{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaec10622e02dc7f40619dda0c4a7daaf625e0b8d0bf831e435219a7d146c8511:1","id":"trade:0xaec10622e02dc7f40619dda0c4a7daaf625e0b8d0bf831e435219a7d146c8511:1","implied":0.009990020900000007,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9900099791,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781477989,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":26307.980679114895,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1ff2e55f502159447b4bb2fc909983f58a3e5972ad96266d2da3f10c1db610fa:1","id":"trade:0x1ff2e55f502159447b4bb2fc909983f58a3e5972ad96266d2da3f10c1db610fa:1","implied":0.979,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.979,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780741890,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":11210.000339999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x472fac5121290f4936f7a22d9c75d352320c15db94e2351374165304bb3f474d:0","id":"trade:0x472fac5121290f4936f7a22d9c75d352320c15db94e2351374165304bb3f474d:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775642257,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":10401.50808,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1e36f9b9d4eaa64fc5970febd1f54e00c853b32888d1707b4b3bc217f1279078:1","id":"trade:0x1e36f9b9d4eaa64fc5970febd1f54e00c853b32888d1707b4b3bc217f1279078:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1774912209,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":18600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0xbcbe59b228605e5a7c53123ff56e8facc0b6021a186738e3cc536ebc70875ca8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x30332acf38d21618adba4cb751b76225cae08896d2a25c220510599364fb137b:0","id":"trade:0x30332acf38d21618adba4cb751b76225cae08896d2a25c220510599364fb137b:0","implied":0.989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.989,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772506735,"title":"Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?","usd":11851.424359999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0xcbf9e16f0ad8bef39c3860dda598df8c4906f737bbed4dc1c65f7e0c07675ab3","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8755374ec8cbbff398573189d30d7159dd4d66046ad578c0c1213066935a2dd8:0","id":"trade:0x8755374ec8cbbff398573189d30d7159dd4d66046ad578c0c1213066935a2dd8:0","implied":0.989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.989,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772226511,"title":"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?","usd":13004.04452,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0xa062dea464f0e8fc3381176494198cf45574ec190eca77a40f49988320fa15f2","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x720701fcebf357c8f8dbc085cd344bb1c27a611f80175195bdc8d68aaff0c0b5:0","id":"trade:0x720701fcebf357c8f8dbc085cd344bb1c27a611f80175195bdc8d68aaff0c0b5:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770604753,"title":"Will Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":18489.71178,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x77b9b065f487d1e18d005465d221ec6c84ed3babfaf6ecf62f20baeaa9fc3038","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1e36f0e416eb0b877d428663037567d5aa0209d3366742058faa876adc236f27:1","id":"trade:0x1e36f0e416eb0b877d428663037567d5aa0209d3366742058faa876adc236f27:1","implied":0.966,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.966,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768857874,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?","usd":25685.81442,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaf2e7c410e12b2d5a253eb255a0b2c787cebd6ce494699a8d97f97cf3da3841f:0","id":"trade:0xaf2e7c410e12b2d5a253eb255a0b2c787cebd6ce494699a8d97f97cf3da3841f:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767437733,"title":"Maduro out by January 31, 2026?","usd":31408.21035,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x86bc6904cbe246b0d93b9900ec9061662bfebbe9cb58289db8cf809acf1b8e88:1","id":"trade:0x86bc6904cbe246b0d93b9900ec9061662bfebbe9cb58289db8cf809acf1b8e88:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767190409,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":44955.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x86277d1d924806bc9bce44ebf267a27215ed485a24bab646fdeb834d011d0003:1","id":"trade:0x86277d1d924806bc9bce44ebf267a27215ed485a24bab646fdeb834d011d0003:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767143283,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":29940.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"},{"condition_id":"0xa886b40d69b4733df3086a6b3f106ab783e1ac7fa91fea42ad807a00ed0f6846","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3767962a73d7796868c9620d88d35f34313bbeec408203a342303b2321436136:1","id":"trade:0x3767962a73d7796868c9620d88d35f34313bbeec408203a342303b2321436136:1","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1764118605,"title":"Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?","usd":16951.29828,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.018000000000000016,"exp_rate":0.518,"expected":1.036,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.15648003067484362},"wallet":"0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73"}