{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1619715f3bdea61dd40afb7be1d8c825e26061026a95eb2e361ba83a110915ce:1","id":"trade:0x1619715f3bdea61dd40afb7be1d8c825e26061026a95eb2e361ba83a110915ce:1","implied":0.15000000000000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.85,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1780536808,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":21250.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbfbcf63d015e796cb0eef2bf859440c595abae17ac4674fe47ce47d9f1a9e534:1","id":"trade:0xbfbcf63d015e796cb0eef2bf859440c595abae17ac4674fe47ce47d9f1a9e534:1","implied":0.86,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.86,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1780536660,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":21500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc498ac60e3242377d8f23fe6d4906760d9cb04557122b8574809b2c617b91417:1","id":"trade:0xc498ac60e3242377d8f23fe6d4906760d9cb04557122b8574809b2c617b91417:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780333287,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":13441.22499,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x328baed3c0e1c754a85bf42eef8d6a5c70f95072cc07b39c5ab37f660ce9b964:1","id":"trade:0x328baed3c0e1c754a85bf42eef8d6a5c70f95072cc07b39c5ab37f660ce9b964:1","implied":0.24994237149999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7500576285,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779845806,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":12960.733300310027,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5136425a4a97eeb73d0ab5d08b32895902fd47d444976e2a466cf50496337aac:1","id":"trade:0x5136425a4a97eeb73d0ab5d08b32895902fd47d444976e2a466cf50496337aac:1","implied":0.7842107391,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7842107391,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779555854,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":12999.999995235145,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x07c7de0bc396d8b4e46d48311762bd3ee9a9a3dd8f33df579a2d3b9a6ff1584d:1","id":"trade:0x07c7de0bc396d8b4e46d48311762bd3ee9a9a3dd8f33df579a2d3b9a6ff1584d:1","implied":0.3088169733,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6911830267,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779551873,"title":"Iran closes its airspace by May 24?","usd":13170.098599443281,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xad6b19fd4bd76dfc7e530ec5e55ea31f1acc615cefdc8a188c50104c7aa48acd:1","id":"trade:0xad6b19fd4bd76dfc7e530ec5e55ea31f1acc615cefdc8a188c50104c7aa48acd:1","implied":0.07999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1776893036,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":11702.078,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4d8e03b8842f98f18506af8fdb2c9bae2db2d33535e4c67f6838f16c8e8e6cf7:0","id":"trade:0x4d8e03b8842f98f18506af8fdb2c9bae2db2d33535e4c67f6838f16c8e8e6cf7:0","implied":0.10999999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.89,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775255093,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":15106.7176,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x568bcfe907a8ea1dbf1e96b2e13170e5ef5be12c5feb7e436ed23a6a12221c45:0","id":"trade:0x568bcfe907a8ea1dbf1e96b2e13170e5ef5be12c5feb7e436ed23a6a12221c45:0","implied":0.5387282668,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5387282668,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775084487,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":10290.639999458064,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xee908a1b1387d4a9b9a3bd577cf2793eca680993e4c1fd2f44ab7347b9a983aa:1","id":"trade:0xee908a1b1387d4a9b9a3bd577cf2793eca680993e4c1fd2f44ab7347b9a983aa:1","implied":0.004999999999999893,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9950000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775018357,"title":"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","usd":10863.45975,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8248085ddf1c6f4e9dc84022101b0aa07cd1adabe9ca9271d5b463440d1b7da6:1","id":"trade:0x8248085ddf1c6f4e9dc84022101b0aa07cd1adabe9ca9271d5b463440d1b7da6:1","implied":0.05700000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.943,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1773534231,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":13123.18406,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd4a6bf1b86e40f85ce8c20e08446f689e1e690aba047ea7d6c28161ffa578b71:1","id":"trade:0xd4a6bf1b86e40f85ce8c20e08446f689e1e690aba047ea7d6c28161ffa578b71:1","implied":0.9187165161999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9187165161999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773473751,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":12785.249990065504,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.11432336130000002,"exp_rate":0.44765669463333335,"expected":1.3429700839,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.2516930424392676},"wallet":"0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1"}
