{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5905a2caa1a9782a64e1a2e3289cd70747d6a52ad4f14e5f21dcb43cea8e05b5:1","id":"trade:0x5905a2caa1a9782a64e1a2e3289cd70747d6a52ad4f14e5f21dcb43cea8e05b5:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775021979,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":182383.44212,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x443195ea17e8b6cdc2e6d3747842192b0a3db3e6e8768203ae77dcdcd36d1b33:1","id":"trade:0x443195ea17e8b6cdc2e6d3747842192b0a3db3e6e8768203ae77dcdcd36d1b33:1","implied":0.9545256753,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9545256753,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773732465,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":57271.540518,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc6b09c5d23d1b6f08d929f9885a96b7848214438a4668323703edd9434a9a018:1","id":"trade:0xc6b09c5d23d1b6f08d929f9885a96b7848214438a4668323703edd9434a9a018:1","implied":0.9766908766000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9766908766000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1773596455,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":48834.54383,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa32feae9ee1bdb9b3fdbdd50d02fe0032b8f91243d321133fb5cd0b96cea7619:0","id":"trade:0xa32feae9ee1bdb9b3fdbdd50d02fe0032b8f91243d321133fb5cd0b96cea7619:0","implied":0.9669656876,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9669656876,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772323421,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":13583.373139305992,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x80d3d5e5c39382a2a9e2b363c4025a4ce57fb894a14a6046fa46f06b841f3e6a:0","id":"trade:0x80d3d5e5c39382a2a9e2b363c4025a4ce57fb894a14a6046fa46f06b841f3e6a:0","implied":0.9708142124927759,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9708142124927759,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772317089,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":57191.907900141414,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe930a7755d95ffbbd76af562acb207f65b0a2bf98a03fc60fa86af4c2d11aa7b:1","id":"trade:0xe930a7755d95ffbbd76af562acb207f65b0a2bf98a03fc60fa86af4c2d11aa7b:1","implied":0.1499999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8500000000000001,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771947354,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":23374.966,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x32517f72dde6f681583825085ca91a68628d9eb560e8c5cb016e1f59afb90e6e:1","id":"trade:0x32517f72dde6f681583825085ca91a68628d9eb560e8c5cb016e1f59afb90e6e:1","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771106303,"title":"Government shutdown on Saturday?","usd":13930.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc892fc25753ab14ea06e597c84c1f44bd058f3be6c17082ea1d2ddb2876cd093:1","id":"trade:0xc892fc25753ab14ea06e597c84c1f44bd058f3be6c17082ea1d2ddb2876cd093:1","implied":0.14011088719999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8598891128,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1771012783,"title":"Government shutdown on Saturday?","usd":21497.22782,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb76a11ece8f54a13b5aa87e7169377760f60a3e6763ad8362f1ca7d73e7b8a86:0","id":"trade:0xb76a11ece8f54a13b5aa87e7169377760f60a3e6763ad8362f1ca7d73e7b8a86:0","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769853946,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":74550.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf536200d1d9e4e022ee85404a60c41d19a24c91ed8431e6052eda852edee1e77:0","id":"trade:0xf536200d1d9e4e022ee85404a60c41d19a24c91ed8431e6052eda852edee1e77:0","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769835860,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":18332.40729,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x225f3367bbac6ad721f3d4b120b7bf5785bb619b18baef507650b5bf826191f8:0","id":"trade:0x225f3367bbac6ad721f3d4b120b7bf5785bb619b18baef507650b5bf826191f8:0","implied":0.42000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.58,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769723954,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":11600.046400000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x971f4034bb0a5f5146f70238f83110a60bc4acc1d2cf8a96d04815ee311b990c:0","id":"trade:0x971f4034bb0a5f5146f70238f83110a60bc4acc1d2cf8a96d04815ee311b990c:0","implied":0.4591898633,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5408101367,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769719182,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":32448.608202000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xeed6e07458203090022f9880cc3425dfead1322e6fe8aaf12c83347ebc38707e:0","id":"trade:0xeed6e07458203090022f9880cc3425dfead1322e6fe8aaf12c83347ebc38707e:0","implied":0.2400000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7599999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769555407,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":18679.7132,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3c86678385cf4f28086e2ad4003633bc0facaeed9362816dbbec4de08e7001d3:0","id":"trade:0x3c86678385cf4f28086e2ad4003633bc0facaeed9362816dbbec4de08e7001d3:0","implied":0.79,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.79,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769422993,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":15800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5b375e9136eea17c9096ede48b711ce3b66a8d691aa471353d18d0af89c29d40:1","id":"trade:0x5b375e9136eea17c9096ede48b711ce3b66a8d691aa471353d18d0af89c29d40:1","implied":0.9479439282,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9479439282,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768639730,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":10427.3832102,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3c94aa8826e62c811042fb454d705f024e8e4f73226640b226334b6aa5d571ad:1","id":"trade:0x3c94aa8826e62c811042fb454d705f024e8e4f73226640b226334b6aa5d571ad:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768497820,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":18000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3e0f820981c223ebb4b2cf9566bf5d8e9ebe85fbdb742dd542a7dc654154a73b:1","id":"trade:0x3e0f820981c223ebb4b2cf9566bf5d8e9ebe85fbdb742dd542a7dc654154a73b:1","implied":0.21999999999999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.78,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768426346,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":17697.5526,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x65d049242b9c8fa00034a3eea9486ab0d97ea8654c8c1b14d4fd3312bd3de27a:1","id":"trade:0x65d049242b9c8fa00034a3eea9486ab0d97ea8654c8c1b14d4fd3312bd3de27a:1","implied":0.79,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.79,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768423036,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":15800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcd5b55544c9bb82eaab01245942afed391401e88ccd68336c4a78200270edfa6:1","id":"trade:0xcd5b55544c9bb82eaab01245942afed391401e88ccd68336c4a78200270edfa6:1","implied":0.9495011757999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9495011757999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768343258,"title":"Will Andr\u00e9 Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":10154.734669957597,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe08add68305a91caa611b6f8c03dc028a9ea971df0b1990279aa710919f570db:0","id":"trade:0xe08add68305a91caa611b6f8c03dc028a9ea971df0b1990279aa710919f570db:0","implied":0.9387828353,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9387828353,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768234236,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":14081.7425295,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x234a3c6ade063a8ce5a6c7856fe220eb572be54ee61fe3a1a8a343c613cf5016:1","id":"trade:0x234a3c6ade063a8ce5a6c7856fe220eb572be54ee61fe3a1a8a343c613cf5016:1","implied":0.33675504349999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6632449565,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768070110,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":10350.03040047641,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x713c8ff911cec86c2c47cd3ab105fd5704a5754eca37077440e0bfe3a22f9213:1","id":"trade:0x713c8ff911cec86c2c47cd3ab105fd5704a5754eca37077440e0bfe3a22f9213:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767314171,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":19960.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa39499de93d894976f16ec9f09e34b52f9a8913318bd4de85fbe0e188c5f6322:1","id":"trade:0xa39499de93d894976f16ec9f09e34b52f9a8913318bd4de85fbe0e188c5f6322:1","implied":0.007000000000000006,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1764776665,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":39720.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0072655db4c7a263c7f19b06999d6a86e7a94f314df1794fa9b8a59d26881211:1","id":"trade:0x0072655db4c7a263c7f19b06999d6a86e7a94f314df1794fa9b8a59d26881211:1","implied":0.981,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.981,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1763574833,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":39240.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x65e319d9dc1707e0e2825d4876626e1c3412a2d8b20441039bf9597504991b33:0","id":"trade:0x65e319d9dc1707e0e2825d4876626e1c3412a2d8b20441039bf9597504991b33:0","implied":0.20723489699999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.792765103,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1757080590,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":15855.30206,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xacd566c155a1a03482038e2f1020f15632492af9abcae08f05e46b3d6655240d:0","id":"trade:0xacd566c155a1a03482038e2f1020f15632492af9abcae08f05e46b3d6655240d:0","implied":0.19879480000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8012052,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1757023136,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":12018.078,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"}],"record":{"called":3,"edge":-0.09650211329999998,"exp_rate":0.5965021133,"expected":3.5790126798,"hit":0.5,"n":6,"se":0.1396105356304674},"wallet":"0xd748c701ad93cfec32a3420e10f3b08e68612125"}
