{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0xce41e10b3c9b3764cfe3b54691b411a4565ac4ee6ced9a810ee629bbfbffce89","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2b64b13dcb79e2528ae9436b6f20f097b58643fd8b3f7030ee3e2e0ed7187c62:1","id":"trade:0x2b64b13dcb79e2528ae9436b6f20f097b58643fd8b3f7030ee3e2e0ed7187c62:1","implied":0.07496250329999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9250374967,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1784276314,"title":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?","usd":28145.34813096864,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x63b648278a4fadb613f228d2991414f8695c9cee97109e9ddc44053e56a9b2ae:0","id":"trade:0x63b648278a4fadb613f228d2991414f8695c9cee97109e9ddc44053e56a9b2ae:0","implied":0.5900000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.41,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1784266761,"title":"Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","usd":20499.995899999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0xf95968b1334c35a5c17867680d783d1d592bb8648b014f7365d03e40e37c99fb","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc0d6fa3501b69ea999e27b4ee2da4913ff40d1ad11c6c276ab3c881cebb385ea:0","id":"trade:0xc0d6fa3501b69ea999e27b4ee2da4913ff40d1ad11c6c276ab3c881cebb385ea:0","implied":0.56,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.56,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782740786,"title":"Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?","usd":11200.000000000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x02d39e8beaef299ffdad21052fbf6fcebcd4262a6685670668f23eb50c0742b3:0","id":"trade:0x02d39e8beaef299ffdad21052fbf6fcebcd4262a6685670668f23eb50c0742b3:0","implied":0.5,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1780941495,"title":"Will United States win on 2026-06-12?","usd":10000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe566a9e683f8e0401003f0463824b4fcdf58c6477a8a43f99a1f6675054c1e6c:0","id":"trade:0xe566a9e683f8e0401003f0463824b4fcdf58c6477a8a43f99a1f6675054c1e6c:0","implied":0.2361322321,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7638677679,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1780317077,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":21600.19442001546,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0xfb1835b887c33862f5749c619e612d1244ab6e66115f0ef43d373485dc3a1573","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x471e7f07014fa0289ae2a311be10c8abfa96da0c810bced9ecbfd9157ae4e2da:0","id":"trade:0x471e7f07014fa0289ae2a311be10c8abfa96da0c810bced9ecbfd9157ae4e2da:0","implied":0.7973151534,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2026848466,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1764343515,"title":"Will Manchester City win the 2025\u201326 English Premier League?","usd":18159.516401551544,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x70d5e6d32321d6547fa433ab7881666e68bc812425cb6aaf4af6c57305e322e2:1","id":"trade:0x70d5e6d32321d6547fa433ab7881666e68bc812425cb6aaf4af6c57305e322e2:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1757328702,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":80786.5332,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0xfb1835b887c33862f5749c619e612d1244ab6e66115f0ef43d373485dc3a1573","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x43a135c26e58b48557fead466a7222022eea6b3d358e4111e3fc42f35581c390:0","id":"trade:0x43a135c26e58b48557fead466a7222022eea6b3d358e4111e3fc42f35581c390:0","implied":0.1180870407,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.1180870407,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1756812776,"title":"Will Manchester City win the 2025\u201326 English Premier League?","usd":29418.441099609943,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x162dde41b65ad5690ebe21722117be25a2f9b42fe174577d3820121921f7aef9:1","id":"trade:0x162dde41b65ad5690ebe21722117be25a2f9b42fe174577d3820121921f7aef9:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1755179736,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":90086.53998900001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"}],"record":{"called":4,"edge":0.40778105292,"exp_rate":0.39221894708000005,"expected":1.9610947354000001,"hit":0.8,"n":5,"se":0.198798081224389},"wallet":"0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48"}
