{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4c3df8d5648817dda179b1dfd090f1a946a4cfeccec9dd42c0392d210637cde4:0","id":"trade:0x4c3df8d5648817dda179b1dfd090f1a946a4cfeccec9dd42c0392d210637cde4:0","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781721781,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":117097.95907,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8dc7cd2d2c5778b0581f5a0a2f04e4160e261ba29ce7190c1bb1d2dff9e32716:0","id":"trade:0x8dc7cd2d2c5778b0581f5a0a2f04e4160e261ba29ce7190c1bb1d2dff9e32716:0","implied":0.1519933619,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8480066381,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781504217,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":59907.31022764517,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7913e7f5a328533642b1bf2f620ac9d12c1eece00528b70911bb06fdb0a7adfb:0","id":"trade:0x7913e7f5a328533642b1bf2f620ac9d12c1eece00528b70911bb06fdb0a7adfb:0","implied":0.17836605930000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8216339407,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781496730,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":11222.689779681892,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8b01b00691baa40434c09e7c25eb580ac428cb5d9eda1041df4a88b515155e2d:0","id":"trade:0x8b01b00691baa40434c09e7c25eb580ac428cb5d9eda1041df4a88b515155e2d:0","implied":0.1824285096,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8175714904,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781485518,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":16293.594800769102,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"late","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4c298a6422018aa831921c168ef53b3e1d84ad1358ac13e4f18b7a807f026b71:0","id":"trade:0x4c298a6422018aa831921c168ef53b3e1d84ad1358ac13e4f18b7a807f026b71:0","implied":0.815606836,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.815606836,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1781481583,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":20390.170899999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf6c6f6e56079f0d67cdb83ff42756b167180634719524eb9d084a998bd778e7f:0","id":"trade:0xf6c6f6e56079f0d67cdb83ff42756b167180634719524eb9d084a998bd778e7f:0","implied":0.5218760131285713,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5218760131285713,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1781472525,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":36531.320919,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x77b86e09d365ce87710eae69b5a544efc25a70fa6315174d8ca7da1e26bf507e:1","id":"trade:0x77b86e09d365ce87710eae69b5a544efc25a70fa6315174d8ca7da1e26bf507e:1","implied":0.0040000000000000036,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780458351,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":19920.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7854fd9d03c69ae3b58c94057edd30874acd2f736c13caa8b8a09a725b8c0935:1","id":"trade:0x7854fd9d03c69ae3b58c94057edd30874acd2f736c13caa8b8a09a725b8c0935:1","implied":0.0029999999999998916,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9970000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780348525,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":12231.61474,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xad94fd46c015dfc639fd25bdbc9bad148feaa46c167308a5390b35b3ab236b07:0","id":"trade:0xad94fd46c015dfc639fd25bdbc9bad148feaa46c167308a5390b35b3ab236b07:0","implied":0.09,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.09,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1777752632,"title":"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","usd":12641.438699999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe1fac6a80f479313701ba9348ae69b8a92e838348463f3f18d77b18a032475d4:1","id":"trade:0xe1fac6a80f479313701ba9348ae69b8a92e838348463f3f18d77b18a032475d4:1","implied":0.9989999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9989999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777594046,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":29999.999969999997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3626951d34a08858cbbf07208578608a8e67b7ab925aeaf498e6465f63733004:0","id":"trade:0x3626951d34a08858cbbf07208578608a8e67b7ab925aeaf498e6465f63733004:0","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1775433805,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":70004.355,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x34c8ad969e6170c044c04c055ec353bb84c8aa79d7f624e614cb554f039bfada:0","id":"trade:0x34c8ad969e6170c044c04c055ec353bb84c8aa79d7f624e614cb554f039bfada:0","implied":0.83,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.83,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775341633,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":24900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0a6c6b37a50be1e0142a9d0c5eeacce3139edfb175c691908ad1bac20a575172:0","id":"trade:0x0a6c6b37a50be1e0142a9d0c5eeacce3139edfb175c691908ad1bac20a575172:0","implied":0.83,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.83,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1775241003,"title":"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","usd":24900.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0x92d2f5f693619c0154d55538a84a3943e787a8ca67907a8e7e5064b0048c83a7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x51830dbdcb50dabd22d3c807cc8b0b475ffe72ac3153fce51d96d7979f666476:1","id":"trade:0x51830dbdcb50dabd22d3c807cc8b0b475ffe72ac3153fce51d96d7979f666476:1","implied":0.22745278889999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7725472111,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1773007873,"title":"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?","usd":23758.267990512075,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x09450acb1dddde3be570831a396d3cddf37ca437cfe23c313dafa384dc673911:0","id":"trade:0x09450acb1dddde3be570831a396d3cddf37ca437cfe23c313dafa384dc673911:0","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1762308689,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":23707.809891001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"}],"record":{"called":0,"edge":-0.15872639444999997,"exp_rate":0.15872639444999997,"expected":0.31745278889999995,"hit":0.0,"n":2,"se":0.2537804256249938},"wallet":"0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855"}
