{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xce41e10b3c9b3764cfe3b54691b411a4565ac4ee6ced9a810ee629bbfbffce89","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb687b4a1ff8e23ea4b1a4eb4eccd6de030f697be5d8e16b657be86f884d1f7d9:1","id":"trade:0xb687b4a1ff8e23ea4b1a4eb4eccd6de030f697be5d8e16b657be86f884d1f7d9:1","implied":0.007000000000000006,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1787548431,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?","usd":13184.1603,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x339bf446bf9545cebf70e2d7914f4d8fd0a9afdae7bc4fb5ca693f7f78ff9c66:1","id":"trade:0x339bf446bf9545cebf70e2d7914f4d8fd0a9afdae7bc4fb5ca693f7f78ff9c66:1","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1786812850,"title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?","usd":19880.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x40d41f212214c859a785bd0d026936941663d6df5296ad23fa1ea9e9eeff9b28:1","id":"trade:0x40d41f212214c859a785bd0d026936941663d6df5296ad23fa1ea9e9eeff9b28:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785340874,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","usd":10989.28295,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc83cc9d0dcdcc45e046d09d0b73d292d7be8a891b2eb56a281b69bc34cddf278:1","id":"trade:0xc83cc9d0dcdcc45e046d09d0b73d292d7be8a891b2eb56a281b69bc34cddf278:1","implied":0.04706131859999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9529386814,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1782368390,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":16225.65834003736,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7cfab269c9cbb4ba24d82c804100b3b4b77bcf02dc6b48ea79fb78b4d329aa5c:1","id":"trade:0x7cfab269c9cbb4ba24d82c804100b3b4b77bcf02dc6b48ea79fb78b4d329aa5c:1","implied":0.995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780410070,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":29850.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9c549a02c5cb1f61668d7526d559f17411c4272de78e3a8a848a7567e4db5bb5:1","id":"trade:0x9c549a02c5cb1f61668d7526d559f17411c4272de78e3a8a848a7567e4db5bb5:1","implied":0.06000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775548377,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?","usd":14100.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf83b3b960e8cd3d09cb465d5d8257775c7520c5a2c9dd904ca9ab0e070cb0012:1","id":"trade:0xf83b3b960e8cd3d09cb465d5d8257775c7520c5a2c9dd904ca9ab0e070cb0012:1","implied":0.9949713598,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949713598,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775042115,"title":"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","usd":18343.2919892728,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"},{"condition_id":"0x337e5c84b83679d5557acafcf78b5c5d4d932b9fcd7dfba7966249d64f0f0a0f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x102b7f277b5b6bd1d268b736ab339701d8db07419d06c0acbe281acda85bd76f:1","id":"trade:0x102b7f277b5b6bd1d268b736ab339701d8db07419d06c0acbe281acda85bd76f:1","implied":0.07999999999999985,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9200000000000002,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1774181681,"title":"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?","usd":10216.646,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.06235377286666662,"exp_rate":0.06235377286666662,"expected":0.18706131859999986,"hit":0.0,"n":3,"se":0.1393821887599501},"wallet":"0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926"}
