{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3a43efb622ed3c5a25b561adaf29f7aceb4b3a6e284263c443ec69da84f17920:1","id":"trade:0x3a43efb622ed3c5a25b561adaf29f7aceb4b3a6e284263c443ec69da84f17920:1","implied":0.5,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1788795075,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":10000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf39957bbc6ebff6caa45b403172ec3e853e42df1bb1fd3ab1a31b19ac4eaa453:1","id":"trade:0xf39957bbc6ebff6caa45b403172ec3e853e42df1bb1fd3ab1a31b19ac4eaa453:1","implied":0.51,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.51,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1788563236,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":10953.0762,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6d9d4204cb87720859a40ff4ed55b8d7e4be4859c353f8b3c85481e024bd2e48:0","id":"trade:0x6d9d4204cb87720859a40ff4ed55b8d7e4be4859c353f8b3c85481e024bd2e48:0","implied":0.4,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1788196872,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":25795.672000000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x639b37d7d07faa70dbcf84903c4de9f25d46031b941825f86d8dcf24a6553b79:0","id":"trade:0x639b37d7d07faa70dbcf84903c4de9f25d46031b941825f86d8dcf24a6553b79:0","implied":0.48999999999999994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.48999999999999994,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787958451,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":18448.5245,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4f9718101d0935b8a185d619b1101d79aecd9e4aa3af35026836cebba81e939d:0","id":"trade:0x4f9718101d0935b8a185d619b1101d79aecd9e4aa3af35026836cebba81e939d:0","implied":0.57,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.57,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787926807,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":15406.723799999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1a055251e15a838e6c82c41b51ebe29b5c611a60dd62d6c4e5f2daa6a3bd4753:0","id":"trade:0x1a055251e15a838e6c82c41b51ebe29b5c611a60dd62d6c4e5f2daa6a3bd4753:0","implied":0.68,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.68,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787359056,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":12724.649600000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6079acbb5921973d052aa11fb24d5d1ba4158f0b643619bfe0e1a2d96220ece9:0","id":"trade:0x6079acbb5921973d052aa11fb24d5d1ba4158f0b643619bfe0e1a2d96220ece9:0","implied":0.68,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.68,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787352130,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":31388.3784,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4201bd1d7db06703c32ac6f70ba988b91bdf2dea906e0226d5ef122ecd59b53e:1","id":"trade:0x4201bd1d7db06703c32ac6f70ba988b91bdf2dea906e0226d5ef122ecd59b53e:1","implied":0.72,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.72,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1787258836,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":28126.8288,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x025fbddd8d15143b30f32e531901960475c62b653f81ab3f45a952c2150cefec:0","id":"trade:0x025fbddd8d15143b30f32e531901960475c62b653f81ab3f45a952c2150cefec:0","implied":0.53,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.53,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1785355746,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":13250.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x03ab3a8937a393a4d43d3eee037fdb7e2593ac185d59f4a6ff3a735f138f89eb:0","id":"trade:0x03ab3a8937a393a4d43d3eee037fdb7e2593ac185d59f4a6ff3a735f138f89eb:0","implied":0.7569999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7569999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785346977,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":20756.1073,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc2e620b60e47a89a2f9ff1a54a4e5097b29223c429f4e88a705fe2189b3a762a:0","id":"trade:0xc2e620b60e47a89a2f9ff1a54a4e5097b29223c429f4e88a705fe2189b3a762a:0","implied":0.7409881571999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7409881571999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784915157,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":37759.63759879462,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1a806940447388f52926407a2f2630fa72ff11c0d1bf093e03beb0f7c7f1bf5b:1","id":"trade:0x1a806940447388f52926407a2f2630fa72ff11c0d1bf093e03beb0f7c7f1bf5b:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780452177,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":199400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xec911383de56db97c9dc324e04dea5bffffbd859dd64e3cb355b8f952ef5a169:1","id":"trade:0xec911383de56db97c9dc324e04dea5bffffbd859dd64e3cb355b8f952ef5a169:1","implied":0.050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1774997761,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":19000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xafa156a2ebf56d1fbbd399362e10b8cf62ecc8545d3fe7ab984b9ea40506826d:1","id":"trade:0xafa156a2ebf56d1fbbd399362e10b8cf62ecc8545d3fe7ab984b9ea40506826d:1","implied":0.22999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1774487061,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":14708.3475,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x392839fb736beade53451ccab8e2fd57f87a4eaef3886f56e825c525ae4d38e1:0","id":"trade:0x392839fb736beade53451ccab8e2fd57f87a4eaef3886f56e825c525ae4d38e1:0","implied":0.96,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.96,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773964483,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":227836.9632,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x09f305910eda5b1d4e620c31c21ff41a77993b2d68797e8885034bd9d73c2041:1","id":"trade:0x09f305910eda5b1d4e620c31c21ff41a77993b2d68797e8885034bd9d73c2041:1","implied":0.9798889813,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9798889813,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1773964417,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":52284.31853192681,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1c6f85335f6b9686a2e3f746b89f6a556a80de869799cff6b27b8a6703760df9:1","id":"trade:0x1c6f85335f6b9686a2e3f746b89f6a556a80de869799cff6b27b8a6703760df9:1","implied":0.73,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.73,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773964351,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":10251.0761,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3b01d4fcf779381f46a6a2cc8d4f1e27982d1abe68c4aa4f86eadbe6bb576a0d:1","id":"trade:0x3b01d4fcf779381f46a6a2cc8d4f1e27982d1abe68c4aa4f86eadbe6bb576a0d:1","implied":0.9714015741000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9714015741000002,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1773964283,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":38805.27808970606,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x44acb94d7d32a5a9d2f135649fc0a3f2531bc1a2a832a14ff8a7cfdf50877598:0","id":"trade:0x44acb94d7d32a5a9d2f135649fc0a3f2531bc1a2a832a14ff8a7cfdf50877598:0","implied":0.61,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.61,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1771981220,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":56232.4779,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70a54b2879d44467c6437ce4cd7d12d9a33f2284e8f933aae0fc0e8db6170f21:0","id":"trade:0x70a54b2879d44467c6437ce4cd7d12d9a33f2284e8f933aae0fc0e8db6170f21:0","implied":0.010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.99,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769290036,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":14850.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1bfcc89c97f482661ae46f1d6bd237d6c74c15c314491cb1fd1921c349773b9d:1","id":"trade:0x1bfcc89c97f482661ae46f1d6bd237d6c74c15c314491cb1fd1921c349773b9d:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769210718,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":49950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4388929acc9416471f0723ed62538486471f895d3a728fd94e8f20787ad4564f:1","id":"trade:0x4388929acc9416471f0723ed62538486471f895d3a728fd94e8f20787ad4564f:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769035898,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":49900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7fdc14c2210734affe5ff845cd6855e391004fbee4941989a554879d2ccd7bab:0","id":"trade:0x7fdc14c2210734affe5ff845cd6855e391004fbee4941989a554879d2ccd7bab:0","implied":0.973,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.973,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1768958944,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":40015.28664,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xde782a9f0dea50ab463686e46ec3095483800b028b43413aa3566b2f446f917d:0","id":"trade:0xde782a9f0dea50ab463686e46ec3095483800b028b43413aa3566b2f446f917d:0","implied":0.9480000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9480000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768483630,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":21134.21904,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd7107bf49c0b53382fae87c680729b7aebf9d9a7ccd3c2c526ed490774c90e8e:1","id":"trade:0xd7107bf49c0b53382fae87c680729b7aebf9d9a7ccd3c2c526ed490774c90e8e:1","implied":0.8099999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8099999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768435278,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":18277.7958,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xffb838bcf949aeff9ea6ba5872476dfaf60dccb5f8d52f81cd23e6c29c09b253:1","id":"trade:0xffb838bcf949aeff9ea6ba5872476dfaf60dccb5f8d52f81cd23e6c29c09b253:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1768005088,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":99600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x553c92bc034aef5eaa44603277c6a4184234611f9bf91173bcab698c5429416d:0","id":"trade:0x553c92bc034aef5eaa44603277c6a4184234611f9bf91173bcab698c5429416d:0","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767742179,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":90000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x508840d43173b8b59c440e50ebf04327b9ae62e7e7c73373c481cc4169abee44:0","id":"trade:0x508840d43173b8b59c440e50ebf04327b9ae62e7e7c73373c481cc4169abee44:0","implied":0.89,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.89,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767305719,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":35600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x7c6c69d91b21cbbea08a13d0ad51c0e96a956045aaadc77bce507c6b0475b66e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3f876c6096f8e943f628f2a3279b873a1328b2cf092b191be15bab36386b8aaa:1","id":"trade:0x3f876c6096f8e943f628f2a3279b873a1328b2cf092b191be15bab36386b8aaa:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1766864281,"title":"Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":89640.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x7c6c69d91b21cbbea08a13d0ad51c0e96a956045aaadc77bce507c6b0475b66e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe28eeb51c261475624ad63382a8bc5df40e48a84d8542a65d3ee95791491dac7:1","id":"trade:0xe28eeb51c261475624ad63382a8bc5df40e48a84d8542a65d3ee95791491dac7:1","implied":0.987,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.987,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1765848731,"title":"Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":88830.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3062921e74cdc8c595a33806bfccb90d48630d4fc06ffa32b1fcccb391a1157b:0","id":"trade:0x3062921e74cdc8c595a33806bfccb90d48630d4fc06ffa32b1fcccb391a1157b:0","implied":0.81,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.81,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1765495998,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":32409.5661,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9bc3b680f62b558a978bccf6ecf2e2d6360ca2f68fb3549e1848b78771a7cb99:1","id":"trade:0x9bc3b680f62b558a978bccf6ecf2e2d6360ca2f68fb3549e1848b78771a7cb99:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1765369917,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":80334.19272,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaebe31bd27f05ff5bad92843741efe3011cc5cf078522f1e2e17cefc94e70e85:1","id":"trade:0xaebe31bd27f05ff5bad92843741efe3011cc5cf078522f1e2e17cefc94e70e85:1","implied":0.007000000000000006,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1765125851,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":99300.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5cad9c9faa02a7ff46a7622c2d994fdffb383cafa1bdfb8db4fc13947f770189:1","id":"trade:0x5cad9c9faa02a7ff46a7622c2d994fdffb383cafa1bdfb8db4fc13947f770189:1","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1764728275,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":99400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1c3dc448e732a7ec1d4007bd9ec83762afe6a604ba7bf0d2c0caa264668543d6:0","id":"trade:0x1c3dc448e732a7ec1d4007bd9ec83762afe6a604ba7bf0d2c0caa264668543d6:0","implied":0.07,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.07,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1763593317,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":12384.689100000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5d42f9da22ae281b851139404a55aea38eef55965fa807994d551d6b8cab5ae5:0","id":"trade:0x5d42f9da22ae281b851139404a55aea38eef55965fa807994d551d6b8cab5ae5:0","implied":0.9109999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9109999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1762224769,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":16673.92368,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5e75f9de67d387b2a1483fb3b2c804f955413e3d9bfeed1546c32afa32b8265a:0","id":"trade:0x5e75f9de67d387b2a1483fb3b2c804f955413e3d9bfeed1546c32afa32b8265a:0","implied":0.887,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.887,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761736421,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":17740.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1ee75326213f6abe6eb3afcccb565facf45792bca9cda0d9608d689fd35491a3:0","id":"trade:0x1ee75326213f6abe6eb3afcccb565facf45792bca9cda0d9608d689fd35491a3:0","implied":0.933,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.933,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761166738,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":13369.890000000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe78f97e0f4f3ff79afa02ac64e7be1dc5a0b1f98260c2de4153db198f1e8ed57:0","id":"trade:0xe78f97e0f4f3ff79afa02ac64e7be1dc5a0b1f98260c2de4153db198f1e8ed57:0","implied":0.719,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.719,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1752098667,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":10721.03057,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"}],"record":{"called":8,"edge":-0.10292772551428568,"exp_rate":0.6743562969428571,"expected":9.4409881572,"hit":0.5714285714285714,"n":14,"se":0.10798915072323352},"wallet":"0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a"}
