{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e4672c2eef3a54aff045aa2be3b155fe67da568397922afabf95ca6491b44be:1","id":"trade:0x2e4672c2eef3a54aff045aa2be3b155fe67da568397922afabf95ca6491b44be:1","implied":0.987,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.987,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1787550394,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":52733.32743,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x48241a642cdd13153670ca60447034ef114bce441b8135b59c8e6ae134e08979:0","id":"trade:0x48241a642cdd13153670ca60447034ef114bce441b8135b59c8e6ae134e08979:0","implied":0.96,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.96,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786010294,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?","usd":11574.6528,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x03f835ca8b8d9944027dda47f6f12a26050eddb27c42180df030bc805c95bf36:0","id":"trade:0x03f835ca8b8d9944027dda47f6f12a26050eddb27c42180df030bc805c95bf36:0","implied":0.9839903682000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9839903682000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785478970,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?","usd":10216.053680051815,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0f5e1530a63d98c7b1e1ca25ca153ef1375cbc013269190915c6b026dde2a1a5:1","id":"trade:0x0f5e1530a63d98c7b1e1ca25ca153ef1375cbc013269190915c6b026dde2a1a5:1","implied":0.9970000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9970000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785307068,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","usd":10081.90328,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc26e7a27b8504aaa0f5a908b03a265638a9a0a41e0996c1faf1abe058854998e:1","id":"trade:0xc26e7a27b8504aaa0f5a908b03a265638a9a0a41e0996c1faf1abe058854998e:1","implied":0.9960000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9960000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785176607,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","usd":60701.95704,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xf473c2e521258a81d44f16fd65e811de7bcb6646912561583969004b81c10ec1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9ad0f31da28fe92a5f06c7ede92803c1f97ac13ef6f1d8b3a15151bb3ccb09f4:0","id":"trade:0x9ad0f31da28fe92a5f06c7ede92803c1f97ac13ef6f1d8b3a15151bb3ccb09f4:0","implied":0.9696556709,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9696556709,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784969490,"title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?","usd":63080.01880095544,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x46eba581b7c744de81f7d8ce07433334617fe7c6c17de1de477bc3fc5331792e:1","id":"trade:0x46eba581b7c744de81f7d8ce07433334617fe7c6c17de1de477bc3fc5331792e:1","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784303493,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":79217.50319999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x439fa2065223a5f2e34004cfd1e74d7ae8a671eb528061b63b0679795785c04a:1","id":"trade:0x439fa2065223a5f2e34004cfd1e74d7ae8a671eb528061b63b0679795785c04a:1","implied":0.9600000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9600000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1783902472,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":48447.3888,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xeb17712bb133f6b81f36ec2f42c97f0725e7c8664b1291f3ab3d623806689967:1","id":"trade:0xeb17712bb133f6b81f36ec2f42c97f0725e7c8664b1291f3ab3d623806689967:1","implied":0.978,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.978,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1783489412,"title":"Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":57110.290440000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x9f0b598db121eee6f84113c41f17f03ea04e6cba753cccba1a39f721e2aa0163","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9edb125d2ae5f1017828b2cd5d966c2bc48f50298f6a11956ea0e7039c764475:1","id":"trade:0x9edb125d2ae5f1017828b2cd5d966c2bc48f50298f6a11956ea0e7039c764475:1","implied":0.7766276271489246,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Under","price":0.7766276271489246,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1783444219,"title":"Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5","usd":31901.035998715,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3fcf19095b702b46b81d981d219bfa530d5699ac946941bf1f5600c1f1caaaae:1","id":"trade:0x3fcf19095b702b46b81d981d219bfa530d5699ac946941bf1f5600c1f1caaaae:1","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1783403215,"title":"Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":49500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x32cfa52198e85e070d1b17d1b53c5c3a6aaae7736cdc33fa6aa04d353f0c2811","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7fb98cdb242b12186d962c555e0a055a48528366f1e9d6e05d5dc929aa759756:1","id":"trade:0x7fb98cdb242b12186d962c555e0a055a48528366f1e9d6e05d5dc929aa759756:1","implied":0.977,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.977,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1783403111,"title":"Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":130965.66783,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x5ccfe1b69a582d2985db08a8481a0d74c314b1fce9b4711ae2efb2c6467fe6aa","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcaf03bf304b156b166ea45556439981659bd2b827777828cf1bb028a3b4faf30:1","id":"trade:0xcaf03bf304b156b166ea45556439981659bd2b827777828cf1bb028a3b4faf30:1","implied":0.9639999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9639999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782975223,"title":"Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":82604.79367999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xa5501b4dc0c99c382b1c2871ad9141c7f58509a0f962f70a38bb6566ec570049","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdacb3404b86bcd096b4d775b5847753dc01a9e94dfc88073d7654f68dfee7e28:0","id":"trade:0xdacb3404b86bcd096b4d775b5847753dc01a9e94dfc88073d7654f68dfee7e28:0","implied":0.79,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.79,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781542411,"title":"Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?","usd":28778.246400000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xe76d397afa47ea028b914eec69543c69f9bbec8c313bd3a1dba022bd050b4c22","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x83345925b310473b372712523670364dd56237aa38eec0a46e2166fde490dc44:0","id":"trade:0x83345925b310473b372712523670364dd56237aa38eec0a46e2166fde490dc44:0","implied":0.54,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Spain","price":0.54,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781538735,"title":"Spread: Spain (-2.5)","usd":54000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7fc2d7209b9e0e71d415b0761c15bdf0df960573454bdd1964565982a17af150:1","id":"trade:0x7fc2d7209b9e0e71d415b0761c15bdf0df960573454bdd1964565982a17af150:1","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779173163,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":80040.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x87b18847851a385a5499fb1a5b90256dd7d1b83eeb808991130f36bdd81be920:1","id":"trade:0x87b18847851a385a5499fb1a5b90256dd7d1b83eeb808991130f36bdd81be920:1","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779010894,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":107209.8664,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x81919ee20e67281ca09cbf8f2cdb0eefaad4e80732d8b71cd4e4e751022eda9d:1","id":"trade:0x81919ee20e67281ca09cbf8f2cdb0eefaad4e80732d8b71cd4e4e751022eda9d:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778840248,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":49900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7ea1dcab97dc9aa12155427d1b6185f8d33f3168bf52c154f6d563f13bd63754:1","id":"trade:0x7ea1dcab97dc9aa12155427d1b6185f8d33f3168bf52c154f6d563f13bd63754:1","implied":0.9500000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9500000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778355291,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":14901.7475,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7cfc4dac4a196ebd12ced396eeeadf3110e9d3a52bafc7aef8efb8157a005a29:1","id":"trade:0x7cfc4dac4a196ebd12ced396eeeadf3110e9d3a52bafc7aef8efb8157a005a29:1","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777526248,"title":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?","usd":19574.7942,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x01a4fba78de498e0870effcbba4a19e006032b46971435fda4646c4b38628de3:1","id":"trade:0x01a4fba78de498e0870effcbba4a19e006032b46971435fda4646c4b38628de3:1","implied":0.98564532161581,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.98564532161581,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777479670,"title":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?","usd":72208.71138098359,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"},{"condition_id":"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x73e4d455cabd31893ac2534a9c28cd1df074332c41c6613e9e0d912e9fffcdf9:1","id":"trade:0x73e4d455cabd31893ac2534a9c28cd1df074332c41c6613e9e0d912e9fffcdf9:1","implied":0.9949999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776842052,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","usd":34724.813449999994,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"}],"record":{"called":7,"edge":0.05947776130000003,"exp_rate":0.9405222387,"expected":6.5836556709,"hit":1.0,"n":7,"se":0.08845932430766579},"wallet":"0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af"}
