{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1475da1ddb7d272b450dc612f4a96d2dec4c42c6e1ae717b6fb68360d3099183:1","id":"trade:0x1475da1ddb7d272b450dc612f4a96d2dec4c42c6e1ae717b6fb68360d3099183:1","implied":0.96,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.96,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1780900266,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":10371.84,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x911dba401ac533c0d6e086204be4a842ea1f046e"},{"condition_id":"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfafae5b6d1137de4f096caceff9ad4dac0fead8c7fc6b99d27eef3188576d8d1:1","id":"trade:0xfafae5b6d1137de4f096caceff9ad4dac0fead8c7fc6b99d27eef3188576d8d1:1","implied":0.95,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1780328589,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?","usd":12350.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x911dba401ac533c0d6e086204be4a842ea1f046e"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc6b30669cf4a8275fbab0063bf2c10e019af6c1f3715dbf82c4973be26b8f3d7:1","id":"trade:0xc6b30669cf4a8275fbab0063bf2c10e019af6c1f3715dbf82c4973be26b8f3d7:1","implied":0.19999999999999984,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8000000000000002,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779427112,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":11109.832000000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x911dba401ac533c0d6e086204be4a842ea1f046e"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.36999999999999994,"exp_rate":0.7033333333333333,"expected":2.11,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.16529435024289918},"wallet":"0x911dba401ac533c0d6e086204be4a842ea1f046e"}
