{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe528f4f513eff3d0af65cc55f33a83aac91dfffb73637d1b33517c1f9b3b3abe:1","id":"trade:0xe528f4f513eff3d0af65cc55f33a83aac91dfffb73637d1b33517c1f9b3b3abe:1","implied":0.035213234299999896,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9647867657000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1773773025,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":28943.564379529373,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa7a57254ee8533d02fd98ca3c8bc5cb45d071841653c7405980e5c94980f1462:1","id":"trade:0xa7a57254ee8533d02fd98ca3c8bc5cb45d071841653c7405980e5c94980f1462:1","implied":0.050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768662154,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":28499.9905,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x98a075f8d3b595f02642891c63b29d9bacd39c2ae02f0343203d1d2f1a00c8b5:1","id":"trade:0x98a075f8d3b595f02642891c63b29d9bacd39c2ae02f0343203d1d2f1a00c8b5:1","implied":0.81,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.81,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768423672,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":22079.7009,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"},{"condition_id":"0xa886b40d69b4733df3086a6b3f106ab783e1ac7fa91fea42ad807a00ed0f6846","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6ef479f867edf589b702e316af998db9a6330a1b4d4ef17d3d197454442bad41:0","id":"trade:0x6ef479f867edf589b702e316af998db9a6330a1b4d4ef17d3d197454442bad41:0","implied":0.6976913733,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6976913733,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1762781562,"title":"Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","usd":10465.3705995,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdb5b0c500d155dfa85220707a15c8691c1ea5dcb8aafd87f52a36fce3466641f:0","id":"trade:0xdb5b0c500d155dfa85220707a15c8691c1ea5dcb8aafd87f52a36fce3466641f:0","implied":0.9378052581,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9378052581,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761827805,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":30009.768259200002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x67b6dafff2fed2f0400665000d37de62fb817609f743aba497fab03e4c256532:0","id":"trade:0x67b6dafff2fed2f0400665000d37de62fb817609f743aba497fab03e4c256532:0","implied":0.0747484531,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9252515469,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1761821083,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":32421.249071603044,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.36645230379999993,"exp_rate":0.36645230379999993,"expected":0.7329046075999999,"hit":0.0,"n":2,"se":0.24743250764243432},"wallet":"0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6"}
