{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6600cf332a378f7a7a4ef8a14ea5eccc7fc4fdcbe460e1345deb7883a351f4d3:1","id":"trade:0x6600cf332a378f7a7a4ef8a14ea5eccc7fc4fdcbe460e1345deb7883a351f4d3:1","implied":0.002,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.002,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781720786,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":10000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194"},{"condition_id":"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1b801a3b62279f94623803b336b6dbcaec7e88cc5d5d316b73a1ad8417500b7c:0","id":"trade:0x1b801a3b62279f94623803b336b6dbcaec7e88cc5d5d316b73a1ad8417500b7c:0","implied":0.06819230860000003,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9318076914,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775602717,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?","usd":38700.56384922409,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194"},{"condition_id":"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf9fcd937dc1d11c02c3efe7873664bcf7e7c78bef3eae93472e4b2a7c3d2d39e:0","id":"trade:0xf9fcd937dc1d11c02c3efe7873664bcf7e7c78bef3eae93472e4b2a7c3d2d39e:0","implied":0.2587190196,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7412809804,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775602423,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","usd":94086.46576124647,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.06819230860000003,"exp_rate":0.06819230860000003,"expected":0.06819230860000003,"hit":0.0,"n":1,"se":0.2520756189079031},"wallet":"0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194"}