{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8da2dc2e63df2fc8cf27d11fdcf2dd4f376649f00cb2900025d0fb74e35155ec:1","id":"trade:0x8da2dc2e63df2fc8cf27d11fdcf2dd4f376649f00cb2900025d0fb74e35155ec:1","implied":0.9431349584,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9431349584,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772835811,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?","usd":14999.999989660466,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x60c7d191ee2808417523e00ac85a4682324af4f1d887243f9f69b388524d6942","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd8f00f14870bc9c8c1b05499b4dcc120bbee2b07538fa833cf1a9dd71cd95bb0:1","id":"trade:0xd8f00f14870bc9c8c1b05499b4dcc120bbee2b07538fa833cf1a9dd71cd95bb0:1","implied":0.004809232000000052,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995190768,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1771781480,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?","usd":10070.90264012976,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x333f48b042f95a5186eaffcb68d4856ca3da17ecaea3cef4bdc9cf4755219800:1","id":"trade:0x333f48b042f95a5186eaffcb68d4856ca3da17ecaea3cef4bdc9cf4755219800:1","implied":0.006687264900000045,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9933127351,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1766961071,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":27135.416628735307,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf8e31d11e44b103103395d06e808b7bbb1688671d76e9105af9c04c2a3c21e5f:1","id":"trade:0xf8e31d11e44b103103395d06e808b7bbb1688671d76e9105af9c04c2a3c21e5f:1","implied":0.9499999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9499999999999998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1762436799,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":10572.769998149999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x683d8a1f7fe6e53e6e9fee4a2479c311c7c9132d935a3b0304656c24c359a785:1","id":"trade:0x683d8a1f7fe6e53e6e9fee4a2479c311c7c9132d935a3b0304656c24c359a785:1","implied":0.88,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.88,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1761214465,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":10199.99999304,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdcc8acb742a44347d5242faba03f932d7fea4b44b4161a764e069329ed96a40e:1","id":"trade:0xdcc8acb742a44347d5242faba03f932d7fea4b44b4161a764e069329ed96a40e:1","implied":0.14182817940000003,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8581718206,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1761213629,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":30783.095199423333,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5d03b9f991b612d6e5eb69f7eb87d1f9bb1d5f6bf6f95da24568fd75005e6791:1","id":"trade:0x5d03b9f991b612d6e5eb69f7eb87d1f9bb1d5f6bf6f95da24568fd75005e6791:1","implied":0.8599999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8599999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1758356210,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":16999.999998739997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":0.056865041600000055,"exp_rate":0.9431349584,"expected":0.9431349584,"hit":1.0,"n":1,"se":0.23158456046081813},"wallet":"0x2803931ee71ef5036c46cc1364afa1152119e245"}