{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcdfa90c1e940183fd029667d48c74f9cb2fce1386410d1f417d3ac90aeac66bc:1","id":"trade:0xcdfa90c1e940183fd029667d48c74f9cb2fce1386410d1f417d3ac90aeac66bc:1","implied":0.3880411908,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6119588092,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1777383314,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","usd":11962.319899129829,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9c6f84053f6550e6fac375a037b64ddca457dc9c22292f4f8629b7b89e030a0c:1","id":"trade:0x9c6f84053f6550e6fac375a037b64ddca457dc9c22292f4f8629b7b89e030a0c:1","implied":0.29000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.71,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1777382600,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":55846.186,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"},{"condition_id":"0x796e791e7058571e460278814fc7a3183752285338f1400087b98bef3c447908","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x93965bc3fba8637698764a3fcdfffb6a4ef8e1169a8449b2dc77c49cfd5dc2b6:1","id":"trade:0x93965bc3fba8637698764a3fcdfffb6a4ef8e1169a8449b2dc77c49cfd5dc2b6:1","implied":0.033492068300000066,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9665079316999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1777381766,"title":"Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?","usd":82939.66035884156,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"},{"condition_id":"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x71a27a009600d5cb45d63c9e42728dec46a889adf78a70fe4606042544c35990:1","id":"trade:0x71a27a009600d5cb45d63c9e42728dec46a889adf78a70fe4606042544c35990:1","implied":0.026000000000000023,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.974,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777381266,"title":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?","usd":77920.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"},{"condition_id":"0x62dee78c2621684e9475a39d0f9181dfe24b5d13cc01c3201eb6a9287c8cc8dd","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x81eef17e5df99a6a91433765ffdb644f1c718b8793449a0c05289f80d158c2e4:0","id":"trade:0x81eef17e5df99a6a91433765ffdb644f1c718b8793449a0c05289f80d158c2e4:0","implied":0.48988645399999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Rockets","price":0.510113546,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1776744398,"title":"Spread: Rockets (-4.5)","usd":10981.188799064701,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.05035492827499999,"exp_rate":0.300354928275,"expected":1.2014197131,"hit":0.25,"n":4,"se":0.21296027958442335},"wallet":"0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd"}