{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xafb7ec4bd576b78c0156bd611a3326f2c75ebcd35bc7438dd7f61a62ea21b5f0:1","id":"trade:0xafb7ec4bd576b78c0156bd611a3326f2c75ebcd35bc7438dd7f61a62ea21b5f0:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774883189,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":101249.57504,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0x301357b52de467d3f71833deb600bc43346aeafe09b7c473a82f436699b459da","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xea2a11dfa8f67d09d05cb6002b5027319b85e8eca4f9845bfff1009aa7e43657:0","id":"trade:0xea2a11dfa8f67d09d05cb6002b5027319b85e8eca4f9845bfff1009aa7e43657:0","implied":0.8641189684,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8641189684,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772560661,"title":"Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?","usd":11509.926400053057,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xef8d46a47eea75844ca5eb59cfd7a29ac6936b8d002f7cf330895694f8e6768d:1","id":"trade:0xef8d46a47eea75844ca5eb59cfd7a29ac6936b8d002f7cf330895694f8e6768d:1","implied":0.9494974704,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9494974704,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772560243,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":24247.696700592962,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x74e4cbf484adad0c2e414a16c622f454a4ca131ff35ac271dfefcdfcb6b15bd8:1","id":"trade:0x74e4cbf484adad0c2e414a16c622f454a4ca131ff35ac271dfefcdfcb6b15bd8:1","implied":0.8367398060000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8367398060000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772560177,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":40329.402721937564,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb79d3e28f5a5e2f0c1dc9b5afc3f21ea5953eb90987ba622459664f65245ec16:1","id":"trade:0xb79d3e28f5a5e2f0c1dc9b5afc3f21ea5953eb90987ba622459664f65245ec16:1","implied":0.8206309336,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8206309336,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772555913,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":65033.35201962346,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0xa062dea464f0e8fc3381176494198cf45574ec190eca77a40f49988320fa15f2","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e5275877b7839bbf073ee5eb9e0a73d04fbb1db16233312273a9a95b62fb261:0","id":"trade:0x2e5275877b7839bbf073ee5eb9e0a73d04fbb1db16233312273a9a95b62fb261:0","implied":0.9900000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9900000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770077162,"title":"Will Ant\u00f3nio Jos\u00e9 Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","usd":46647.602100000004,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4a34334ea7312dcb68107e4fd58d5ba2febdeacc8706e38f61118925101b3485:1","id":"trade:0x4a34334ea7312dcb68107e4fd58d5ba2febdeacc8706e38f61118925101b3485:1","implied":0.9834129534,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9834129534,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769628360,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":22607.355859437976,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe9ccbb5ded054a68cb934c67e04700cfb9404e9e9e5b88f122b7aef794137f2b:0","id":"trade:0xe9ccbb5ded054a68cb934c67e04700cfb9404e9e9e5b88f122b7aef794137f2b:0","implied":0.9464376376,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9464376376,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1762280333,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":18926.651660444528,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa8e303144c9bc107d60e1f40d5c03b6ceda7aa571b7e378f36acb2c157aac8de:0","id":"trade:0xa8e303144c9bc107d60e1f40d5c03b6ceda7aa571b7e378f36acb2c157aac8de:0","implied":0.939,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.939,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1762101601,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":10329.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"},{"condition_id":"0x2e74dd2439a9b97a8c62e54e8ba07671e1238b7addc8971949b1b70b50e33de7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x69639a5ee35ff063b1f512171e7a9c5bc1ccc224db42e860be70c866e8d1f394:1","id":"trade:0x69639a5ee35ff063b1f512171e7a9c5bc1ccc224db42e860be70c866e8d1f394:1","implied":0.9402723506,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9402723506,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761835999,"title":"Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?","usd":15314.54486954491,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"}],"record":{"called":3,"edge":0.05707672633333338,"exp_rate":0.9429232736666666,"expected":2.828769821,"hit":1.0,"n":3,"se":0.13391177916870486},"wallet":"0x1489046ca0f9980fc2d9a950d103d3bec02c1307"}