{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe72c566966d48db4f9e34f918ec0e31faeaba6f69b7439fc7ca5fbfc2d436308:1","id":"trade:0xe72c566966d48db4f9e34f918ec0e31faeaba6f69b7439fc7ca5fbfc2d436308:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1775063799,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":14310.6,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0f3a0ad203d68b77ee22d0e5eb1b369370b9848af7491f91fed84903e74b8fce:1","id":"trade:0x0f3a0ad203d68b77ee22d0e5eb1b369370b9848af7491f91fed84903e74b8fce:1","implied":0.014000000000000012,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.986,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774114707,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":11057.28994,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0x9bd1851cfe883d474d125e12ce69eca3eecb700f4ce3f942880fe61047ec154d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0a3309872ab429f0e64bb5bdc5b756be56b429c9114691e3f7a78689ea0203f9:1","id":"trade:0x0a3309872ab429f0e64bb5bdc5b756be56b429c9114691e3f7a78689ea0203f9:1","implied":0.023162952800000025,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9768370472,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771880616,"title":"Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?","usd":14784.965969747958,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0x6a79204ace08d896a72cac89c3c2b4c64b90218838c213e9377860596dc77ac5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdbbcd9a51690c16c63e02c90ae8659b2833354372cf2083e9b6375ef9e55ad05:0","id":"trade:0xdbbcd9a51690c16c63e02c90ae8659b2833354372cf2083e9b6375ef9e55ad05:0","implied":0.6994749933,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6994749933,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1770269277,"title":"Will People\u2019s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?","usd":10492.124899499999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf1b3434bd73db0fd8fb81fa8c31f5ea7e369c0e6e606383b9a7f9bd8b57c5b6c:0","id":"trade:0xf1b3434bd73db0fd8fb81fa8c31f5ea7e369c0e6e606383b9a7f9bd8b57c5b6c:0","implied":0.019999999999999907,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9800000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769087418,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":21777.56,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x20458047ba349a4ab24143a84d19006d81256d03c9c824bfa0442cf2f5f4dfa1:0","id":"trade:0x20458047ba349a4ab24143a84d19006d81256d03c9c824bfa0442cf2f5f4dfa1:0","implied":0.9505715020410789,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9505715020410789,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767967186,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":29573.230000000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x23b73a295b7afdc4878c8293aeca0c21f6190ebfa3102cbc8c18184d15384c05:0","id":"trade:0x23b73a295b7afdc4878c8293aeca0c21f6190ebfa3102cbc8c18184d15384c05:0","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767800501,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":30333.030000000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xca8b9dd5a39add622f7c97cb2ab8ba14d96a73b413d89db4b2d6acfae812b200:0","id":"trade:0xca8b9dd5a39add622f7c97cb2ab8ba14d96a73b413d89db4b2d6acfae812b200:0","implied":0.9459980714,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9459980714,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761978428,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":14715.000000627,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e97c27a9ffe52f07e505dbcdcf30ee27c6948d6098e694f542372ce72fd6534:0","id":"trade:0x2e97c27a9ffe52f07e505dbcdcf30ee27c6948d6098e694f542372ce72fd6534:0","implied":0.9400000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9400000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761832679,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":10444.34,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4691ab79355b997c2ea039929d2dfd67d9a40067a23abaf82f4fef93e116c9b2:0","id":"trade:0x4691ab79355b997c2ea039929d2dfd67d9a40067a23abaf82f4fef93e116c9b2:0","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761804309,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":20222.02,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9a3ce7a95e2a6592e8a7dd3de54f1b39ed386279a575d3bf45d7a2d8730a522d:0","id":"trade:0x9a3ce7a95e2a6592e8a7dd3de54f1b39ed386279a575d3bf45d7a2d8730a522d:0","implied":0.945520324,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.945520324,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761421091,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":14182.80486,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"}],"record":{"called":4,"edge":-0.22683223144999998,"exp_rate":0.8934988981166666,"expected":5.3609933887,"hit":0.6666666666666666,"n":6,"se":0.12072778013392826},"wallet":"0xaaef789cc9037967f64f780d72f00d52277c472a"}