{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xac728748ecf04abc6b4189ffba8152f37063a29e411d1660a62ffe06c15e73e8:1","id":"trade:0xac728748ecf04abc6b4189ffba8152f37063a29e411d1660a62ffe06c15e73e8:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785565568,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","usd":11597.076,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb2e260702490b9f8ad02b6a4a2e845d33b3ab1d12ee0637c9f0b4a858928ad05:1","id":"trade:0xb2e260702490b9f8ad02b6a4a2e845d33b3ab1d12ee0637c9f0b4a858928ad05:1","implied":0.9898185447,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9898185447,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785366710,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","usd":12275.78898048208,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf9aa2795578e022d3d6ad5975a1a8226e05cacc1a9cae917ec84288598da4867:0","id":"trade:0xf9aa2795578e022d3d6ad5975a1a8226e05cacc1a9cae917ec84288598da4867:0","implied":0.001000000000000112,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9989999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785364256,"title":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","usd":24951.20382,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2fe1d0f4bf27918875d1a98fae92024654e99c2193549e074bfd16ad6f46af89:0","id":"trade:0x2fe1d0f4bf27918875d1a98fae92024654e99c2193549e074bfd16ad6f46af89:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785200514,"title":"US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","usd":19980.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2c695b55134fe644ffb4f44aa2b6bc34116aa4169cdd28182468cb96ff72e78b:1","id":"trade:0x2c695b55134fe644ffb4f44aa2b6bc34116aa4169cdd28182468cb96ff72e78b:1","implied":0.81,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.81,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1785014374,"title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","usd":26238.8727,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xc0b7319f73f248310b059c231fb069e64dbd68ca81dd9933728ca192b54c3cc4","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa4fb206e0d144f66a4a11004cf01eb62a0f9ec9d790f8a396378d635872d0bfa:0","id":"trade:0xa4fb206e0d144f66a4a11004cf01eb62a0f9ec9d790f8a396378d635872d0bfa:0","implied":0.002000000000000113,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9979999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1784687305,"title":"Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?","usd":79839.90019999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x538d364f1b6d4d209b94b4a4bcbb0d42b9fdb273b98bc05283beb5e1153516d8:1","id":"trade:0x538d364f1b6d4d209b94b4a4bcbb0d42b9fdb273b98bc05283beb5e1153516d8:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1783378769,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":13556.41002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbbf550e47feb5d80bf23872c0a886e06d7e4e8c70cb4dbfdb84f65341bd1ddbc:0","id":"trade:0xbbf550e47feb5d80bf23872c0a886e06d7e4e8c70cb4dbfdb84f65341bd1ddbc:0","implied":0.9610000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9610000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781568556,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":46206.955760000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x66160a6c55d879cae96cced82a0aabdfcc6cd49ab0d4e0be6f8c3723eec6bd5e:0","id":"trade:0x66160a6c55d879cae96cced82a0aabdfcc6cd49ab0d4e0be6f8c3723eec6bd5e:0","implied":0.94,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.94,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779486675,"title":"Iran closes its airspace by May 24?","usd":28200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x224aaa90c7e76046a5ad6f158d0ec57d3be1be35667cc491d5d8870a7a871878:0","id":"trade:0x224aaa90c7e76046a5ad6f158d0ec57d3be1be35667cc491d5d8870a7a871878:0","implied":0.9989327041037978,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9989327041037978,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1778351802,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","usd":848780.7718687742,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x24f38479176af2d71f64161d53bde777aef49ef1c03066510174d43a8d2a43fe","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1b86a16907ec1827e8c5bc3d2ea06fa3a695afd2b660370853d583d0cc58a345:1","id":"trade:0x1b86a16907ec1827e8c5bc3d2ea06fa3a695afd2b660370853d583d0cc58a345:1","implied":0.002000000000000113,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9979999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777329570,"title":"Trump out as President by April 30?","usd":49899.93014,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaf2231207e9a07a8bb289efda0f98099393af7ac050706da5239178fe99cc0fb:0","id":"trade:0xaf2231207e9a07a8bb289efda0f98099393af7ac050706da5239178fe99cc0fb:0","implied":0.006000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.994,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775687891,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":24454.27866,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2c0e302c0c5fb740174222f839c54d81f433f15e0684c31e6593c083ec3e8d9b:0","id":"trade:0x2c0e302c0c5fb740174222f839c54d81f433f15e0684c31e6593c083ec3e8d9b:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775679071,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":132734.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa5871a16fb32139c26f2992ee5e5a6c6f9bc10fd9231549e17d4e89387be0cd4:0","id":"trade:0xa5871a16fb32139c26f2992ee5e5a6c6f9bc10fd9231549e17d4e89387be0cd4:0","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775364011,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":41532.57252,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x58b5bea10abccfc1c29fc44d085e4feb051db59e91856ee3add460f9be48de5d:0","id":"trade:0x58b5bea10abccfc1c29fc44d085e4feb051db59e91856ee3add460f9be48de5d:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1770150318,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":132677.84253999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf03f09d6e398d7432de0d0a7e3a064e09ee60df12ea1ac5e100de759875c2d35:0","id":"trade:0xf03f09d6e398d7432de0d0a7e3a064e09ee60df12ea1ac5e100de759875c2d35:0","implied":0.049000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.951,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769826468,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":19020.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2cd68bead4d810ec07fa930a7f985a81227849346814354eccc29800280fc10a:0","id":"trade:0x2cd68bead4d810ec07fa930a7f985a81227849346814354eccc29800280fc10a:0","implied":0.8938084904170911,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8938084904170911,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769817722,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":28872.07,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3baf1cc942395233dd7ab6fcb4d5923b58dcb10dfe3d6524f0c97ad43c0fddb6:0","id":"trade:0x3baf1cc942395233dd7ab6fcb4d5923b58dcb10dfe3d6524f0c97ad43c0fddb6:0","implied":0.04400000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.956,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768706926,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":19120.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3c4e5956635944d8596c8ac0d23fdb7acc131f6197432ab853586469008c0a42:0","id":"trade:0x3c4e5956635944d8596c8ac0d23fdb7acc131f6197432ab853586469008c0a42:0","implied":0.936685727892844,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.936685727892844,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768236197,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":63586.51723,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd4bbb4b9e8a8d0b88c63f51064adc45137cad213ee0c3ba7bc0bb7094fdc8f23:0","id":"trade:0xd4bbb4b9e8a8d0b88c63f51064adc45137cad213ee0c3ba7bc0bb7094fdc8f23:0","implied":0.9569999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9569999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768175526,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":18665.940479999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3140081d707a34bd3a9dbd9a921af9258d8bf9c7d9df5b2200052d6bd794545e:1","id":"trade:0x3140081d707a34bd3a9dbd9a921af9258d8bf9c7d9df5b2200052d6bd794545e:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1761081561,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":37200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x643f43a9a948be4af937687ffa6bd53beb25fce66c23ab8591b1f43adb570503:1","id":"trade:0x643f43a9a948be4af937687ffa6bd53beb25fce66c23ab8591b1f43adb570503:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1760651283,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":18400.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5c5226f139edeb0dde6ecc6e7df06fe9c232a5dc73e3160d9ee3df6b4e906f7c:1","id":"trade:0x5c5226f139edeb0dde6ecc6e7df06fe9c232a5dc73e3160d9ee3df6b4e906f7c:1","implied":0.07999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1758041098,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":82428.7616,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdf3fae54deed0017bc1ad26cc63b8104a00971e1b723155a92297f7d57220fce:1","id":"trade:0xdf3fae54deed0017bc1ad26cc63b8104a00971e1b723155a92297f7d57220fce:1","implied":0.07979950000000013,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9202004999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1758036450,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":18404.01,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2b0e7f9ba3b93592c0a18e746996be8d39947a8d000d2c65ea258e92085c9ad3:1","id":"trade:0x2b0e7f9ba3b93592c0a18e746996be8d39947a8d000d2c65ea258e92085c9ad3:1","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1753464341,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":52227.405,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.94,"exp_rate":0.94,"expected":0.94,"hit":0.0,"n":1,"se":0.23748684174075843},"wallet":"0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc"}
