{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8e496f0d774417f0b87ff63ff1e2e153feda7257acb0402405ff73704c175811:0","id":"trade:0x8e496f0d774417f0b87ff63ff1e2e153feda7257acb0402405ff73704c175811:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781730613,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":101836.51155,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd77ac124364580e9d1ef30c3dbdb2f78ee0a90433e77b74295fb62c09e8a26f1:1","id":"trade:0xd77ac124364580e9d1ef30c3dbdb2f78ee0a90433e77b74295fb62c09e8a26f1:1","implied":0.006000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.994,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1779399070,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":28430.30848,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3cb9b7f1c2f07f6520447fc641d6e83eab27f639e3dea9ca26a0409c7038a6ff:1","id":"trade:0x3cb9b7f1c2f07f6520447fc641d6e83eab27f639e3dea9ca26a0409c7038a6ff:1","implied":0.04999999999999993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9500000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779216533,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":18471.325,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9ff1b76984ed337f4064df5c9b424d0f04c478452360abe5f49c9f8a542122c8:1","id":"trade:0x9ff1b76984ed337f4064df5c9b424d0f04c478452360abe5f49c9f8a542122c8:1","implied":0.9870000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9870000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1779131758,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":11183.93388,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb740c4dc16a05ee4c16e8d6151952006a4319ee7244becb7b884a40e0e4b4373:0","id":"trade:0xb740c4dc16a05ee4c16e8d6151952006a4319ee7244becb7b884a40e0e4b4373:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778352670,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","usd":380534.15493,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcbd3b3a7b7d1721bb6d8589b28bf52ba45cf42be1a0c953b783308a90ac5ad24:1","id":"trade:0xcbd3b3a7b7d1721bb6d8589b28bf52ba45cf42be1a0c953b783308a90ac5ad24:1","implied":0.9790000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9790000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778277324,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":14096.18045,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x944002c780c9c40d93f43954b6d7a01de2d7664984f99ca5062585ec4be16d66:0","id":"trade:0x944002c780c9c40d93f43954b6d7a01de2d7664984f99ca5062585ec4be16d66:0","implied":0.5700000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5700000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778265315,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","usd":17008.2984,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x952f062741e8aa9fb8dd7c221f2704a5f423443797e0e004f385d5378b8304ff:1","id":"trade:0x952f062741e8aa9fb8dd7c221f2704a5f423443797e0e004f385d5378b8304ff:1","implied":0.050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.95,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1778187999,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":13194.074999999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0986bee4184ecdf5554ec82c7de13b760647055bed715e5a213f2d58c1829d28:1","id":"trade:0x0986bee4184ecdf5554ec82c7de13b760647055bed715e5a213f2d58c1829d28:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777589876,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":46844.7727,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa94083e0bb3d3f59cb36759fc638148845406d38275f647316f4e719cc4fea71:0","id":"trade:0xa94083e0bb3d3f59cb36759fc638148845406d38275f647316f4e719cc4fea71:0","implied":0.994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775687391,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":29995.1925,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":0.10999999999999999,"exp_rate":0.22333333333333336,"expected":0.67,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.1943936441576444},"wallet":"0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88"}
