{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4e4a2b509af2248414841fae6c7de35261b49f98ec9ae6f1a60bc043bff1345a:1","id":"trade:0x4e4a2b509af2248414841fae6c7de35261b49f98ec9ae6f1a60bc043bff1345a:1","implied":0.833,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.833,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782995729,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":16835.77966,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1cc353227a521089326e03893215ed0710e186986658dbc8475e6a23adee8ca6:0","id":"trade:0x1cc353227a521089326e03893215ed0710e186986658dbc8475e6a23adee8ca6:0","implied":0.84,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.84,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782995600,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":13463.7048,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9835ee7c60bf0456da79264daed2f7a1c42499d6d0fd16eb46abad6c821ed19e:0","id":"trade:0x9835ee7c60bf0456da79264daed2f7a1c42499d6d0fd16eb46abad6c821ed19e:0","implied":0.50562001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.50562001,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1782381593,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":10112.4002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9916eb8a8cd3036b810c6bce38a46b5440ccb50cb9dd1954ccf17cfd4aa55468:0","id":"trade:0x9916eb8a8cd3036b810c6bce38a46b5440ccb50cb9dd1954ccf17cfd4aa55468:0","implied":0.29341712320809543,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7065828767919046,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1781475484,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":25594.459690259173,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x001d1dc1bf9d74022bbc222362a2319df8bbef85f8802d65de362fbd8d4e5c97:0","id":"trade:0x001d1dc1bf9d74022bbc222362a2319df8bbef85f8802d65de362fbd8d4e5c97:0","implied":0.1,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.1,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1780914873,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":10810.905,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x97605a771fdc581f3e9353480214c27f246143d54a2aa0ac3cb44f66fb9bf70a:0","id":"trade:0x97605a771fdc581f3e9353480214c27f246143d54a2aa0ac3cb44f66fb9bf70a:0","implied":0.6,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1780003572,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":13537.2,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8176d36b26894e377db84bd9b2841b9e0ab66de9b0a6526f770b28ac174ce019:0","id":"trade:0x8176d36b26894e377db84bd9b2841b9e0ab66de9b0a6526f770b28ac174ce019:0","implied":0.12351535510000002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.12351535510000002,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779711853,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":10183.09870071085,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x683e7329cd06c380f12b9f6f40b64def9f8cca82262cebcafc26626b18d6ccea:0","id":"trade:0x683e7329cd06c380f12b9f6f40b64def9f8cca82262cebcafc26626b18d6ccea:0","implied":0.3615714611,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3615714611,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779711835,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":14577.84540005902,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x90c74a8557d302fdf8c70c5815740e1b1a11c9d4d3a3e2956223bd297e2812fb:1","id":"trade:0x90c74a8557d302fdf8c70c5815740e1b1a11c9d4d3a3e2956223bd297e2812fb:1","implied":0.75,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.75,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779631897,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":16002.24,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x52b05d77980c3df1a8bce5a747b7e1dd0d28eacd073fe4f47563e40e21e8b513:1","id":"trade:0x52b05d77980c3df1a8bce5a747b7e1dd0d28eacd073fe4f47563e40e21e8b513:1","implied":0.6369722718,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6369722718,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779593030,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":11993.678300176562,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x96df0aa10056ea8b7150be55461029505f17c3152bf43d0ea7eeae5f0cfa3a89:0","id":"trade:0x96df0aa10056ea8b7150be55461029505f17c3152bf43d0ea7eeae5f0cfa3a89:0","implied":0.5919158855790337,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.40808411442096626,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1779592995,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":28985.010799183692,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x455fe712d06e74f3ba9a0544dc3960a450b84d30486a28f12bfb87729ab4c3e6:0","id":"trade:0x455fe712d06e74f3ba9a0544dc3960a450b84d30486a28f12bfb87729ab4c3e6:0","implied":0.5876435586999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5876435586999998,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779579322,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?","usd":16473.082800644224,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6633974d8f07f5da693b327b6256344b188cb67929e87833b83c166cc0a54124:0","id":"trade:0x6633974d8f07f5da693b327b6256344b188cb67929e87833b83c166cc0a54124:0","implied":0.26,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.26,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779470922,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":13000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x15faddb5969520bff990ca214a9b39510fc93e78f6e758682089d959fed60541:0","id":"trade:0x15faddb5969520bff990ca214a9b39510fc93e78f6e758682089d959fed60541:0","implied":0.7364188025,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2635811975,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1779467794,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":10283.670500890024,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf4c88afd3aeb6ee5f7ceb0484ad731c140a98a49fb0139f3a90750bc021b2156:0","id":"trade:0xf4c88afd3aeb6ee5f7ceb0484ad731c140a98a49fb0139f3a90750bc021b2156:0","implied":0.5870956803,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4129043197,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1779359205,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":16600.409398262,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7a8a7265c1e05f331939165ff547b1799aa62086ab4e5449c65225a5f86d7117:0","id":"trade:0x7a8a7265c1e05f331939165ff547b1799aa62086ab4e5449c65225a5f86d7117:0","implied":0.3653215965,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3653215965,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779290162,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":16352.127101992817,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5bd58f8032befbca33ac0f54593d1a00b46950ac8352e1b24d30b2225950b214:1","id":"trade:0x5bd58f8032befbca33ac0f54593d1a00b46950ac8352e1b24d30b2225950b214:1","implied":0.7099295220000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7099295220000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779286661,"title":"Iran closes its airspace by May 24?","usd":10303.739599927501,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4f8cc2859c5197aff1fdbe082b3541a68434e0af5a32dd9d4477eefc5802f6f7:0","id":"trade:0x4f8cc2859c5197aff1fdbe082b3541a68434e0af5a32dd9d4477eefc5802f6f7:0","implied":0.26,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.26,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1779286533,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":10813.777,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4b6bd3af9ee2d3e3034629a338f3d6b2c5314342b24af68c1cb47eb6fc2da81c:0","id":"trade:0x4b6bd3af9ee2d3e3034629a338f3d6b2c5314342b24af68c1cb47eb6fc2da81c:0","implied":0.3131788175,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3131788175,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1779286510,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":12355.746801394074,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe8bca43a6ea5085ffd7f89af10472be7cb89516014de580e602bc25bb98816bf:0","id":"trade:0xe8bca43a6ea5085ffd7f89af10472be7cb89516014de580e602bc25bb98816bf:0","implied":0.47,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.53,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1778186317,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10600.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x743ead4a78633edf61e85a2bdf759f5c8c69e5755f6df3a74efdb7ce50d56f11:0","id":"trade:0x743ead4a78633edf61e85a2bdf759f5c8c69e5755f6df3a74efdb7ce50d56f11:0","implied":0.6299885279999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.370011472,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1778174766,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":18500.5736,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xec187e4460625c225e147cda9d4f5a3c609f6d7a076624a101c00906e3d1d9a3:0","id":"trade:0xec187e4460625c225e147cda9d4f5a3c609f6d7a076624a101c00906e3d1d9a3:0","implied":0.5,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1778075450,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":16184.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb035887fdd684cb666c89ab011b17d5ad70f2bab9bbb31e0df2a13fc2fdef6ed:0","id":"trade:0xb035887fdd684cb666c89ab011b17d5ad70f2bab9bbb31e0df2a13fc2fdef6ed:0","implied":0.4512816216,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4512816216,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1778057460,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":12283.6600991412,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf1b0cf5cee1c90d1cb924b7900b20f1605c39e1503b61d622279bcc36357d0e8:0","id":"trade:0xf1b0cf5cee1c90d1cb924b7900b20f1605c39e1503b61d622279bcc36357d0e8:0","implied":0.41547038169999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.41547038169999995,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1778057436,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10964.022400241613,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2bf64778ba4c94f6363de4f85340bc9c1966bb907fd025afa545e7d6361483f3:0","id":"trade:0x2bf64778ba4c94f6363de4f85340bc9c1966bb907fd025afa545e7d6361483f3:0","implied":0.2052620665,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2052620665,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1778057430,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":13662.75630140625,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4301cdaf0864a1f449a9754ef2c9811786aabb89866a56065d106bde05cd16f8:1","id":"trade:0x4301cdaf0864a1f449a9754ef2c9811786aabb89866a56065d106bde05cd16f8:1","implied":0.62,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.62,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1776717264,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?","usd":12392.7026,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e51824f5fa03ec038d33a2ca9e6e8d393fc54881716281d4d27886864809d91:0","id":"trade:0x2e51824f5fa03ec038d33a2ca9e6e8d393fc54881716281d4d27886864809d91:0","implied":0.189974916,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.189974916,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1776690540,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","usd":14437.4666987772,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbd1a6fba23d0d265f6f0848aec42e533e92f11855489a990ee966784681534dd:1","id":"trade:0xbd1a6fba23d0d265f6f0848aec42e533e92f11855489a990ee966784681534dd:1","implied":0.17000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.83,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1776688434,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","usd":31651.9421,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x458cbf916516918a22fe33c42a2dd206d82c1aeaeafa478228fd9c5994fda81c:0","id":"trade:0x458cbf916516918a22fe33c42a2dd206d82c1aeaeafa478228fd9c5994fda81c:0","implied":0.44147190820000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5585280918,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1776533216,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":10625.483100650545,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6c622a4d1bfc8784de1d094b104cfd1b70d62033316b889089d190aaf6d4f421:1","id":"trade:0x6c622a4d1bfc8784de1d094b104cfd1b70d62033316b889089d190aaf6d4f421:1","implied":0.6266077675,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6266077675,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1776457264,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","usd":29422.9442021086,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe2662bce672551d6938f4271b6112422194767473e28f47719fb34099877143a:1","id":"trade:0xe2662bce672551d6938f4271b6112422194767473e28f47719fb34099877143a:1","implied":0.6945067228956153,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6945067228956153,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1776453562,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?","usd":22690.3611,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x268fc523d38ac74a024ae77197dcf5a0e929ed59bd96461d1bc30d239bb5031a:1","id":"trade:0x268fc523d38ac74a024ae77197dcf5a0e929ed59bd96461d1bc30d239bb5031a:1","implied":0.73,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.73,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1776452134,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":11847.9146,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x03b4e017a20bd463c40b209f47e650ba3fcb4f2a7af2c4ecfc73fcdd29ab3bfc:0","id":"trade:0x03b4e017a20bd463c40b209f47e650ba3fcb4f2a7af2c4ecfc73fcdd29ab3bfc:0","implied":0.538657115886864,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.538657115886864,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1776428740,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":31399.761499544722,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcc18457a012525602896da69c8847286cc3b94ab38901db5fcc6ab55aa4602b5:0","id":"trade:0xcc18457a012525602896da69c8847286cc3b94ab38901db5fcc6ab55aa4602b5:0","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775606277,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?","usd":11932.965,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4e57747fcae894de5406cdaff06ec840d32dba2ba39697adc9318e8b596f5674:0","id":"trade:0x4e57747fcae894de5406cdaff06ec840d32dba2ba39697adc9318e8b596f5674:0","implied":0.6485208619,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6485208619,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775601179,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?","usd":26371.815499984263,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x48fbf70c1713e71a405052bc4641e26dbba435fa557672c4040763c901cbf606","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf0bae2ab9321f8cc0d44efc4a1c82a00a246ea8369e4236d2f58222db88f2fe7:1","id":"trade:0xf0bae2ab9321f8cc0d44efc4a1c82a00a246ea8369e4236d2f58222db88f2fe7:1","implied":0.78,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.78,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1774460537,"title":"Will Trump visit China by April 30?","usd":11994.3096,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe88f956b98a48053c129bb4ec84a6908675b7f80df4cb5f16a32e6d48b5b5043:0","id":"trade:0xe88f956b98a48053c129bb4ec84a6908675b7f80df4cb5f16a32e6d48b5b5043:0","implied":0.29,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.29,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1773740067,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":12405.5707,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf79542fd77b119607cdbba9472630354766b639c75912bdde3a7b4e972e0138f:1","id":"trade:0xf79542fd77b119607cdbba9472630354766b639c75912bdde3a7b4e972e0138f:1","implied":0.28,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.72,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1773739385,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":15120.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7682e806340ff277cac52fe38e910ffafadf72ab2e9c8425b3042d2b939b3474:0","id":"trade:0x7682e806340ff277cac52fe38e910ffafadf72ab2e9c8425b3042d2b939b3474:0","implied":0.9822857142857143,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9822857142857143,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772328751,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":68760.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc19c325a5b97dcf1ad04aa619083e9f971345165e7cfdf70bb77e69c54e14e47:0","id":"trade:0xc19c325a5b97dcf1ad04aa619083e9f971345165e7cfdf70bb77e69c54e14e47:0","implied":0.9374515558529231,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9374515558529231,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772314737,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":62928.60119972148,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x67edc0cb4d613cfbe15be9bc77fbc3564ca7d24ab6b406d5428352ce3e089e13:1","id":"trade:0x67edc0cb4d613cfbe15be9bc77fbc3564ca7d24ab6b406d5428352ce3e089e13:1","implied":0.8349998333277776,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8349998333277776,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1771337379,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":25049.16,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6a37e533b693a91e04371e0bee5e207cbbfab7ff61dc84e0e19d4af4e44a2579:0","id":"trade:0x6a37e533b693a91e04371e0bee5e207cbbfab7ff61dc84e0e19d4af4e44a2579:0","implied":0.3728592765,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3728592765,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1770138788,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":10739.551498663095,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"}],"record":{"called":9,"edge":0.009339048075994349,"exp_rate":0.520072716629888,"expected":8.841236182708096,"hit":0.5294117647058824,"n":17,"se":0.10885224277983674},"wallet":"0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711"}