{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2a4a763efcd9f6602780c350933b0e7cde696112d1fb681799495f15f2d7791a:0","id":"trade:0x2a4a763efcd9f6602780c350933b0e7cde696112d1fb681799495f15f2d7791a:0","implied":0.4406158364,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.4406158364,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1754685633,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":14901.199997578187,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x44698f3897c4ae587a564c07021259d6edca0761"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.4406158364,"exp_rate":0.4406158364,"expected":0.4406158364,"hit":0.0,"n":1,"se":0.49646099656823844},"wallet":"0x44698f3897c4ae587a564c07021259d6edca0761"}