{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xe300ef3e8db2845bf70756f9346ba69db2ecfa25919057ff5b71ff771cf0afc1","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x019b420359d628d6f71e7320dbda7cdc345bf16791ed77262628a82daf88739a:1","id":"trade:0x019b420359d628d6f71e7320dbda7cdc345bf16791ed77262628a82daf88739a:1","implied":0.58,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Texans","price":0.58,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1789922581,"title":"Bengals vs. Texans","usd":11600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x26b1c82adf5587be10f46b51a527a5b6ef88a843a49579e9797050bd1a92997f:1","id":"trade:0x26b1c82adf5587be10f46b51a527a5b6ef88a843a49579e9797050bd1a92997f:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1789575011,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":19980.999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0xca0329cd4392d91e39df0702949229573d2415ae4a37b0103d0c6e9d03b8dd44","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x590a97a0a17ae839aee98a6b23ce953a984abc3cf474b84e034095968d7cc4e0:0","id":"trade:0x590a97a0a17ae839aee98a6b23ce953a984abc3cf474b84e034095968d7cc4e0:0","implied":0.9969999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9969999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785910058,"title":"Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?","usd":61796.43286,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0xc0b7319f73f248310b059c231fb069e64dbd68ca81dd9933728ca192b54c3cc4","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe10a856ca2befaa470cedf19ae83e4ec4755693351b88c814e6a9cdfba89aa86:0","id":"trade:0xe10a856ca2befaa470cedf19ae83e4ec4755693351b88c814e6a9cdfba89aa86:0","implied":0.9969999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9969999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784599614,"title":"Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?","usd":19942.990999999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x390802c672e5842546b4549ba3dc8792c3343575a4ff8f75f81e38de750e340e:0","id":"trade:0x390802c672e5842546b4549ba3dc8792c3343575a4ff8f75f81e38de750e340e:0","implied":0.9099999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9099999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784032936,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":17290.1001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbaaf062b1e61eb096bdd9247f3dd888b8b26d6813f3410cab73ed651a513be3e:1","id":"trade:0xbaaf062b1e61eb096bdd9247f3dd888b8b26d6813f3410cab73ed651a513be3e:1","implied":0.9861825079,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9861825079,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1783383076,"title":"Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":13426.687470381998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb391c5af5edff4e4df7dc2aa1d41752547c2acbf915dc97f8c15e5c96e0170c3:0","id":"trade:0xb391c5af5edff4e4df7dc2aa1d41752547c2acbf915dc97f8c15e5c96e0170c3:0","implied":0.975604576,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.975604576,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781547105,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":24390.1144,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x39efcca46fe8dbdcae9158b6e4b4cee73fe843e20ca01320835bfce5e6c1f9f0:0","id":"trade:0x39efcca46fe8dbdcae9158b6e4b4cee73fe843e20ca01320835bfce5e6c1f9f0:0","implied":0.12,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.88,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1781476206,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","usd":11884.136,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4ae9a78e951c5bf6da1d9e4c8aa95a18cecaeace6d63f3287aeb92dffeebe91e:1","id":"trade:0x4ae9a78e951c5bf6da1d9e4c8aa95a18cecaeace6d63f3287aeb92dffeebe91e:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777507238,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":15968.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x58ea8a79e6c586dcdeeb176187a629dd47f3147dd6cd10e5b4d9a71509ce7a6f:0","id":"trade:0x58ea8a79e6c586dcdeeb176187a629dd47f3147dd6cd10e5b4d9a71509ce7a6f:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775649173,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":15984.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x007c0ac84eb89721b39375858a568361f3cddf87ba426520cf253feae2c7e77f:0","id":"trade:0x007c0ac84eb89721b39375858a568361f3cddf87ba426520cf253feae2c7e77f:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775609779,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":21307.26008,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x13faa10ab92ce0cc1cb8d0fdc89233e4ae32c70569c5e8115c76b9f7bb59ed4a:0","id":"trade:0x13faa10ab92ce0cc1cb8d0fdc89233e4ae32c70569c5e8115c76b9f7bb59ed4a:0","implied":0.9905306847000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9905306847000002,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775600513,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":16839.021639900002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70cd0db170fbc2c8c7c4cbfd260f42e494ce254d89f589dbe053002c4e11c138:0","id":"trade:0x70cd0db170fbc2c8c7c4cbfd260f42e494ce254d89f589dbe053002c4e11c138:0","implied":0.9858949615000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9858949615000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775360959,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":10258.937059830165,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x6aa39e488afd5dd8e1cd995258c28c3c485dbc4d467d4eb4d94fc6f30e172833","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0a12f6b769e589596ecb1a47e581a6268f49c2e969c19037c32a548ddd843d23:1","id":"trade:0x0a12f6b769e589596ecb1a47e581a6268f49c2e969c19037c32a548ddd843d23:1","implied":0.9848733387000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9848733387000002,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1774906231,"title":"Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?","usd":11421.329890569226,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfdb5ac2ada10076f4683420cdde82dfe80ff47beb99db912bf98b3089975aff2:1","id":"trade:0xfdb5ac2ada10076f4683420cdde82dfe80ff47beb99db912bf98b3089975aff2:1","implied":0.9729999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9729999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1773992689,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":10458.601859999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8abd3c1343dbc550664be715ed8c144bd820f2ac614c428bc5ae94f1de0420c6:1","id":"trade:0x8abd3c1343dbc550664be715ed8c144bd820f2ac614c428bc5ae94f1de0420c6:1","implied":0.019000000000000017,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.981,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1773982627,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":11939.78043,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb5374f9aa556bef6a363da8f4e38b3379ba849994fbe85c7b9bae27ab58f9a81:0","id":"trade:0xb5374f9aa556bef6a363da8f4e38b3379ba849994fbe85c7b9bae27ab58f9a81:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772579363,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":11988.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.014999999999999902,"exp_rate":0.5149999999999999,"expected":1.0299999999999998,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.2165063509461097},"wallet":"0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729"}
