{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x6bbdeb8773a1470ba1053959a446bb0912b38f6091c8794583612bfa76a81a15","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x96c4baf77ab1c7182d263ba0ee33222792611d301d0d97f8ad66d454698880b1:1","id":"trade:0x96c4baf77ab1c7182d263ba0ee33222792611d301d0d97f8ad66d454698880b1:1","implied":0.9814672444,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9814672444,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770357589,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?","usd":15703.4759104,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2da2c3a003080e52ef3da64782c7570f9b5f75220881d625d9ddce634e3c43c3:0","id":"trade:0x2da2c3a003080e52ef3da64782c7570f9b5f75220881d625d9ddce634e3c43c3:0","implied":0.9580000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9580000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768751512,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":11825.87772,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdf101099cf2b0fa0de5581cb25996ee9012d4959c38650c999aa31fce95c1b12:1","id":"trade:0xdf101099cf2b0fa0de5581cb25996ee9012d4959c38650c999aa31fce95c1b12:1","implied":0.991,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.991,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1764680120,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":17838.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbdadb3fcdd2e3c3a68fbc1cdf09ecf6b787f9a9e6846c85895eaf26f93ef683e:1","id":"trade:0xbdadb3fcdd2e3c3a68fbc1cdf09ecf6b787f9a9e6846c85895eaf26f93ef683e:1","implied":0.983,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.983,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1763989869,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":27524.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xab68adccd9ea676c177e030527edb3f37d565690b27b5cf30f08c9a319f0a805:1","id":"trade:0xab68adccd9ea676c177e030527edb3f37d565690b27b5cf30f08c9a319f0a805:1","implied":0.88,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.88,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1761539495,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":15840.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x744dac9ece843734b48922b55a7f1a6d1ac21387ee7d9ece5afd477ee366669b:1","id":"trade:0x744dac9ece843734b48922b55a7f1a6d1ac21387ee7d9ece5afd477ee366669b:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760146732,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":24892.6683,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.014000000000000012,"exp_rate":0.514,"expected":1.028,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.16227754003558217},"wallet":"0xa11757938dc4dba5f7d00cbc4b8257f66052a311"}