{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9507bd0d32a80dbd07941eac81f3276a3a3b94aa238a77a7ff4940bd9be69de3:1","id":"trade:0x9507bd0d32a80dbd07941eac81f3276a3a3b94aa238a77a7ff4940bd9be69de3:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785366759,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","usd":14786.668529999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7bc11dc722d14f7d50267dd607f9107f4e0db221ab049992b8f9639f03be1a22:1","id":"trade:0x7bc11dc722d14f7d50267dd607f9107f4e0db221ab049992b8f9639f03be1a22:1","implied":0.06499999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.935,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785353033,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","usd":10279.960350000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb1423d8f27de20c29c47872649dc9ab1ef8d4978020796726e5199d72548def5:1","id":"trade:0xb1423d8f27de20c29c47872649dc9ab1ef8d4978020796726e5199d72548def5:1","implied":0.9034056035,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9034056035,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785352883,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","usd":15823.917040065473,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1783524ce3561956e6ef101a20eb2db877416cbc6d97775ae7e8db84471922ba:0","id":"trade:0x1783524ce3561956e6ef101a20eb2db877416cbc6d97775ae7e8db84471922ba:0","implied":0.62,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.62,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1781528808,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":10004.475,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x63976ac8b50e5f1137bfb534ad9a68570a63f993bfb787472d88b0b2c6903c3e:0","id":"trade:0x63976ac8b50e5f1137bfb534ad9a68570a63f993bfb787472d88b0b2c6903c3e:0","implied":0.3,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779286494,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10000.416,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x838ace15b677b09ad15a9db95c5f8351f7eae5199cb4ed4c8c06534887000991:0","id":"trade:0x838ace15b677b09ad15a9db95c5f8351f7eae5199cb4ed4c8c06534887000991:0","implied":0.5930515231,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4069484769,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1778443969,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10433.51189963773,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc5f4d1815d891be5ca77ea5a6272ff7ccafbf5e865a9216d3ed758e152cea3cb:0","id":"trade:0xc5f4d1815d891be5ca77ea5a6272ff7ccafbf5e865a9216d3ed758e152cea3cb:0","implied":0.39,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.39,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1777820028,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10920.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e602a47fa3fa38703b6d402a8f37b72899f14ee0548993d6276e7a0c38fd2b5:0","id":"trade:0x2e602a47fa3fa38703b6d402a8f37b72899f14ee0548993d6276e7a0c38fd2b5:0","implied":0.5297319687,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5297319687,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777506670,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":19911.05139948596,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.57486598435,"exp_rate":0.57486598435,"expected":1.1497319687,"hit":0.0,"n":2,"se":0.3481077455462684},"wallet":"0xa65c87d5fa12469300aaa71e6237af2f2d147997"}
