{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xad8d716bcecc05059071a08cc3de8ceab6c5ec85d3f8759d1b5b35d0107f7e06:1","id":"trade:0xad8d716bcecc05059071a08cc3de8ceab6c5ec85d3f8759d1b5b35d0107f7e06:1","implied":0.8776890837,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8776890837,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1781285041,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":27099.99999923873,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbe1eb0bdc3fa0b0a3ab336e874661343fd462516b4e3465fff85c8520f0d8e4b:1","id":"trade:0xbe1eb0bdc3fa0b0a3ab336e874661343fd462516b4e3465fff85c8520f0d8e4b:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1781020347,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":18400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1613686c98ef3a61e8da92fad374c92604f847ccd6d8ee627bd90c001f49621c:1","id":"trade:0x1613686c98ef3a61e8da92fad374c92604f847ccd6d8ee627bd90c001f49621c:1","implied":0.9200000000000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9200000000000002,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779726639,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":10549.1432,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb593290d3f10b04ace06a14546e4ab8cffe7eab22eca79c1077c6c2aede170d6:1","id":"trade:0xb593290d3f10b04ace06a14546e4ab8cffe7eab22eca79c1077c6c2aede170d6:1","implied":0.9979999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9979999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767081905,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":19977.654619999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.5725630279000001,"exp_rate":0.9058963612333334,"expected":2.7176890837000003,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.16817681041552476},"wallet":"0x96f91943667762bbce634653e01e1a4745611d08"}
