{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xf19d6b617a3c6382448444824b42ba172be2d88b8a1491f7dfc7be6327e510a1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1ebf7a503dfd7f9de8ebc978cea3740327f790bb95f3ee019220573700bf4b40:1","id":"trade:0x1ebf7a503dfd7f9de8ebc978cea3740327f790bb95f3ee019220573700bf4b40:1","implied":0.9455851258715748,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9455851258715748,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1791150899,"title":"Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?","usd":70457.11739999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9a785937e8f0a74495321c437328c4bbe862a6024ef2d60851306a3967161180:0","id":"trade:0x9a785937e8f0a74495321c437328c4bbe862a6024ef2d60851306a3967161180:0","implied":0.9122640568778805,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9122640568778805,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789928109,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":66276.97810000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc2485e1ff7517f5c14dd7b2c1a4cb673d0557f96a82ee75cfe87a4fa50fd6411:0","id":"trade:0xc2485e1ff7517f5c14dd7b2c1a4cb673d0557f96a82ee75cfe87a4fa50fd6411:0","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789920493,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":12632.3197,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9f121e9c8510e97f4c350058f32ccd3131887476f39e5ead3268ca33b3f064ca:0","id":"trade:0x9f121e9c8510e97f4c350058f32ccd3131887476f39e5ead3268ca33b3f064ca:0","implied":0.81,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.81,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789904083,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":18026.8578,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x228eae9756c24f8a1820a7804179813edd8e0287eb912f8298aeb45d577ad181:1","id":"trade:0x228eae9756c24f8a1820a7804179813edd8e0287eb912f8298aeb45d577ad181:1","implied":0.89,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.89,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1789576427,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":30260.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xefe082b0fbff349869bcaf0fb15a0aef51c2c29df317c2b7b002063acb52be95:1","id":"trade:0xefe082b0fbff349869bcaf0fb15a0aef51c2c29df317c2b7b002063acb52be95:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1789341070,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":99700.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xcfbc2e5fbabb9e8a03bf234367244d4c97eaaf3ac33e2ba001541ee3e0e62416","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7e555e36ce236ad0470811d005e4136b2786e21ecebe1c72fea275f9a4a0b00f:0","id":"trade:0x7e555e36ce236ad0470811d005e4136b2786e21ecebe1c72fea275f9a4a0b00f:0","implied":0.95,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.95,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1788817194,"title":"Israel closes its airspace by September 30?","usd":39490.246,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x9601280c3d5109783ba64644da25bdfdf120ce516a696f88a42f54ffd2ac761b","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfa7b9e4b15ca56ddf885a4ac1785c86a39955e15f4a732293fddf93e4d3be23f:1","id":"trade:0xfa7b9e4b15ca56ddf885a4ac1785c86a39955e15f4a732293fddf93e4d3be23f:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1788124177,"title":"US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?","usd":34128.747090000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa0ab6e341116751edac6b50fc675df28c2baac0dc3d44e5005a8fd13f4523e1f:0","id":"trade:0xa0ab6e341116751edac6b50fc675df28c2baac0dc3d44e5005a8fd13f4523e1f:0","implied":0.71,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.71,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787100220,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":21058.4154,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x63c9b20cad3367888f622277b105c03814950046ff91e87fe3e1a85c8d5ce821:0","id":"trade:0x63c9b20cad3367888f622277b105c03814950046ff91e87fe3e1a85c8d5ce821:0","implied":0.754988743,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.754988743,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785294509,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":14188.29205035096,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7dd86dadf2b66b050902de73efff0b810d66b6b21e3077d2beb03be5aa69d6ed:0","id":"trade:0x7dd86dadf2b66b050902de73efff0b810d66b6b21e3077d2beb03be5aa69d6ed:0","implied":0.711,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.711,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1785201531,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":21612.07503,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0ad493817e69263109c2621e869b43a82e1fb10580668e116796c129a38bc407:0","id":"trade:0x0ad493817e69263109c2621e869b43a82e1fb10580668e116796c129a38bc407:0","implied":0.7029900097,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7029900097,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1785166434,"title":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","usd":17782.46270066606,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf2e0b9dfdb5bac168c6cbddf4b757f500c88253951887e2fc58dbfc21cc0d1bc:0","id":"trade:0xf2e0b9dfdb5bac168c6cbddf4b757f500c88253951887e2fc58dbfc21cc0d1bc:0","implied":0.7716422109,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7716422109,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784806693,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":12616.172670506492,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1c18d1671a86db86561ec607c469c40e20abab28109f46c797f1f9681af22078:0","id":"trade:0x1c18d1671a86db86561ec607c469c40e20abab28109f46c797f1f9681af22078:0","implied":0.948,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.948,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784125328,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":51821.20656,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x43da3c467651f04638d2cc46ae95fd215de606e98ac30057d6af55b6f9d06b99:0","id":"trade:0x43da3c467651f04638d2cc46ae95fd215de606e98ac30057d6af55b6f9d06b99:0","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781659253,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":221777.556,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x2de8d7b9d103366e37f3a448db8289c5c571dec5c0b9eeddbc673546d4bd9322","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb5ae8df4b51af71e7b15e43c68fd6a797099ff7d623b79d9586193b2f3599b04:0","id":"trade:0xb5ae8df4b51af71e7b15e43c68fd6a797099ff7d623b79d9586193b2f3599b04:0","implied":0.971,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.971,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781538796,"title":"US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?","usd":31683.04059,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8b5d959f210b31a2d510a1fa7e30574b394478f9ea3da277557612c444d9568b:0","id":"trade:0x8b5d959f210b31a2d510a1fa7e30574b394478f9ea3da277557612c444d9568b:0","implied":0.5498465127,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5498465127,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781469507,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10819.797199933693,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1d65f21ad6f107b232bf0f0e18791c298dc73bc35ff95fcbffeda1b6107fa213:1","id":"trade:0x1d65f21ad6f107b232bf0f0e18791c298dc73bc35ff95fcbffeda1b6107fa213:1","implied":0.9845613024999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9845613024999998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781055274,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":17997.376939565973,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7945adf0f974241e240653c2c15a8affac998a8cafcb0916b18e49d653454c26:0","id":"trade:0x7945adf0f974241e240653c2c15a8affac998a8cafcb0916b18e49d653454c26:0","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780974459,"title":"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","usd":57419.982,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xc00920db6f5e84821a61bd31578499bbc9bd125949572b589b7a9e4b0f13bad3","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x30e0f2f6c67c2429d4c79de3fe99ccfec316ee990437ce074b44863db6c1aeba:1","id":"trade:0x30e0f2f6c67c2429d4c79de3fe99ccfec316ee990437ce074b44863db6c1aeba:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780690579,"title":"Will Iv\u00e1n Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","usd":66599.334,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3dd6fe145ed8e57d365031f24da3ef7f9534241076c195e05756e04c9a650f1e:1","id":"trade:0x3dd6fe145ed8e57d365031f24da3ef7f9534241076c195e05756e04c9a650f1e:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780526194,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":45336.0774,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfaf47cca850676bc1524a4cd190707d36acd08ee9ac69827fcf4f317297f0020:0","id":"trade:0xfaf47cca850676bc1524a4cd190707d36acd08ee9ac69827fcf4f317297f0020:0","implied":0.14,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.14,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1780438973,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":14249.403,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5b6a06f45254c97cc71a9e88cfcdbe4dadffe0046dfefe097e9b87670a25cb5f:1","id":"trade:0x5b6a06f45254c97cc71a9e88cfcdbe4dadffe0046dfefe097e9b87670a25cb5f:1","implied":0.9949999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780096042,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":21744.690199999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4769673b08278ce7fa2653608a4c69c9de6e15239b9f26f0a041cd4dd899ba11:1","id":"trade:0x4769673b08278ce7fa2653608a4c69c9de6e15239b9f26f0a041cd4dd899ba11:1","implied":0.8699999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8699999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779979212,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":36413.6934,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa2b758198ae7df678007c5d29a29108cb9530f925e9740321a8538ca55a7dc14:1","id":"trade:0xa2b758198ae7df678007c5d29a29108cb9530f925e9740321a8538ca55a7dc14:1","implied":0.027990304999999993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.972009695,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779890968,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":24344.9353807761,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6f8ac04fa832c7aec93061c837cb63ddb68352995eed49b3df9516365185a46c:1","id":"trade:0x6f8ac04fa832c7aec93061c837cb63ddb68352995eed49b3df9516365185a46c:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779890908,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":22888.6275,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x74f0569487c8e3c2af0443988914a3f0ebe8e53b79d874feb5d0ffbee2a75e2a:1","id":"trade:0x74f0569487c8e3c2af0443988914a3f0ebe8e53b79d874feb5d0ffbee2a75e2a:1","implied":0.76,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.76,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779806295,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":27545.668,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd712475ed8776cae1a2aa462f833990757bbfac3afa1dc68d6c0f192b2af652a:1","id":"trade:0xd712475ed8776cae1a2aa462f833990757bbfac3afa1dc68d6c0f192b2af652a:1","implied":0.028929712117316098,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9710702878826839,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779802592,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":28913.443029055095,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf7599b7230d360665b9e6e411e98feb0a164ec0b0076f01dc652f649aedbc95d:1","id":"trade:0xf7599b7230d360665b9e6e411e98feb0a164ec0b0076f01dc652f649aedbc95d:1","implied":0.85,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.85,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779740961,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":41921.541,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xae039568c3ee591ef22e1eaaa991de35383cd57be3e0dad58efdc648910ff652:1","id":"trade:0xae039568c3ee591ef22e1eaaa991de35383cd57be3e0dad58efdc648910ff652:1","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779716819,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":59817.60330000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe77edba505b47b6684ad84f84f41af2c47d8418185a0ae76bc82a751e4e742a9:0","id":"trade:0xe77edba505b47b6684ad84f84f41af2c47d8418185a0ae76bc82a751e4e742a9:0","implied":0.2889167828,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2889167828,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779621878,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":25480.790303955415,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x53098776eb95dbbd2e899c4fcd787a043ba725f55433948da2fbd00abdfcd3ae","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe3c83019b33639c77780b974d4bac2c586cf724a51a0d35065746d5c9b132698:1","id":"trade:0xe3c83019b33639c77780b974d4bac2c586cf724a51a0d35065746d5c9b132698:1","implied":0.9989999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9989999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779504074,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?","usd":22199.778,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdcb476a5212f03c1e214030f9aca3af2551aba92eb2456cf293dfa5d4379a903:0","id":"trade:0xdcb476a5212f03c1e214030f9aca3af2551aba92eb2456cf293dfa5d4379a903:0","implied":0.27,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.27,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779462592,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":20243.952,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7dfb4b92af72f9f4a0d07a18134a4a2abca32f6d6eecfd0d31a18b173e6d474d:1","id":"trade:0x7dfb4b92af72f9f4a0d07a18134a4a2abca32f6d6eecfd0d31a18b173e6d474d:1","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779241598,"title":"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":39600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8ad157c2951d92ac67dda065bfa537a15379f2e3139c9b8c1beb5aabf8dca2c5:1","id":"trade:0x8ad157c2951d92ac67dda065bfa537a15379f2e3139c9b8c1beb5aabf8dca2c5:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778864512,"title":"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":14970.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x20609e97a566d3f28fbcb94670c99728e4dc98b735fef363fd523f80a7f33ec4:1","id":"trade:0x20609e97a566d3f28fbcb94670c99728e4dc98b735fef363fd523f80a7f33ec4:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778818096,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":29910.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdefec29ea2e43f88cb1bbc56897fe3c5aa7c855a8d8c60ef8b8bea22517cdf2f:1","id":"trade:0xdefec29ea2e43f88cb1bbc56897fe3c5aa7c855a8d8c60ef8b8bea22517cdf2f:1","implied":0.986,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.986,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778574362,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":21910.892,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe5fa21a9705a045db59c9878944c839681a0a9b5a9de10bd59aacbce5975c04f:1","id":"trade:0xe5fa21a9705a045db59c9878944c839681a0a9b5a9de10bd59aacbce5975c04f:1","implied":0.993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778551655,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","usd":11033.223,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xcd215b8330a35098a1a3f6c46b6492347edb5e74c1e0a95ac4d3d54aece6c262","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf2f9cc7e9bb696446ac79760ce2aef981ca49ee1d7bbae62583998d373050481:0","id":"trade:0xf2f9cc7e9bb696446ac79760ce2aef981ca49ee1d7bbae62583998d373050481:0","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778551321,"title":"Will Trump visit China by May 31?","usd":11055.445,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x24fb1bbcd0805bdf80d64305089027b498ef56604faa43a11daf2b8115c7a800:1","id":"trade:0x24fb1bbcd0805bdf80d64305089027b498ef56604faa43a11daf2b8115c7a800:1","implied":0.982,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.982,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778536854,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":16638.389339999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9aa3aa599c7b7737006f03020ff948163e7e888c2f28239ba71755bbc191da29:1","id":"trade:0x9aa3aa599c7b7737006f03020ff948163e7e888c2f28239ba71755bbc191da29:1","implied":0.9759999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9759999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778519478,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":24391.14768,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1998c5790bab061d870cde7cdadecc3357dd9aeeb44493c23f569b4be0479b81:1","id":"trade:0x1998c5790bab061d870cde7cdadecc3357dd9aeeb44493c23f569b4be0479b81:1","implied":0.8699968444,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8699968444,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778410056,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":34737.76470127828,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x58722cdf29106e3219e4845916025727a2281a94dac5e99ed419a8ca645c6d71:1","id":"trade:0x58722cdf29106e3219e4845916025727a2281a94dac5e99ed419a8ca645c6d71:1","implied":0.8191669639,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8191669639,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778254066,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":10752.246309767537,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbb7f24b2d0d7d0071009436f62672afc51f5cf1249a24396a0d2b40ac0e220a1:1","id":"trade:0xbb7f24b2d0d7d0071009436f62672afc51f5cf1249a24396a0d2b40ac0e220a1:1","implied":0.8381610797,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8381610797,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778174881,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":10406.783979381937,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd9c76194f95ff48c52f1389612e65f81e5986223033ed47de6d625af3ab0c4d2:1","id":"trade:0xd9c76194f95ff48c52f1389612e65f81e5986223033ed47de6d625af3ab0c4d2:1","implied":0.6887169259,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6887169259,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778065810,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":15498.8857004536,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0e374d5723b041def5bb0e733d972482fbcd06124133e4c9560c425307e4a9ed:0","id":"trade:0x0e374d5723b041def5bb0e733d972482fbcd06124133e4c9560c425307e4a9ed:0","implied":0.156999733,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.156999733,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1778061966,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","usd":14230.575118917079,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe3aca8a06cfd71f2e3e8579fd7726f87a3ff8fac2495816839b362d67917d5fa:1","id":"trade:0xe3aca8a06cfd71f2e3e8579fd7726f87a3ff8fac2495816839b362d67917d5fa:1","implied":0.89,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.89,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777921014,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","usd":35600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x399092ddf5affd8f2e403ab3ed8aa1b3302765510ad48d13093d43879381fe52:1","id":"trade:0x399092ddf5affd8f2e403ab3ed8aa1b3302765510ad48d13093d43879381fe52:1","implied":0.9949999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777579366,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":157003.0002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfb6a6153e0c0964abe17560b7197b1149c9fa87ab19dd06d060c3b1dabb73ecb:1","id":"trade:0xfb6a6153e0c0964abe17560b7197b1149c9fa87ab19dd06d060c3b1dabb73ecb:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777531134,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":49900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"},{"condition_id":"0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa6857143f834142ab5c473497c9b7866e3a97bc0654260b5888fa882d5990310:1","id":"trade:0xa6857143f834142ab5c473497c9b7866e3a97bc0654260b5888fa882d5990310:1","implied":0.994516981539187,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994516981539187,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777470944,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?","usd":52268.023440000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"}],"record":{"called":45,"edge":0.15040574693362344,"exp_rate":0.827855122631594,"expected":38.08133564105332,"hit":0.9782608695652174,"n":46,"se":0.05032156869520711},"wallet":"0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35"}