{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3f1d7090dc8e99273b32da94c49e7aa90b7bd820d951bffa24a5468b0d381263:1","id":"trade:0x3f1d7090dc8e99273b32da94c49e7aa90b7bd820d951bffa24a5468b0d381263:1","implied":0.528137897,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.528137897,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772302267,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":11499.99999834365,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc10aacfa316defdb647c0fd334dc8b5f861d8930652be73565316e120e45298c:1","id":"trade:0xc10aacfa316defdb647c0fd334dc8b5f861d8930652be73565316e120e45298c:1","implied":0.5869041834,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5869041834,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772289651,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":13499.999998589637,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3d5c723a36a5b919958b7d44e35cba9ce4489da4ad8d205e7ead0f5c5cf361e2:1","id":"trade:0x3d5c723a36a5b919958b7d44e35cba9ce4489da4ad8d205e7ead0f5c5cf361e2:1","implied":0.7304319914,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7304319914,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1749147644,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":28748.00000056843,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x287e53f66ccab3cd7095784ba7313f021579423ca86f641560d20187e2aaa336:1","id":"trade:0x287e53f66ccab3cd7095784ba7313f021579423ca86f641560d20187e2aaa336:1","implied":0.6990052069000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.6990052069000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1748970296,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":20999.999999442847,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7d255a59c2023e029f97d6561f5de17586ebdde730377e87c598956e874f2cdc:1","id":"trade:0x7d255a59c2023e029f97d6561f5de17586ebdde730377e87c598956e874f2cdc:1","implied":0.5253852947,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5253852947,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1747678564,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":11974.999998485642,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xac1736717a4ab855de26de2f506dff556fc6f8560e66e742c62e1cba47052bf7:1","id":"trade:0xac1736717a4ab855de26de2f506dff556fc6f8560e66e742c62e1cba47052bf7:1","implied":0.42178469109999994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.42178469109999994,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1743175480,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":16999.999997179144,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"}],"record":{"called":4,"edge":0.405848203975,"exp_rate":0.594151796025,"expected":2.3766071841,"hit":1.0,"n":4,"se":0.2372414352027263},"wallet":"0x3e1ff025f823f4c5e8175dab9144465d8ceb8643"}
