{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xabc4a86c213264921c94e4b87194171e8a8ea57a9ef0202feaccbc59377da29e:1","id":"trade:0xabc4a86c213264921c94e4b87194171e8a8ea57a9ef0202feaccbc59377da29e:1","implied":0.86,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.86,"result":null,"side":"BUY","status":"pending","t":1792570629,"title":"Iran leadership change by December 31?","usd":17200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3273382ae152cdda7ecbe3410a78e8f8c2f8b367841beff60c9296b1987ac271:1","id":"trade:0x3273382ae152cdda7ecbe3410a78e8f8c2f8b367841beff60c9296b1987ac271:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1791150620,"title":"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","usd":24224.47128,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6db71eda61f614620eb12d644be1812aab65e755eec58d42d021481c0eced567:0","id":"trade:0x6db71eda61f614620eb12d644be1812aab65e755eec58d42d021481c0eced567:0","implied":0.9589875,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9589875,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789931587,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":19179.75,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4908e3bede127e503083005b1ca42cc5e2d0c750db2e62dcb7dc015f9e03b52b:0","id":"trade:0x4908e3bede127e503083005b1ca42cc5e2d0c750db2e62dcb7dc015f9e03b52b:0","implied":0.74,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.74,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789797813,"title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","usd":11840.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2b22571c1997217ce87192c35b5439906e2c5a154840fe0459c66c8b043d85a8:1","id":"trade:0x2b22571c1997217ce87192c35b5439906e2c5a154840fe0459c66c8b043d85a8:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1787887432,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":43824.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x377673712066fd9a066ddda38f785a52320afb3fae8edd9caec548d07335bfb9:1","id":"trade:0x377673712066fd9a066ddda38f785a52320afb3fae8edd9caec548d07335bfb9:1","implied":0.0029999999999998916,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9970000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1787651839,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":20294.224130000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xce41e10b3c9b3764cfe3b54691b411a4565ac4ee6ced9a810ee629bbfbffce89","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x67c85e2ce68d37c04e507248bb52e2ce9d2ce26cb08bae6c30c3b96a9c1d0a68:1","id":"trade:0x67c85e2ce68d37c04e507248bb52e2ce9d2ce26cb08bae6c30c3b96a9c1d0a68:1","implied":0.008999999999999897,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9910000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1787040118,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?","usd":19764.949950000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8719663ad645bbc8178325ff519d10f7f43ae054e47849c0fed9fcc313ea8aa2:1","id":"trade:0x8719663ad645bbc8178325ff519d10f7f43ae054e47849c0fed9fcc313ea8aa2:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1787033266,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","usd":11292.33636,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3ea673871d403810143efebff2565d2f31c213d6351c2e561f2bb2d033a74b06:1","id":"trade:0x3ea673871d403810143efebff2565d2f31c213d6351c2e561f2bb2d033a74b06:1","implied":0.969,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.969,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786601487,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":28101.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70ce22c5cdee1cc0dbb96a661794637a9612f9cedd36ad36d8beac0423b8f312:1","id":"trade:0x70ce22c5cdee1cc0dbb96a661794637a9612f9cedd36ad36d8beac0423b8f312:1","implied":0.13,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1786134192,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":15132.1536,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe319ed47cd5859d613b918056cb733dfebad7e9ca0ae20fcad3a4c5fa34324fd:1","id":"trade:0xe319ed47cd5859d613b918056cb733dfebad7e9ca0ae20fcad3a4c5fa34324fd:1","implied":0.010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1786073067,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","usd":26054.4042,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x48772b2b2db81b8e51f877cd7fd3e082d69b699eceafa81a9ad0eaf26eb0d2b1:1","id":"trade:0x48772b2b2db81b8e51f877cd7fd3e082d69b699eceafa81a9ad0eaf26eb0d2b1:1","implied":0.971,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.971,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785659258,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","usd":41728.6279,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1597329899de503ef84acf3e4e1b25b57ba59ff7147709e68828fe8a12f80e94:1","id":"trade:0x1597329899de503ef84acf3e4e1b25b57ba59ff7147709e68828fe8a12f80e94:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785342255,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":31224.77928,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8eac42cda750125012035b3b9707ef5577a95c4091b6c70a666f3ce588b15c66:1","id":"trade:0x8eac42cda750125012035b3b9707ef5577a95c4091b6c70a666f3ce588b15c66:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785332835,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":20937.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x74d7ad4e528a80f7e80c44080479ee926646cec494486e666ff7a6bd828409a5:1","id":"trade:0x74d7ad4e528a80f7e80c44080479ee926646cec494486e666ff7a6bd828409a5:1","implied":0.993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785021003,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":44685.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1548ae7d73cc83ad7723148c4ff80cc9557006f8a909a116f09e515447cbbb00:1","id":"trade:0x1548ae7d73cc83ad7723148c4ff80cc9557006f8a909a116f09e515447cbbb00:1","implied":0.993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784964723,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":36741.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x976d9043d9482fb5e824ccb0fa8a86c58522bafd1dd59f481aebe6df0e7130e3:1","id":"trade:0x976d9043d9482fb5e824ccb0fa8a86c58522bafd1dd59f481aebe6df0e7130e3:1","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784858185,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":19880.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1745596c2d51aad6c0b5f75da41c0a660be826d7ab5a1edba3dcce1264f3797d:1","id":"trade:0x1745596c2d51aad6c0b5f75da41c0a660be826d7ab5a1edba3dcce1264f3797d:1","implied":0.991,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.991,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784772261,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":34685.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x18861397a44127556547b64a33a8dfa795c6b5a0ddbf8c8dd52dfe12257e6083:0","id":"trade:0x18861397a44127556547b64a33a8dfa795c6b5a0ddbf8c8dd52dfe12257e6083:0","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784109251,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":13950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc0cd485e1485a51a542b1e56643f9d9eebb13a7c9636686a780b660f58edbbd7:0","id":"trade:0xc0cd485e1485a51a542b1e56643f9d9eebb13a7c9636686a780b660f58edbbd7:0","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.92,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784057296,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":55200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x513bf1706e9cbf61b7cc56f12803b1b72a522bae3c5157e7b356abdf36e2e72d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe83cc91bc592ec6d6674786f87a268e62f2c2ca86d7ab8b0425e8000ba96d1be:1","id":"trade:0xe83cc91bc592ec6d6674786f87a268e62f2c2ca86d7ab8b0425e8000ba96d1be:1","implied":0.937,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.937,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1783849904,"title":"Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?","usd":18648.68935,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa1fe506d05266979fe4db1cbaf5a702597baf9af33a9284936dad611f2c71937:1","id":"trade:0xa1fe506d05266979fe4db1cbaf5a702597baf9af33a9284936dad611f2c71937:1","implied":0.94,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782142337,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":28200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x200585c49d3da33bccf7563567754ca97629e1b9ba2318d857e737cb464e2dfa:1","id":"trade:0x200585c49d3da33bccf7563567754ca97629e1b9ba2318d857e737cb464e2dfa:1","implied":0.94,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782070916,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":14098.035399999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8aa8e8c8b1cf7c47acd0245e2e54937a929d0512bd56a514a209eb09ae0b696b:1","id":"trade:0x8aa8e8c8b1cf7c47acd0245e2e54937a929d0512bd56a514a209eb09ae0b696b:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1781977103,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":40480.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x71d87d9b94e4ba59fb920765a021303a03402a04e3eff4fef45bf4e0d13b5ae4:1","id":"trade:0x71d87d9b94e4ba59fb920765a021303a03402a04e3eff4fef45bf4e0d13b5ae4:1","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.82,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1781774314,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":16400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf0c618780cd321caed4202fa05c6b5216594b370ee0f00e0521e43390dcbd668:0","id":"trade:0xf0c618780cd321caed4202fa05c6b5216594b370ee0f00e0521e43390dcbd668:0","implied":0.989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.989,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781612199,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":29956.81,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6068b022e8425687c5005719b4462cf7c702dc595712741de6962f2e96c86418:0","id":"trade:0x6068b022e8425687c5005719b4462cf7c702dc595712741de6962f2e96c86418:0","implied":0.95,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.95,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781511291,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":12350.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd1c341dcf2c15f248c1f9c0104c831e583561faa429b191266411120e8c38a4c:0","id":"trade:0xd1c341dcf2c15f248c1f9c0104c831e583561faa429b191266411120e8c38a4c:0","implied":0.963,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.963,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781280399,"title":"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","usd":33705.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb3fb69a4d4a640aa837a0c0f4b23470e6604069579dcbb5da4d09593ed4882d6:1","id":"trade:0xb3fb69a4d4a640aa837a0c0f4b23470e6604069579dcbb5da4d09593ed4882d6:1","implied":0.015000000000000013,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.985,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781208984,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":16920.61565,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7e72aa39171bcf1462d152b5fa3a64f61200f4bc8b7f323e9c64c016bbe9c291:1","id":"trade:0x7e72aa39171bcf1462d152b5fa3a64f61200f4bc8b7f323e9c64c016bbe9c291:1","implied":0.993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780381636,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":23832.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8988779f90b86a413efa102cc5ddc862b87e9b32e529881bd1fd0a1a2b89fb77:1","id":"trade:0x8988779f90b86a413efa102cc5ddc862b87e9b32e529881bd1fd0a1a2b89fb77:1","implied":0.008000000000000007,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.992,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779830070,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":32016.155199999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf4497225d7080a6b044ed6f478f2f5ff434a00337a989a57b88089396d892148:1","id":"trade:0xf4497225d7080a6b044ed6f478f2f5ff434a00337a989a57b88089396d892148:1","implied":0.984,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.984,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779635360,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":21648.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc43a5460019d575ae1f3b5562ec4150f3b93b896ecba15b77fbfca44cf4659c2:1","id":"trade:0xc43a5460019d575ae1f3b5562ec4150f3b93b896ecba15b77fbfca44cf4659c2:1","implied":0.94,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.94,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779266630,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":20868.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x5341e90b72330a8eb96cb685dcffe51ad41783cc12e91b6858b9bd996b3d5b63","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5883afaaa87b5b625c891819126528c363e073686bb2ee675a825261b3b32d06:1","id":"trade:0x5883afaaa87b5b625c891819126528c363e073686bb2ee675a825261b3b32d06:1","implied":0.0030000000000001137,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9969999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779266595,"title":"Will Trump say \"Strait\" or \"Hormuz\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":19939.93021,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x59dc561381a077091e8079ae98deeb16922b2d2d706ee99cae552dc17deb2e2b:1","id":"trade:0x59dc561381a077091e8079ae98deeb16922b2d2d706ee99cae552dc17deb2e2b:1","implied":0.010999999999999899,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9890000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779176857,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":13296.08633,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5d6e8ae70ca80311fa651e044c6e1254f25e2853d82cb925afdeadb6fd8527bf:1","id":"trade:0x5d6e8ae70ca80311fa651e044c6e1254f25e2853d82cb925afdeadb6fd8527bf:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779042298,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":48267.70680000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf94202e3348715c1841a91da6ed4e046062f8f74d3c5300d5df858f8722cd678:1","id":"trade:0xf94202e3348715c1841a91da6ed4e046062f8f74d3c5300d5df858f8722cd678:1","implied":0.0050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778599205,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","usd":31217.39865,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x5e5482b1e2afa7bed0b9a0c3c8ad33a83dd6cc6d649666cdf1977be64c42c82a","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x040b93b5ec2d96bd54796a28e0df272e0f7d66c085c694dde81e54fa4736684d:1","id":"trade:0x040b93b5ec2d96bd54796a28e0df272e0f7d66c085c694dde81e54fa4736684d:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778529903,"title":"Epstein suicide note released by May 8?","usd":59818.90244,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfcc514077e167bef76a9582d16e99b73f6b7979f5f7fec2b5df7a7434cb3fddb:1","id":"trade:0xfcc514077e167bef76a9582d16e99b73f6b7979f5f7fec2b5df7a7434cb3fddb:1","implied":0.008000000000000007,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.992,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778510131,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","usd":14832.384,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd9daafc00c93ec6747c3d273ba96f7053e8f0cd31e6716fb27a91577be87a167:1","id":"trade:0xd9daafc00c93ec6747c3d273ba96f7053e8f0cd31e6716fb27a91577be87a167:1","implied":0.04997143029999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9500285697,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1778094497,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","usd":61751.847530214305,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xf220061c0e83defd413070f97fb55660485ca8540c43be13d9e71082ca2cad57","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x12e6787a99a4f9a45e8861987432f1010e710976e10562f9b54f5c7259fc8e41:0","id":"trade:0x12e6787a99a4f9a45e8861987432f1010e710976e10562f9b54f5c7259fc8e41:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777841270,"title":"QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?","usd":19960.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa2ba7a35ca4846d55e7c81d7bb8072a24b351638d5b3e00ac44b5a02090ebd56:1","id":"trade:0xa2ba7a35ca4846d55e7c81d7bb8072a24b351638d5b3e00ac44b5a02090ebd56:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1777752476,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":17480.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xffa7b01a1e6968e48a7a8d8f8f96dc3b01042891a8a87c36595a64e9e364874d:1","id":"trade:0xffa7b01a1e6968e48a7a8d8f8f96dc3b01042891a8a87c36595a64e9e364874d:1","implied":0.91,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.91,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1777671966,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":12740.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x57d2e7951be88dc25da2c9e4847bcaceae4ad1031a03a11e6ebff5c6a887bf17:1","id":"trade:0x57d2e7951be88dc25da2c9e4847bcaceae4ad1031a03a11e6ebff5c6a887bf17:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777579356,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":210650.05560000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xea4f0c7eb0e69f0d2053a80b5add939a5c8b8bf70fbb5039a52080d7c3bf8725:1","id":"trade:0xea4f0c7eb0e69f0d2053a80b5add939a5c8b8bf70fbb5039a52080d7c3bf8725:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777531982,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":49900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x141184f397756ac96deb5128e79e73976e8e079411fc3963c9db324169468b38:1","id":"trade:0x141184f397756ac96deb5128e79e73976e8e079411fc3963c9db324169468b38:1","implied":0.9970000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9970000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777498108,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":39531.05,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa151604b31561123804be317174f2868a87dfbbc6c903ac669e91ea58bf18981:0","id":"trade:0xa151604b31561123804be317174f2868a87dfbbc6c903ac669e91ea58bf18981:0","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777489840,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":12959.5275,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4dd900d059784339420843915b64e83758241e73e8ca703fc7b2d42fd20764b8:1","id":"trade:0x4dd900d059784339420843915b64e83758241e73e8ca703fc7b2d42fd20764b8:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777488474,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":24900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa898cbee7fcaffa8b6d9a5dd1f6fb785bdea13bb41af5be1d0f55cb864b93517:0","id":"trade:0xa898cbee7fcaffa8b6d9a5dd1f6fb785bdea13bb41af5be1d0f55cb864b93517:0","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777479484,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":24439.024,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc112e7d1273e21fb89baf1e13d50846d11c30c395ceca9576588aa06e1e5dbd2:0","id":"trade:0xc112e7d1273e21fb89baf1e13d50846d11c30c395ceca9576588aa06e1e5dbd2:0","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777474782,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":10179.6,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"}],"record":{"called":10,"edge":0.10582191542727269,"exp_rate":0.8032689936636364,"expected":8.8359589303,"hit":0.9090909090909091,"n":11,"se":0.09219704739260041},"wallet":"0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc"}