{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x76f7fda212aecb7578f1c9a0c1eb789b00177583f3267a5e79fcd9d7bb439441:1","id":"trade:0x76f7fda212aecb7578f1c9a0c1eb789b00177583f3267a5e79fcd9d7bb439441:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777575584,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":901098.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"},{"condition_id":"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4d89611268792f560f5e33a9f1f685ba610be2529c0023197a515c98caeffd3c:1","id":"trade:0x4d89611268792f560f5e33a9f1f685ba610be2529c0023197a515c98caeffd3c:1","implied":0.018580960800000046,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9814190392,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777478866,"title":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?","usd":49070.95196,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdb2d9b403f18fef48ea03fb895880918eb8f549e841a3ec2ed33234cf6d2a3c6:1","id":"trade:0xdb2d9b403f18fef48ea03fb895880918eb8f549e841a3ec2ed33234cf6d2a3c6:1","implied":0.07999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1777436012,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":92000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"},{"condition_id":"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x89898f1a442c098343861579fb10bcd772a5323055fb58568a8d7b578747343f:1","id":"trade:0x89898f1a442c098343861579fb10bcd772a5323055fb58568a8d7b578747343f:1","implied":0.29000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.71,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1777382940,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","usd":71000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"},{"condition_id":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x18e0293c374509dab68ac9dcb63dd27df58f9c36d312650e7231b3802c4ca66f:1","id":"trade:0x18e0293c374509dab68ac9dcb63dd27df58f9c36d312650e7231b3802c4ca66f:1","implied":0.963,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.963,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1777381398,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","usd":96300.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.11099999999999999,"exp_rate":0.4443333333333333,"expected":1.333,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.18712176665357658},"wallet":"0x19fc25a4fd4a90a190cf95aff2e729832f30b4e3"}
