88,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x65312a12b30847dbe155c01d4b78a46f984e3b641ea3f459aa14b343b43c252b:1","id":"trade:0x65312a12b30847dbe155c01d4b78a46f984e3b641ea3f459aa14b343b43c252b:1","implied":0.8002667149,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8002667149,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1764075111,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":15602.079900361889,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"}],"record":{"called":6,"edge":0.06444444444444446,"exp_rate":0.6022222222222222,"expected":5.42,"hit":0.6666666666666666,"n":9,"se":0.13619158618706279},"wallet":"0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a"}